Earlier this week I spoke at a Policy Exchange event at the Conservative conference on the problems facing the party in the North (Neil O'Brien's thought on the same are here). It goes without saying that the Conservative party do less well in the North, and
Full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. This week's topline figures are CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10% - so there is no obvious sign of a conference boost for Labour. Ed Miliband's own ratings are almost unchanged from last week.
The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll tomorrow has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%. The six point Labour lead YouGov was showing before the conference season remains unchanged - neither the Liberal Democrats not Labour have any obvious conference bounce. This is the third conference season where
The Sun politics team have tweeted tonight's YouGov voting intention. Topline figures are CON 38%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9% - so Labour's lead down to 3 points. Changes may well just be sample error like the 2 point poll we saw earlier this week, but certainly
Tonight's YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%. Yesterday's 2 point lead looks like it was just a blip, and the 6 point leads we've seen from YouGov lately are restored. Tomorrow will be the first chance to
There are two new polls tonight, both with good news for the Conservatives, though neither are particularly significant in themselves. ComRes's monthly telephone poll for the Independent has topline figures of CON 37%(nc), LAB 36%(-2), LDEM 12%(+1), Others 15%. The changes from the last ComRes
Over on ConservativeHome there are details of some polling commissioned by Lord Ashcroft (and presumably, though he has an annoying habit of not mentioning who carried out the polling, conducted by Populus). Ashcroft commissioned three parallel polls with identical questions - a telephone poll of Conservative marginals with Labour in
The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. Economic confidence is very poor - the proportion of people expecting the country to fall back into recession has grown to 73%, up from 59% when YouGov asked in February. Only 8 expect their financial situation to
This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 11%. Eleven percent is actually the highest Lib Dem score that YouGov, who tend to show the lowest figures for the Lib Dems, have shown for just over a month. Nevertheless,
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is out tonight. Topline figures are CON 37%(nc), LAB 38%(+2), LDEM 14%(-3), Others 12%. Fieldwork was carried out on Tuesday and Wednesday, so in the middle of the Lib Dem conference but before Nick Clegg's conference speech.
Tonight's daily YouGov poll in the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%. After a few polls showing even narrower leads at the end of August, including a couple as low as 1 point, they seem to be stablising at around 5 or 6
At the weekend the Sun had some YouGov polling for the conference, that I said I'd come back to once the tables appeared. Most of the questions were repeats from the same Sun pre-conference polling a year ago, and show some interesting changes in attitudes towards the party.
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