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YouGov/Sun - CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%

Tonight's daily YouGov poll in the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%. After a few polls showing even narrower leads at the end of August, including a couple as low as 1 point, they seem to be stablising at around 5 or 6

By Anthony Wells 21 Sep 2011

Attitudes to the Lib Dems - less anger, but less clarity

At the weekend the Sun had some YouGov polling for the conference, that I said I'd come back to once the tables appeared. Most of the questions were repeats from the same Sun pre-conference polling a year ago, and show some interesting changes in attitudes towards the party.

By Anthony Wells 19 Sep 2011
Full notional results for the provisional boundaries

Full notional results for the provisional boundaries

Here's a final post on the proposed boundary changes for the time being, I've had a chance to look at the marginality of seats. Now, as I said in an earlier post, on the levels of support at the 2010 election the proposed English boundaries would

By Anthony Wells 18 Sep 2011

More from the YouGov/Sunday Times poll

The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are up here. On the regular trackers, Cameron's rating continues to trend very slowly upwards, Miliband's slowly downwards, as the hackgate effect fades. Economic optimism remains dire. Only 3% of people think the economy is in a

By Anthony Wells 18 Sep 2011

New ComRes, YouGov and Populus(?) polling

The monthly online ComRes poll for the Indy on Sunday is out tonight, and has topline figures of CON 38%(nc), LAB 38%(-2), LDEM 11%(nc), Others 13%(+2). No significant change in itself, but it fits into the general pattern of dropping Labour leads, although ComRes's

By Anthony Wells 17 Sep 2011

Populus on how the parties are seen

I said earlier in the week that I'd return to Populus's pre-conference polling what their tables were up - well, they are now available here. As usual they've included their regular questions on party image, which they've asked in roughly the same

By Anthony Wells 17 Sep 2011

Boundary Review - which seats face the chop?

There are plenty of lists out of there of the seats that have been untouched by the boundary review, but I haven't seen one of the seats that have been abolished. This is probably because it is not actually as much of a clear cut question as you

By Anthony Wells 15 Sep 2011

MORI political monitor - CON 35, LAB 37, LD 13

Reuters is reporting Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor. Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 35%(+1), LAB 37%(-3), LDEM 13%(-2) - echoing the slightly reduced Labour lead that we've seen from YouGov's daily polls. In their monthly job approval

By Anthony Wells 15 Sep 2011

New Populus and YouGov polls

Tomorrow's Times has the start of their annual big conference poll. Topline voting intention figures are CON 34%(nc), LAB 38%(-1), LDEM 12%(+1), Others 16%. Changes are from Populus's July poll, there was no poll in August. The paper tomorrow has the first slice

By Anthony Wells 13 Sep 2011
Projected effects of the boundary change

Projected effects of the boundary change

I've now had chance to plug the English Boundary Commission's provisional recommendations into Excel and calculate some proper notional results for the proposed seats. My projection is that the provisional English boundaries would reduce the number of Conservative seats by 5, the number of Liberal Democrat

By Anthony Wells 13 Sep 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 37, LAB 41, LDEM 10

Last night's YouGov poll had topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%. I'm still looking through the provisional recommendations of the boundary review. In the fullness of time I'll produce some proper analysis, lists of which seats are abolished (though the changes

By Anthony Wells 13 Sep 2011

The boundary review

The English Boundary Commission gave its recommendations to MPs at noon today, with an embargo for midnight. Unsurprisingly they did not remain secret for long! I am busy crunching the numbers and will hopefully post something more substantial tonight with my first reactions. In the next few days I will

By Anthony Wells 12 Sep 2011
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