YouGov's voting intention figures last night had topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%. Slightly higher than the Labour leads of four points or so since conference (especially given the methodology change), but not to the extent that it couldn't be normal random variation
Meanwhile the Sun politics team have tweeted their YouGov poll for tonight, which has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%. This poll was conducted on Sunday and Monday, and in contrast to the Populus poll in the Times shows no meaningful change since the Fox resignation at
Populus's monthly poll for the Times is out, with quite striking results. Topline figures with changes from their pre-conference September poll are CON 33%(-1), LAB 41%(+3), LDEM 8%(-4), Others 17%(+1). An eight point Labour lead is the highest Populus have shown since the election
NB- PLEASE SEE IMPORTANT UPDATE AT THE END OF THIS POST I have finished running notional figures for the Scottish boundary commission's initial proposals for new Parliamentary boundaries in Scotland. Unlike in England, the topline results in terms of seats lost, gained and overall partisan impact is pretty
Today's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%. The three point Labour lead is very much in line with the leads of four points or so that we've seen since the conference season ended, so the figures
The monthly online ComRes poll for the Sunday Indy and Sunday Mirror has topline figures of CON 37%(-1), LAB 39%(+1), LDEM 10%(-1), Others 14%. Changes are from the last online ComRes poll in mid-September. No significant change there from conference season (or the Liam Fox kerfuffle, though
Today the Scottish Boundary Commission have published their provisional recommendations for the new Westminster boundaries, available on their website here. Scotland will lose 7 MPs as part of the reduction from 650 to 600 members of Parliament. The FT have a rough and ready attempt at working out the impact
Tonight's YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. This is the first 6 point lead YouGov have shown for a week, but it well within the margin of error of the four point leads we've seen of late. This morning&
Tonight's YouGov/Sun has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%. In the last week YouGov's daily poll seems to have pretty much settled down at around a four point Labour lead, with the Conservatives at 37-38, Labour at 41-42, the Lib Dems between
The media have taken to the narrative that the Conservative party are struggling amongst women with gusto. A lot of this points, as evidence, to some analysis of aggregated MORI data from January to July for Resolution. Far less attention has been paid to this latest article by MORI themselves
During the conference season YouGov repeated their occasional polling on how people perceive the parties and party leaders on the left right spectrum. As I normally point out on this question, a simple left-right scale on a single axis would be rather a simplistic way of categorising parties, however, it
Tonight's YouGov/Sun poll has topine figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%. The four point lead is well within the margin of error of the six point Labour lead YouGov have been showing of late, so it is far too early to suggest any sort of
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