I often read articles in the media where polling is casually misrepresented or misinterpreted and ponder writing something... but usually pass it by. While it annoys me, it's not really enough to make a big fuss about. It does not warrant the much sought after "UKPR Crap
There is a new TNS BMRB voting intention poll out here. Topline figures are CON 36%(+3), LAB 37%(-1), LDEM 11% (nc), others 16%. Changes are from their last political monitor a month ago, where they apparently asked voting intention but didn't publish it (or at least,
I don't usually comment much upon the "others" scores in regular voting intention polls - there's various reasons for that: support for them is so low that movement from month to month is hidden away by rounding, for the SNP and Plaid you really
There are two new polls out tonight. First up, the daily YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%, Others 13%. A two point Labour lead is low by YouGov's recent standards, but not out of line with an underlying average
The full tables for the Sunday Times poll are now up here - as already mentioned last night, the topline figures are CON 36%, LAB 39%, LDEM 8%, Others 16%. The "others" include UKIP at 7%, a figure they also hit once during the week for the Sun,
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 39%, LDEM 8% and others on 16%. It looks likely that the 7 point lead in the YouGov/Sun poll on Thursday night was indeed a bit of an outlier. As usual I will
Last night's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures CON 35%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9% (full tabs are here). Seven points is the biggest Labour lead since September. I'll add my usual caveats about not over-interpreting small movements in polls - this could be a
Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor is out today, full details here. Topline voting intention figures with changes since last month are CON 34%(-1), LAB 38%(+1), LDEM 12%(-1), so no significant change on a month ago. There's an interesting finding in the questions -
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%, Others 15%. The four point Labour lead is very much the norm for YouGov, but worth noting is that hidden within that 15% is 7% for UKIP. YouGov have shown UKIP as
The full results of ICM's monthly Guardian poll are now up (tabs are here). Topline voting intention figures with changes from last month are CON 35%(-2), LAB 39%(+1), LDEM 13%(-1). Changes since last month are within the margin of error, but the movement is towards
The Guardian has some ICM figures on Europe out, very much in line with what we've already seen elsewhere. 70% of people would like a referendum on EU membership, asked how they would vote, 49% say they would vote to leave, 40% would stay in. The poll appears
I like to think there are three angles to understanding public opinion on issues and their impact on politics - support, salience and image - and all three are necessary to understand the issue of Europe. Support is the most basic and simple to measure level of public opinion, and
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