I normally give myself a day off on Fridays, since there isn't normally much in the way of polling, but I've just noticed a YouGov Welsh poll from last night. Topline voting intention figures for Westminster and the Welsh assembly are as below. Westminster Voting intention:
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%. The two main parties remain extremely close, but we're seeing more marginal Labour leads than marginal Tory ones (in the last fortnight's YouGov polls there have been 7
Two new polls tonight, and both show a one point Labour lead. ComRes's monthly telephone poll for the Independent has topline figures of CON 37%(-1), LAB 38%(nc), LDEM 14%(+2). Meanwhile the daily YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 40%
I'm regularly sniffy about questions asked in the format of "do you agree or disagree with this statement", a construction much beloved of the Independent. Here is why, using the December ComRes phone poll as an example. ComRes found 74% of people agreed with the statement
There was a new Ipsos MORI Scotland poll out this morning, using the wording that Alex Salmond has suggested for the Scottish referendum. "Do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country?" Topline results were 37% Yes, 50% No, 13% Don't know. Taking only those
Swing Calculator (2011 PROVISIONAL BOUNDARIES) This calculates what would happen at a general election if there was a uniform swing across the country. Enter shares of the vote into the boxes below and click submit to see what the result would be if they were repeated at a general election.
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%. It's the first Tory lead from YouGov for the best part of a week, but only serves to underline that the two main parties are still pretty much neck-and-neck. This
Full tabs for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. On the regular leader ratings all three are up: David Cameron stands at minus 1 (up from minus 3 a week ago), Nick Clegg at minus 38 (up from minus 50) and Ed Miliband at minus 48 (up
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 40%, LDEM 8%. The two main parties remain pretty much neck-and-neck, with Labour narrowly ahead in tonight's figures. I'll do a proper update tomorrow once the YouGov tables are up.
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%. We are perhaps seeing a few more polls with small Labour leads than ones with small Tory ones, but for all intents and purposes the two main parties remain pretty much neck-and-neck.
This months polls seem to have bunched together to an absurd degree - yesterday we had ICM, Populus and YouGov, now we also have Angus Reid, TNS-BMRB and Ipsos MORI (plus of course, another YouGov daily poll tonight). MORI have topline figures of CON 38%(-3), LAB 38%(-1), LD
Both Populus and ICM have new polls out tonight - two phone pollsters who have broadly similar methods, but today show somewhat differing results. ICM in the Guardian have topline figures, with changes from December, of CON 40%(+3), LAB 35%(-1), LDEM 16%(+1), Others 9%. In this Parliament
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