Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10% - full tabs here. This certainly suggests that the five point Labour lead yesterday was indeed an outlier, and that the underlying picture remains the same old neck-and-neck position between Labour and Conservatives.
The Guardian's front page story on the NHS reports findings of a voodoo poll in their front page story: "More than 90% of those who voted in a British Medical Journal poll believed the planned health reforms should be scrapped. Of 2,947 votes cast on bmj.
No sooner I write comments about things appearing to settle into a pattern of Con & Lab neck and neck it is almost inevitable a poll will come along to contradict me. Such is life! Anyway, tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON
A question that often pops up in the comments here - and in wider political commentary - is whether Labour "should be doing better". This actually covers two different questions. One is "Should X be doing better...in order to win the election?", the second is
The first of this week's YouGov daily polls for the Sun has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 40%, LDEM 8%, Others 11%. While YouGov's daily polls are producing slightly more narrow Labour leads than narrow Conservative ones, for the time being at least we do
The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. On the leader ratings David Cameron is back down to a rather more typical minus 6 (from minus 1 last week), Ed Miliband is on minus 45 (from minus 48 last week) and Nick Clegg's
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 40% and LDEM 9%, very much in line with YouGov's recent polling. As usual I'll do a proper update tomorrow.
I normally give myself a day off on Fridays, since there isn't normally much in the way of polling, but I've just noticed a YouGov Welsh poll from last night. Topline voting intention figures for Westminster and the Welsh assembly are as below. Westminster Voting intention:
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%. The two main parties remain extremely close, but we're seeing more marginal Labour leads than marginal Tory ones (in the last fortnight's YouGov polls there have been 7
Two new polls tonight, and both show a one point Labour lead. ComRes's monthly telephone poll for the Independent has topline figures of CON 37%(-1), LAB 38%(nc), LDEM 14%(+2). Meanwhile the daily YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 40%
I'm regularly sniffy about questions asked in the format of "do you agree or disagree with this statement", a construction much beloved of the Independent. Here is why, using the December ComRes phone poll as an example. ComRes found 74% of people agreed with the statement
There was a new Ipsos MORI Scotland poll out this morning, using the wording that Alex Salmond has suggested for the Scottish referendum. "Do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country?" Topline results were 37% Yes, 50% No, 13% Don't know. Taking only those
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