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Tonight's polls

The weekend after the budget often sees several polls. Tonight I am expecting at least three: the weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times, an ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph and a Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday. I'll update as they come in... UPDATE: The

By Anthony Wells 24 Mar 2012

YouGov's first post-budget poll

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. This is the first voting intention poll conducted wholly after the budget, though much of it was before this morning's newspapers and the continuing media coverage we've had

By Anthony Wells 22 Mar 2012

Populus snap poll on the budget

While we won't have any post-budget voting intentions yet, there is a snap online Populus poll for Which, conducted straight after the budget, results are here. On the details of the budget, 92% supported the rise in the personal allowance, 77% the increase in stamp duty, 68% the

By Anthony Wells 21 Mar 2012

New MORI and YouGov polls

Two new polls tonight, showing contrasting pictures. I already mentioned Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor in passing earlier on, but for the record their topline figures are CON 36%(+1), LAB 37%(-4), LDEM 11%(-1), Others 16%(+4). Like ICM's poll earlier in the week

By Anthony Wells 20 Mar 2012

YouGov show Boris ahead in London

YouGov has published its latest London voting intentions here. For the last few months YouGov have shown Boris and Ken effectively neck-and-neck, these latest figures have Boris opening up a lead. On first preferences Boris is at 49%, Ken at 41%, Brian Paddick 5% and others 4%. When respondents are

By Anthony Wells 20 Mar 2012

Tomorrow's budget

A version of this post also appears on the YouGov website here Ahead of the budget tomorrow here's a round up of the various questions that YouGov have asked about the budget in recent weeks, mostly in the YouGov/Sunday Times polls. The budget comes under a background

By Anthony Wells 20 Mar 2012

New ICM and YouGov polls

This month's ICM poll for the Guardian is out and has topline figures of CON 39%(+3), LAB 36%(-1), LDEM 15%(+1), Others 10%(-3). ICM normally show the best figures for the Liberal Democrats and the worst figures for Labour for methodological reasons, so it shouldn&

By Anthony Wells 19 Mar 2012

This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll

Full results for YouGov's weekly Sunday Times poll are now up here, mostly concentrating on next week's budget and Britain's relationship with the USA. On the regular leadership trackers David Cameron's approval rating is at minus 5 (up from minus 9 last

By Anthony Wells 18 Mar 2012

Voodoo polling, an update

You may remember my blog post about the Observer reporting a voodoo poll as if were representative of members of the Royal College of Physicians a couple of weeks ago. Back then an open access poll hosted on a website campaigning against the government's NHS bill found 92.

By Anthony Wells 18 Mar 2012

ComRes/Indy on Sunday - CON 37, LAB 40, LD 10

The monthly online ComRes poll for the Sunday Indy and Sunday Mirror is out tonight and has topline figures, with changes from ComRes's last online poll a month ago, of CON 37%(-2), LAB 40%(+2), LDEM 10%(nc), Others 13%(nc). The shift towards Labour backs up

By Anthony Wells 17 Mar 2012

How many people support gay marriage?

Various groups are touting polls that they claim show at one extreme 70% of people opposed to gay marriage, and at the other 65% in support. What's the real picture? The cause of the disparity is party my old bug bear of questions asked as an agree/disagree

By Anthony Wells 16 Mar 2012

YouGov/Sun - CON 37%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%. It looks as though both the 7 point lead and the 3 point lead we've had in the last couple of days were both normal variation within the margin of

By Anthony Wells 15 Mar 2012
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