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On margins of error

Last night's YouGov poll had topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%. The Labour lead of 6 points is unusually low, but as ever, this in itself doesn't actually mean anything. A series of low Labour leads is meaningful, it would show

By Anthony Wells 21 Sep 2012

More Miliband polling

The cause of today's polling excitement are MORI's questions asking respondents to compare Ed Miliband and David Cameron, results here. Briefly put, David Cameron enjoyed leads over Ed Miliband on most measures, often by a long way. He led on being eloquent by 59% to 15%

By Anthony Wells 19 Sep 2012

New YouGov and Ipsos MORI polls

This month's Ipsos MORI political monitor is out and has topline figures of CON 30%(-2), LAB 41%(-1), LDEM 13%(+2). Meanwhile this morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline voting intention figures of CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 8%. In both

By Anthony Wells 19 Sep 2012

Populus/Times - CON 30, LAB 45, LDEM 10

The full details of this month's Populus poll in the Times (the first part of the large pre-conference poll that Populus run each year) won't be available till tomorrow, but the topline voting intention figures are on the front page of the Times here: CON 30%

By Anthony Wells 17 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 34, LAB 44, LD 9, UKIP 7

This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is online here. Topline voting intention is CON 34%, LAB 44%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%. On leader approval ratings Cameron and Miliband remain pretty much equal - Cameron is on minus 26 (from minus 28 last week) and Miliband on

By Anthony Wells 16 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sun - CON 34, LAB 43, LD 8, UKIP 7

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 7%, a nine point lead for Labour. Yesterday also saw the revised recommendations from the Scottish Boundary Commission - published here. While the boundary review looks unlikely to be actually

By Anthony Wells 14 Sep 2012

More Boris polling...

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 44%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 8%. A thirteen point Labour lead is the highest YouGov have shown since the end of June. All the normal caveats apply about reading too much into a poll -

By Anthony Wells 12 Sep 2012

New YouGov and TNS polls

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 8%. Full tabs are here Meanwhile the now weekly poll from TNS BMRB has figures of CON 30%(-1), LAB 41%(-2), LDEM 12%(+2), Others 17(nc) - changes

By Anthony Wells 11 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 43, LD 10, UKIP 6

Just back from the EPOP conference, so this is a rather brisker update than most Sundays! This week's YouGov figures for the Sunday Times are CON 33%, LAB 43%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 6%, so back in the more normal range after the six and twelve point leads we

By Anthony Wells 09 Sep 2012

New YouGov and TNS polls

This morning's YouGov results for the Sun had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 45%, LD 8%, UKIP 6%. It's been a funny week of YouGov polls, with some 12 points leads and some 6 point ones. There have been rather more of the former than

By Anthony Wells 07 Sep 2012

New YouGov and Opinium polls

This morning's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 40%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 7%. This is the second YouGov poll in a space of a week to show the Labour lead down to six points. After yesterday's YouGov poll showed a Labour lead back

By Anthony Wells 05 Sep 2012

YouGov on how people would vote with Cable

Today's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 44%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 7% - so the 6 point Labour lead in the Sunday Times certainly looks as though it was an outlier. As I mentioned yesterday, YouGov also asked a hypothetical "how

By Anthony Wells 04 Sep 2012
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