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YouGov/Sun - CON 34, LAB 43, LD 8, UKIP 7

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 7%, a nine point lead for Labour. Yesterday also saw the revised recommendations from the Scottish Boundary Commission - published here. While the boundary review looks unlikely to be actually

By Anthony Wells 14 Sep 2012

More Boris polling...

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 44%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 8%. A thirteen point Labour lead is the highest YouGov have shown since the end of June. All the normal caveats apply about reading too much into a poll -

By Anthony Wells 12 Sep 2012

New YouGov and TNS polls

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 8%. Full tabs are here Meanwhile the now weekly poll from TNS BMRB has figures of CON 30%(-1), LAB 41%(-2), LDEM 12%(+2), Others 17(nc) - changes

By Anthony Wells 11 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 43, LD 10, UKIP 6

Just back from the EPOP conference, so this is a rather brisker update than most Sundays! This week's YouGov figures for the Sunday Times are CON 33%, LAB 43%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 6%, so back in the more normal range after the six and twelve point leads we

By Anthony Wells 09 Sep 2012

New YouGov and TNS polls

This morning's YouGov results for the Sun had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 45%, LD 8%, UKIP 6%. It's been a funny week of YouGov polls, with some 12 points leads and some 6 point ones. There have been rather more of the former than

By Anthony Wells 07 Sep 2012

New YouGov and Opinium polls

This morning's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 40%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 7%. This is the second YouGov poll in a space of a week to show the Labour lead down to six points. After yesterday's YouGov poll showed a Labour lead back

By Anthony Wells 05 Sep 2012

YouGov on how people would vote with Cable

Today's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 44%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 7% - so the 6 point Labour lead in the Sunday Times certainly looks as though it was an outlier. As I mentioned yesterday, YouGov also asked a hypothetical "how

By Anthony Wells 04 Sep 2012

ComRes/Indy - CON 35, LAB 42, LDEM 12

The monthly ComRes phone poll for the Independent has been published and has topline figures of CON 35%(+2), LAB 42%(-2), LDEM 12%(+2), Others 11%(-2). ComRes also asked a hypothetical voting intention question on how people would vote if Vince Cable was the Liberal Democrat leader. Like

By Anthony Wells 03 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 35, LAB 41, LD 9, UKIP 7

This week's YouGov results for the Sunday Times are now up here. The topline voting intention figures are CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%. The six point Labour lead is unusual, typically YouGov have been showing Labour leads of around 9-10 points for the last few

By Anthony Wells 02 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sun - CON 33, LAB 42, LD 10, UKIP 8

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 8%. A nine point lead today, but YouGov have shown three twelve point Labour leads over the last week, so the underlying average appears to be creeping upwards. I'

By Anthony Wells 31 Aug 2012

New YouGov and TNS BMRB polls

Last night's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 44%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 8%. There is also a new TNS BMRB poll out with topline voting intention figures of CON 31%(-1), LAB 40%(-2), LD 11%(+1), Others 18%(+2). Changes are

By Anthony Wells 29 Aug 2012
House effects

House effects

A lot of the points I made in my essay on how not to report polls boiled down to not taking a poll in isolation. Not making the outlier the story, only comparing apples to apples, not cherry picking - they all boil down to similar things, especially on voting

By Anthony Wells 28 Aug 2012
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