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YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 32, LAB 43, LD 10, UKIP 9

The tables for this week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times are now up here. This week's topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 43%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 9%, very much in line with YouGov's recent daily polling results. The rest of the poll mainly

By Anthony Wells 06 Jan 2013

Well, SOMEBODY has to win

Compare and contrast - Atul Hatwal writes that a Labour victory from the current position would be unprecedented, Dan Hodges writes that a Tory victory is still the most likely outcome of the election. On the other side of the political fence Paul Goodman writes that a Conservative victory is

By Anthony Wells 03 Jan 2013

YouGov/Sun - CON 31, LAB 43, LD 11, UKIP 9

The first YouGov/Sun daily poll of the year was out this morning. Topline figures were CON 31%, LAB 43%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 9%. Usual caveats about polling over holidays (the start of the fieldwork was on New Year's Day) but that aside it looks very much in

By Anthony Wells 03 Jan 2013

Happy new year

Yesterday we had the final poll of the year - the fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer, which showed topline figures of CON 29%(nc), LAB 39%(nc), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 15%(+1). I'm normally somewhat wary about polls conducted over holiday periods due to the potential

By Anthony Wells 31 Dec 2012

ICM/Guardian - CON 32%, LAB 40%, LDEM 13%

The last monthly poll of the year that was still outstanding, ICM for the Guardian, turned up on Christmas Day of all times. Topline figures were CON 32%(nc), LAB 40%(nc), LDEM 13%(nc) - the figures are all typical of ICM's polling of late (the comparatively

By Anthony Wells 26 Dec 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 43, LD 10, UKIP 8

YouGov's final Sunday Times poll of the year is online here. Topline figures are CON 33%, LAB 43%, LD 10%, UKIP 8%. YouGov repeated their semi-regular trust tracker they have asked since 2003. While people in the survey said the Mitchell affair had made them trust the police

By Anthony Wells 23 Dec 2012
The ups and downs of UKIP

The ups and downs of UKIP

When a party goes up or down in the polls there is inevitably speculation as to why. Sadly it's not normally very good speculation... there is always a temptation for people to follow the logic of I think issue X is very important therefore issue X is the

By Anthony Wells 20 Dec 2012

Latest YouGov and TNS BMRB polls

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 30%, LAB 43%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 10%. It isn't the biggest Labour lead YouGov have shown this month, but (leaving aside a rather outlandish 29% back in April) it matches the lowest Conservative score

By Anthony Wells 20 Dec 2012

yougov voting intention 2

YouGov YouGov Voting Intention since 2005 Q: If there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, Scottish Nationalist/Plaid cymru, some other party, would not vote, don’t know. Survey End Date CON (%) LAB (%) LDEM (%) Con Lead"; mysql_connect("localhost&

By Anthony Wells 18 Dec 2012

Lord Ashcroft's polling on UKIP

Lord Ashcroft has done another great big chunk of polling, this time focusing upon the rise of UKIP. Over on his site he has the results of a big poll of 20,000 people plus a series of focus groups with UKIP supporters and considerers. Looking first at the demographics

By Anthony Wells 18 Dec 2012

New ComRes and Populus polls

We have two new telephone polls tonight, both of which show solid advances for UKIP at the expense of the Conservatives. ComRes in the Indy has topline figures of CON 31%(-4), LAB 41%(-1), LD 10%(nc), UKIP 9%(+3). This is the highest ComRes's telephone polls

By Anthony Wells 17 Dec 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 45, LD 9, UKIP 8

This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is CON 33%, LAB 45%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 8%. The climb of UKIP support into the mid-teens that has been appearing in other online polls doesn't appear to be replicated in the daily YouGov polls. The rest of

By Anthony Wells 16 Dec 2012
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