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ICM/Guardian - CON 32%, LAB 40%, LDEM 13%

The last monthly poll of the year that was still outstanding, ICM for the Guardian, turned up on Christmas Day of all times. Topline figures were CON 32%(nc), LAB 40%(nc), LDEM 13%(nc) - the figures are all typical of ICM's polling of late (the comparatively

By Anthony Wells 26 Dec 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 43, LD 10, UKIP 8

YouGov's final Sunday Times poll of the year is online here. Topline figures are CON 33%, LAB 43%, LD 10%, UKIP 8%. YouGov repeated their semi-regular trust tracker they have asked since 2003. While people in the survey said the Mitchell affair had made them trust the police

By Anthony Wells 23 Dec 2012
The ups and downs of UKIP

The ups and downs of UKIP

When a party goes up or down in the polls there is inevitably speculation as to why. Sadly it's not normally very good speculation... there is always a temptation for people to follow the logic of I think issue X is very important therefore issue X is the

By Anthony Wells 20 Dec 2012

Latest YouGov and TNS BMRB polls

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 30%, LAB 43%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 10%. It isn't the biggest Labour lead YouGov have shown this month, but (leaving aside a rather outlandish 29% back in April) it matches the lowest Conservative score

By Anthony Wells 20 Dec 2012

yougov voting intention 2

YouGov YouGov Voting Intention since 2005 Q: If there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, Scottish Nationalist/Plaid cymru, some other party, would not vote, don’t know. Survey End Date CON (%) LAB (%) LDEM (%) Con Lead"; mysql_connect("localhost&

By Anthony Wells 18 Dec 2012

Lord Ashcroft's polling on UKIP

Lord Ashcroft has done another great big chunk of polling, this time focusing upon the rise of UKIP. Over on his site he has the results of a big poll of 20,000 people plus a series of focus groups with UKIP supporters and considerers. Looking first at the demographics

By Anthony Wells 18 Dec 2012

New ComRes and Populus polls

We have two new telephone polls tonight, both of which show solid advances for UKIP at the expense of the Conservatives. ComRes in the Indy has topline figures of CON 31%(-4), LAB 41%(-1), LD 10%(nc), UKIP 9%(+3). This is the highest ComRes's telephone polls

By Anthony Wells 17 Dec 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 45, LD 9, UKIP 8

This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is CON 33%, LAB 45%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 8%. The climb of UKIP support into the mid-teens that has been appearing in other online polls doesn't appear to be replicated in the daily YouGov polls. The rest of

By Anthony Wells 16 Dec 2012

ComRes/Indy on Sunday - CON 28, LAB 39, LD 9, UKIP 14

The monthly online ComRes poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out and has topline figures of CON 28%(-3), LAB 39%(-4), LDEM 9%(-1), UKIP 14%(+6). The poll shows a big increase in UKIP support since ComRes's last online poll which was

By Anthony Wells 15 Dec 2012

YouGov/Sun - CON 31, LAB 44, LD 12, UKIP 9

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 44%, LDEM 12%, UKIP 9%. The twelve percent support for the Liberal Democrats is the highest that YouGov have shown since way back in April 2011. All the usual caveats apply about unusual poll

By Anthony Wells 13 Dec 2012

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 35, LAB 44, LD 9, UKIP 7

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor is out this lunchtime and has topline figures, with changes from last month, of CON 35%(+3), LAB 44%(-2), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 7%(+4). The poll shows a shift back towards the Conservatives, but this will largely be a reversion to

By Anthony Wells 12 Dec 2012

New YouGov and TNS BMRB polls

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 42%, LD 10%, UKIP 8%. After a couple of weeks of YouGov polls showing increased Labour leads, the last few polls look as though they may be settling back towards the 10 point leads

By Anthony Wells 11 Dec 2012
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