I expect this will be the last one of these for a few years, as the Commons looks likely to vote to approve the Lords amendment abandoning the current boundary review and setting the next boundary review to begin in 2015, reporting in September-October 2018. Today should see an end
We had the monthly ComRes online poll yesterday, today we have their monthly telephone poll for the Independent. Topline figures here are CON 32%(+1), LAB 39%(-2), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 10%(+1). The changes are all well within the margin of error so are not meaningful in themselves,
The first poll conducted after Cameron's Europe speech, YouGov's on Friday, didn't appear to show any impact on voting intention. However, this weekend we have a further four polls conducted after the speech (the Opinium one was mostly done prior to the speech). Here
Tonight we are due at least three polls - the monthly online ComRes poll for the Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror, the fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer and the weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times. I believe there may also be a Survation poll for the
Yesterday we had two polls conducted partially after the referendum announcement, from YouGov and TNS, neither of which showed any boost for the Conservatives. Today's YouGov is the first conducted entirely after the referendum announcement and has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 43%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 9%
We won't get any actual polling numbers until tonight or tomorrow, and certainly won't get a clear handle on any impact upon voting intention until at least tomorrow, but here's a few initial thoughts on the European referendum. Referendums are popular, but most people
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10% - another single figure lead for Labour. In the past few week YouGov's daily polls have shown increasingly frequent 11, 12 even 13 point leads, and had
The Guardian have published their monthly poll from ICM. Topline figures with changes from December's poll are CON 33%(+1), LAB 38%(-2), LDEM 15(+2), UKIP 6%(-1). None of the changes are outside the normal margin of error, so are nothing to get particularly excited about,
David Cameron hasn't actually given his long-delayed Europe speech, but today's YouGov/Sunday Times poll shows the widespread media coverage and the debate around the speech is already having an effect upon public opinion. At the start of the month YouGov was showing people would vote
The monthly Ipsos MORI political monitor came out earlier today and has topline figures of CON 30%(-5), LAB 43%(-1), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 9%(+2). Full details are here. While we've seen it from some other companies, it is the first time that MORI have shown
YouGov have released a poll of European Election voting intentions here. This follows the Survation and ComRes European election polls earlier this month, both of which showed the Conservatives and UKIP effectively neck and neck for second place. In contrast, YouGov show UKIP in a strong third place, but still
Three new polls yesterday and this morning. TNS-BMRB's weekly poll has topline figures of CON 31%(+2), LAB 37%(-2), LDEM 9%(-1), UKIP 13%(+1) A new Angus Reid poll has topline figures of CON 27%(-1), LAB 42%(nc), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 11%(nc) -
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