The local elections are over and the headline story is clearly one of UKIP breakthrough. The Conservatives did almost exactly as badly as expected, losing around 335 seats and control of 10 councils, Labour did about as well as expected in terms of seats, gaining just under 300, but only
Election day, the highlight of the year for election anoraks (I generally explain it as the equivalent of the FA Cup final to non-political friends, the general election being the equivalent of the World Cup Final). There is little in the way of polling for today, since we will soon
There is normally relatively little polling for local elections for a variety of reasons, not least the uneven pattern of contestation across the the country. However ComRes have done one, with interesting topline figures. Local voting intention in those areas with local elections on Thursday stands at CON 31%, LAB
On Thursday we have this year's batch of local elections. This is the smallest of the four year local election cycle - there are no district or borough councils up for election, it is just the County Councils and a few unitary councils (mostly those that used to
ComRes's monthly telephone poll for the Independent is out tonight, and has topline figures of CON 32%(+4), LAB 38%(nc), LDEM 9%(-3), UKIP 13(-1). Changes are from the last ComRes telephone poll at the end of March, before the death of Margaret Thatcher and before
This week's YouGov results for the Sunday Times are now up here. Topline results are CON 31%, LAB 40%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 11% (slightly bigger Labour lead than other YouGov polls this week, but nothing outside the normal margin of error. We'd need to see some
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 40%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%. For the time being at least we seem to have settled into a Labour lead of about 8 points in YouGov's daily polling. To pick up on
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun again showed a Labour lead of seven points - CON 32%, LAB 39, LDEM 11%, UKIP 13% (that's Tuesday MORNING'S poll, btw, Tuesday evening's isn't out yet!). Five of YouGov's last
Newsnight has made a bold attempt at actually commissioning some polling to try and shed some light on whether there will be substantial immigration to Britain from Bulgaria and Romania once restrictions are lifted at the end of this year, commissioning polls from Vitosha in Bulgaria and Gallup in Romania
I haven't had chance to do my normal round of the YouGov/Sunday Times poll today. For the record the topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 40%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 10%, so another single digit Labour lead following those earlier in the week. Also out this weekend were
The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer has topline figures of CON 29%(+1), LAB 35%(-3), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 17(+1). I am always extremely cautious about reading movements into polls - more often than not they turn out to be no more than the result of random
Yesterday saw a cracking example of poor newspaper reporting of polls and a worthy recipient of the much sought after "UKPR crap media reporting of polls award". Regular readers will recall Ipsos MORI's monthly poll for the Standard, which showed topline figures of CON 29%, LAB
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