Next week
I'm off on a break for the next week, and have no idea yet whether I'll have decent internet access, so updates for the next week may be infrequent (or absent!). In the meantime, have a good bank holiday weekend one and all.
Anthony Wells
MORI/Reuters - CON 35, LAB 42, LDEM 10
The monthly Ipsos-MORI political monitor for Reuters has topline figures (with changes from last month) of CON 35%(-5), LAB 42%(+2), LDEM 10%(+1). Reuters strangely headline it "Conservatives' support falls slightly". I'm delighted to see the media not over-egging changes that probably aren&
The Lib Dem collapse in Scotland
Here's something interesting. Normally the best prediction (or at least, the least flawed prediction) of how votes translate into seats is a uniform swing projection - that is, if a party has increased it's national share of the vote by 5 percentage points, you add five
Coalition seen as less tough on crime than last Labour government
The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are up on their website here. Questions today are, unsurprisingly, largely about the two cabinet politicians under clouds - Ken Clarke and Chris Huhne. The most interesting (and worrying for the government) finding however is about crime. Asked whether the current
YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 37, LAB 42, LDEM 8
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%. I'll do a proper write up of the poll tomorrow morning once the tables go up on the YouGov website. So far I am not aware of any other
YouGov/Sun - CON 36, LAB 42, LD 9
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. It's at the top end of the Labour lead than YouGov have been showing over the last two weeks, but is probably just normal random variation (before anyone asks, it&
YouGov/Sun - CON 39 LAB 41 LD 9
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9% - another two point lead. Since the local elections the average lead in YouGov's daily polls has dropped to just over 3 points, compare that to a peak in YouGov&
YouGov's Sunday Times poll
YouGov's weekly poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%. Full tables are up on the YouGov website here. The regular trackers would appear to have been impacted by the elections at the start of the month - David Cameron'
New ComRes poll - CON 38, LAB 39, LD 11
There is a new online ComRes poll in the Indy on Sunday. Topline figures with changes from a month ago are CON 38%(+3), LAB 39%(nc), LDEM 11%(+1), Others 12%(-4). ComRes's online polls tend to show smaller Labour leads than their telephone polls, but neverless
YouGov poll of Lib Dem members
As well as the Scottish polling there was also a YouGov poll of Lib Dem members yesterday, conducted following the local election results. YouGov surveyed 396 panellists who identified themselves as current Liberal Democrat party members, and 118 who had previously told us they were members of the party but
Opinion on Scottish Independence... in Scotland AND England
Today's Sun has two parallel polls on Scottish Independence - one of Scottish adults, one of English & Welsh adults. In Scotland 29% of people support Independence, 58% of people were opposed (this survey asked a generic support or oppose independence question, but the result was almost
Populus/Times - CON 37, LAB 39, LDEM 11
Populus's monthly poll for the Times is published today. Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 37%(+1), LAB 39%(-1), LDEM 11%(nc). There's no obvious sign of a post-election drop for the Lib Dems here, but it is the smaller Labour lead