Two new polls tonight, showing contrasting pictures. I already mentioned Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor in passing earlier on, but for the record their topline figures are CON 36%(+1), LAB 37%(-4), LDEM 11%(-1), Others 16%(+4). Like ICM's poll earlier in the week
YouGov has published its latest London voting intentions here. For the last few months YouGov have shown Boris and Ken effectively neck-and-neck, these latest figures have Boris opening up a lead. On first preferences Boris is at 49%, Ken at 41%, Brian Paddick 5% and others 4%. When respondents are
A version of this post also appears on the YouGov website here Ahead of the budget tomorrow here's a round up of the various questions that YouGov have asked about the budget in recent weeks, mostly in the YouGov/Sunday Times polls. The budget comes under a background
This month's ICM poll for the Guardian is out and has topline figures of CON 39%(+3), LAB 36%(-1), LDEM 15%(+1), Others 10%(-3). ICM normally show the best figures for the Liberal Democrats and the worst figures for Labour for methodological reasons, so it shouldn&
Full results for YouGov's weekly Sunday Times poll are now up here, mostly concentrating on next week's budget and Britain's relationship with the USA. On the regular leadership trackers David Cameron's approval rating is at minus 5 (up from minus 9 last
You may remember my blog post about the Observer reporting a voodoo poll as if were representative of members of the Royal College of Physicians a couple of weeks ago. Back then an open access poll hosted on a website campaigning against the government's NHS bill found 92.
The monthly online ComRes poll for the Sunday Indy and Sunday Mirror is out tonight and has topline figures, with changes from ComRes's last online poll a month ago, of CON 37%(-2), LAB 40%(+2), LDEM 10%(nc), Others 13%(nc). The shift towards Labour backs up
Various groups are touting polls that they claim show at one extreme 70% of people opposed to gay marriage, and at the other 65% in support. What's the real picture? The cause of the disparity is party my old bug bear of questions asked as an agree/disagree
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%. It looks as though both the 7 point lead and the 3 point lead we've had in the last couple of days were both normal variation within the margin of
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%. The seven point Labour lead in this poll is the largest YouGov have shown since before Cameron's veto in December. Normal caveats apply of course - true, it could be
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 41%, LD 9%, very much in line with the 4 or 5 point Labour leads we saw all of last week. We appear to be back in the sort of voting intention figures that we
The tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here, with the usual range of issues: amongst others the budget, gay marriage, Prince Harry and Afghanistan. As the overall voting intention figures seem to be heading back to the sort of position we were seeing last year, with
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