This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 37%, LD 11%, UKIP 12%. The five point lead is right at the bottom of YouGov's current range - we had a couple at the beginning of July, but other than that
Ipsos MORI have released a fascinating chunk of polling on how people's perceptions differ from reality - report here and full toplines here. A lot of the poll won't be anything new to regular readers. We've all seen previous polls showing that the general
YouGov's daily poll for the Sun this morning has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 40%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10%. For the record the 34% for the Conservatives is the highest since early February. Out yesterday there were also some more results from YouGov's poll of
This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is now up online here. Topline voting intention is CON 33%, LAB 39%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12% The leaders approval ratings are minus 20 for Cameron (from minus 17 last week), minus 34 for Miliband (from minus 31 last week)
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 39%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%. That's the third poll in a row showing an eight point lead, so it looks as though the further narrowing at the start of the week was
Last week Lord Ashcroft released some new polling on Boris Johnson and I said I'd write more about him in a couple of days time. Alas I should have been quicker, for everyone is now busy fussing about Unite and Tom Watson, but the what the hell! I&
Last summer I did a post looking at the "house effects" of each polling company, that is - the party partisan effects of each company's methodology. We know, for example, that ICM reallocate their don't knows which helps the Lib Dems, that Survation prompt
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 38%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 12%. It shows Labour's lead down to five points for the second YouGov poll in a row. I suspect these are two polls at the lower end of
This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is now up on their website here. Topline figures are CON 33%, LAB 38%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 11%. The five point Labour lead is their lowest this year (the last time YouGov's Labour lead was this small was
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13%. This is a bit more typical of YouGov's recent polling after a rather incongruous eleven point Labour lead in yesterday's poll - the underlying average
Last year I wrote an article on How Not To Report Opinion Polls. It included advice on ignoring small cross breaks, margins of error and not cherry-picking. That is, if there is a long data series with lots of noise and random error, don't pick out the one
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline voting intention figures of CON 32%, LAB 40%, LD 11%, UKIP 11%. The eleven points for UKIP is the lowest YouGov have shown since the local elections (indeed, its the lowest of any poll since then). All the usual
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