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Bad poll reporting corner

Time for some bad poll reporting, or more specifically, bad poll headlining (Nicholas Watt's actual article is eventually perfectly clear about the details of the poll). Tonight the Guardian report that "Labour support up 14 points after Miliband's energy pledge". Now, one might very

By Anthony Wells 31 Oct 2013

Tuesday round up

There are a few interesting bits of polling news today. First there is a new chunk of Lord Ashcroft polling, this time on the Conservative's position in Scotland. Full results are here. I won't summarise the whole report here, but essentially he segments up the Scottish

By Anthony Wells 29 Oct 2013

ComRes/Indy - CON 28, LAB 36, LD 11, UKIP 12

ComRes's monthly poll for the Independent is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 28%(-5), LAB 36%(-1), LD 11%(nc), UKIP 12%(+1), Others 13%(+5). A significant drop for the Conservatives, and a significant increase for minor parties. The eight point lead for Labour

By Anthony Wells 28 Oct 2013

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 39, LD 9, UKIP 12

YouGov's weekly results for the Sunday Times are out here. Topline figures are CON 33%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12%. The poll started with an interesting question on the economy - directly addressing the queries you sometimes see on whether the GDP figures are actually reflected in

By Anthony Wells 27 Oct 2013

YouGov/Sun - CON 32, LAB 39, LD 9, UKIP 11

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%. It comes after an eight point lead yesterday, and a couple of six points leads at the end of last week, so we've had a couple of

By Anthony Wells 24 Oct 2013

Questions that should be ignored

Or at least, questions that should be treated with a large dose of scepticism. My heart always falls when I see questions like those below in polls. I try not to put up posts here just saying "this poll is stupid, ignore it" but sometimes it's

By Anthony Wells 22 Oct 2013

ComRes Brighton poll and latest Populus polling

The BBC have commissioned a very rare creature - a local government voting intention poll for a single council, in this case a ComRes poll of Brighton and Hove. The reason, naturally enough, is because of Brighton's status as being the only Green party council in the country.

By Anthony Wells 21 Oct 2013

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 39, LD 10, UKIP 11

The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 11%. Most of the rest of the poll asked about the "plebgate" row. As various questions about Plebgate have continued to surface public opinion has moved in favour of

By Anthony Wells 20 Oct 2013

New Opinium and ComRes polls

ComRes's monthly online poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror has topline figures of CON 32%(+4), LAB 35%(-1), LDEM 9%(-1), UKIP 16%(-1). Changes are from their poll a month ago, conducted just after the Lib Dem conference. The 32% for the Conservatives

By Anthony Wells 19 Oct 2013

Opinium Polls

Opinium Opinium since 2005 Survey End Date CON (%) LAB (%) LDEM (%) Con Lead"; mysql_connect("localhost", "ukpoll_ajwells", "haddock"); mysql_select_db ("ukpoll_pollresults"); $result5 = mysql_query ("SELECT * FROM voteint WHERE Company='Opinium'"); for ( $i=0; $i Opinium/

By Anthony Wells 19 Oct 2013

Saturday night polls

I'm out tonight, but for those who aren't you can expect to see a new ComRes for the Sunday Indy and Sunday Mirror, the fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer and the regular weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times.

By Anthony Wells 19 Oct 2013

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 35, LAB 35, LD 9, UKIP 10

The monthly Ipsos MORI political monitor for the Standard shows the two main parties neck and neck, CON 35%(+1), LAB 35%(-2), LDEM 9%(-1), UKIP 10%(-1). This is the first time MORI have shown the Conservatives catching Labour since January 2012, when David Cameron was enjoying a

By Anthony Wells 17 Oct 2013
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