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New TNS BMRB and Survation Scottish polls

Following the intervention of George Osborne into the debate over Scottish independence and what currency an independent Scotland might use there has been an obvious interest in the next Scottish polls and what they might show. Will it have closed or widened the gap, or made no difference? Today there

By Anthony Wells 20 Feb 2014

YouGov Welsh poll

ITV Wales has a new YouGov poll of Welsh voting intentions out today, summarised by Roger Scully here. The various different VIs, with changes from December's poll, are as follows: Westminster VI: CON 22%(+1), LAB 47%(+1), LD 7%(-1), Plaid 11%(-1), UKIP 9%(-1) Welsh

By Anthony Wells 17 Feb 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 32, LAB 39, LD 9, UKIP 12

This week's YouGov/Sunday Times results are here. Topline voting intentions are CON 32%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12%. People's opinion of how Cameron has handled the floods has crept up slightly since last week, but a solid majority still think he hasn't

By Anthony Wells 16 Feb 2014

ComRes/Sunday Indy - CON 32, LAB 37, LD 9, UKIP 15

The monthly online ComRes poll for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out tonight with topline figures of CON 32%(+2), LAB 37%(+2), LDEM 9%(+1), UKIP 15%(-4). The Labour lead is unchanged, but UKIP drop four points. ComRes's online polls typically show some

By Anthony Wells 15 Feb 2014

Latest Populus and YouGov figures

Today's Populus and YouGov polls both have six point leads for Labour. Populus's topline figures in their twice weekly poll are CON 32%, LAB 38%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14% (tabs are here). The daily YouGov poll for the Sun this morning has topline figures of CON

By Anthony Wells 14 Feb 2014

Churn and gender gaps

Two things worth looking at elsewhere. The first is an article by Peter Kellner on churn. This is something I've been meaning to write about for sometime but never got round to, but Peter has now done the hardwork himself! I often see people taking about the next

By Anthony Wells 11 Feb 2014

ICM/Guardian - CON 34, LAB 38, LD 10, UKIP 11

The monthly ICM/Guardian poll is out tonight here. Topline voting intentions are CON 34%(+2), LAB 38%(+3), LDEM 10%(-4), UKIP 11%(+1). In recent years ICM have tended to show the highest level of support for the Liberal Democrats because of their reallocation of don't

By Anthony Wells 10 Feb 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 35, LAB 39, LD 10, UKIP 10

The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is up here. Topline voting intentions are CON 35%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10% - a four point Labour lead. On the regular leader questions both Cameron and Miliband are doing comparatively well - 41% think David Cameron is doing well

By Anthony Wells 09 Feb 2014

Populus - CON 33, LAB 36, LD 9, UKIP 15

Populus's twice weekly poll today has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 15% (tabs here. These figures are on the back of a slight tweak in Populus's methodology. Previously they weighted party identification to figures drawn from the 2010 British Social Attitudes

By Anthony Wells 07 Feb 2014

Lord Ashcroft poll of Wythenshawe and Sale East

Lord Ashcroft has just released a poll of voting intentions in the Wythenshawe and Sale East by election. Details are here, but essentially it suggests an extremely comfortable Labour hold with UKIP and the Conservatives battling for a distant second place. Voting intentions with changes from the last election are

By Anthony Wells 06 Feb 2014

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 31, LAB 38, LD 12, UKIP 10

The monthly Ipsos MORI poll for the Standard is out today with topline voting intention figures of CON 31%(+1), LAB 38%(-1), LDEM 12%(-1), UKIP 10%(-1), not in itself any significant change from last month. Full tabs are here. Econiomic optimism continues to climb, 50% of people

By Anthony Wells 06 Feb 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 33, LAB 38, LD 11, UKIP 11

The Sun have tweeted out tonight's YouGov figures. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 38%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 11%. The five point lead is the same as in yesterday's Sunday Times. Meanwhile the twice-weekly Populus poll has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 41%, LDEM

By Anthony Wells 03 Feb 2014
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