YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 36, LAB 37, LD 9, UKIP 11

The full details of YouGov's weekly Sunday Times poll are now up online here. Topline voting intention figures are CON 36%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%. That means two polls today, from YouGov and Survation, both show a reduced Labour lead of just one point. As ever

Survation/Mail on Sunday - CON 34, LAB 35, LD 9, UKIP 15

Survation have a post-budget poll in the Mail on Sunday tomorrow with topline voting intention figures of CON 34%(+4), LAB 35%(+1), LDEM 9%(-3), UKIP 15%(-3). Changes are from their Sky News poll in January. The one point Labour lead is the smallest Survation have shown since

First YouGov post-budget poll

YouGov's first post-budget poll is in this morning's Sun. Topline voting intentions are CON 34%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10%. Five point Labour lead is broadly normal, though obviously you want to have several polls to get an idea of whether an event has had

Panelbase/NewsNetScotland - YES 40%, NO 45%

There is a new Panelbase Scottish poll for NewsNet Scotland out today, with topline figures of YES 40%, NO 45%, don't know 15%. Leaving aside that one poll with leading questions, the five point lead for No is the smallest we've seen since way back in

YouGov/Times European poll

We are unlikely to get any proper polling on the budget until tomorrow night, so in the meantime here is some new YouGov polling on the European elections that was published in this morning's Times. Topline voting intentions for Europe are CON 24%, LAB 32%, LDEM 10%, UKIP

Budget 2014

Tomorrow we have the 2014 budget. There have been a few pre-budget polls, but they don't really show us much we didn't already know: the public are increasingly optimistic about the state of the economy as a whole, but remain pessimistic about their own personal finances

This is not a prediction

Over on the right hand side of this site is a projection of how the current polls would translate into seats at a general election tomorrow, if there was a uniform swing. On twitter and suchlike I sometimes see if referred to as UKPR's current prediction, but I&

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33%, LAB 40%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 12%

The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times results are up here.Topline figures are CON 33%, LAB 40%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 12%. Almost half (49%) of the country now think the economy is showing signs of recovery (38%) or is on the way to full recovery (11%), up from 43% in December.

New ComRes and Opinium polls

The monthly online ComRes poll for the Sunday Indy and Sunday Mirror is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 32%(nc), LAB 35%(-2), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 16%(+1). Tabs are here. The poll also asked about European election voting intentions and found toplines of CON 21%

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 32, LAB 35, LDEM 13, UKIP 11

The monthly Ipsos MORI poll for the Standard is out today and has topline voting intention figures of CON 32%(+1), LAB 35%(-3), LDEM 13%(+1), UKIP 11%(+1). Full tabs are here. There's quite a lot of other stuff in this month's poll. 47%

ICM/Guardian - CON 35, LAB 38, LDEM 12, UKIP 9

The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian is out tonight with topline figures of CON 35%(+1), LAB 38%(nc), LDEM 12%(+2), UKIP 9%(-2). There is little change in Conservative and Labour support (though perhaps worth noting that the Tory score is the highest ICM have shown since

Who are UKIP a threat to?

Rob Ford and Matt Goodwin have got a new book, Revolt on the Rightout later this week looking at UKIP's growth and based on extensive polling. This post isn't about the book as such - I haven't read it yet - but about the