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This is not a prediction

Over on the right hand side of this site is a projection of how the current polls would translate into seats at a general election tomorrow, if there was a uniform swing. On twitter and suchlike I sometimes see if referred to as UKPR's current prediction, but I&

By Anthony Wells 17 Mar 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33%, LAB 40%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 12%

The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times results are up here.Topline figures are CON 33%, LAB 40%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 12%. Almost half (49%) of the country now think the economy is showing signs of recovery (38%) or is on the way to full recovery (11%), up from 43% in December.

By Anthony Wells 16 Mar 2014

New ComRes and Opinium polls

The monthly online ComRes poll for the Sunday Indy and Sunday Mirror is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 32%(nc), LAB 35%(-2), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 16%(+1). Tabs are here. The poll also asked about European election voting intentions and found toplines of CON 21%

By Anthony Wells 15 Mar 2014

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 32, LAB 35, LDEM 13, UKIP 11

The monthly Ipsos MORI poll for the Standard is out today and has topline voting intention figures of CON 32%(+1), LAB 35%(-3), LDEM 13%(+1), UKIP 11%(+1). Full tabs are here. There's quite a lot of other stuff in this month's poll. 47%

By Anthony Wells 13 Mar 2014

ICM/Guardian - CON 35, LAB 38, LDEM 12, UKIP 9

The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian is out tonight with topline figures of CON 35%(+1), LAB 38%(nc), LDEM 12%(+2), UKIP 9%(-2). There is little change in Conservative and Labour support (though perhaps worth noting that the Tory score is the highest ICM have shown since

By Anthony Wells 11 Mar 2014
Who are UKIP a threat to?

Who are UKIP a threat to?

Rob Ford and Matt Goodwin have got a new book, Revolt on the Rightout later this week looking at UKIP's growth and based on extensive polling. This post isn't about the book as such - I haven't read it yet - but about the

By Anthony Wells 10 Mar 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 32, LAB 39, LD 10, UKIP 14

The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll is up online here. Topline voting intentions are CON 32%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 14%. Most of the survey covers British attitudes to the ongoing crisis in Ukraine. Broadly speaking, public opinion is strongly on the side of the Ukraine over Russia, but

By Anthony Wells 09 Mar 2014

Latest ComRes and YouGov polls

As we rather expected from this morning's tables, the monthly ComRes telephone poll for the Indy has the Labour lead up again after the unusual one point lead a month ago. Topline figures are CON 30%(-2), LAB 38%(+5), LDEM 10%(+1), UKIP 11%(-3). Part of

By Anthony Wells 04 Mar 2014

Tuesday round up

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 12%. The Labour lead of nine points is higher than YouGov have shown of late, but as ever, don't get too excited about individual polls apparently showing movement,

By Anthony Wells 04 Mar 2014

New MORI and YouGov Scottish polls

Saturday's Sun newspaper had a new YouGov poll of Scottish voting intentions with topline figures of YES 35%(+1), NO 53%(+1). There's obviously no significant change from YouGov's previous poll, carried out at the start of February before the recent currency row, and

By Anthony Wells 03 Mar 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 34, LAB 38, LD 9, UKIP 12

This week YouGov/Sunday Times results are here. Topline voting intention figures are CON 34%, LAB 38%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12%. Politically the most interesting questions were about Harriet Harman and the ongoing NCCL/PIE/Daily Mail row, essentially measuring its lack of impact. Only 34% of people say they

By Anthony Wells 02 Mar 2014

Opinium/Observer - CON 29, LAB 34, LD 10, UKIP 19

The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer tonight has topline figures of CON 29%(+1), LAB 34%(-3), LDEM 10%(+2), UKIP 19%(+2). Opinium tend to show higher figures for UKIP and consequently some of the lowest figures for the Conservatives and Labour (something that's probably due

By Anthony Wells 01 Mar 2014
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