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ICM/Guardian - CON 32, LAB 37, LD 12, UKIP 11

Tonight we have the new monthly ICM poll for the Guardian. Topline figures are CON 32%(-3), LAB 37%(-1), LDEM 12%(nc), UKIP 11%(+2). More intriguing are the European voting intentions in the same poll - other recent European polls have been showing Labour and UKIP in a

By Anthony Wells 14 Apr 2014

Five things that will decide the next election

As you might imagine, a year out from a general election the one question I get asked more than any other is "well, who is going win then?". It's a question I try to avoid answering like the plague. The simple answer is we don'

By Anthony Wells 13 Apr 2014

New ComRes and Opinium polls

Two new polls tonight (YouGov/Sunday Times is still to come) and both showing six point Labour leads and UKIP increasing their support. The online ComRes poll in the Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror has topline figures of CON 29%(-3), LAB 35%(nc), LDEM 7%(-2), UKIP 20%(+4)

By Anthony Wells 12 Apr 2014

Thursday polling round up

For a Thursday there was rather a lot of polling today which I'm only just getting chance to catch up with. Firstly we had Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for the Standard. Topline voting intention figures are CON 31%(-1), LAB 37%(+2), LDEM 9%(-4)

By Anthony Wells 10 Apr 2014

Populus and TNS European polls

Two new European election polls over the last couple of days. A Populus poll for the FT shows Labour in first place, with the Conservatives and UKIP fighting for second place. Topline figures are CON 27%, LAB 31%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 25%, GRN 3%. It was conducted between the 4th-6th

By Anthony Wells 09 Apr 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 33, LAB 37, LD 10, UKIP 13

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13%. A Labour lead of four points and UKIP at 13%. UKIP are lower than yesterday, but worth noting that they've been averaging at around 13% since the

By Anthony Wells 09 Apr 2014

A reminder of what moves polls

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 14%. The three point lead for Labour is lower than usual, though nothing to get too excited about as it is well within the normal margin of error for a

By Anthony Wells 08 Apr 2014

Panelbase/Wings over Scotland - YES 41%, NO 46%

Just catching up on another Scottish poll at the weekend - Panelbase produced a new referendum poll for Wings Over Scotland. Topline figures are YES 41%(+1), NO 46%(+1), confirming the narrower lead we saw in the last Panelbase poll in mid-March. Full tabs are here. There remains a

By Anthony Wells 07 Apr 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 34, LAB 39, LD 9, UKIP 12

The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is up here. Topline voting intentions are CON 34%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12% - a five point Labour lead, typical of the sort of leads we were seeing before that brief post-budget narrowing. In addition to Westminster VI, YouGov also

By Anthony Wells 06 Apr 2014

New ComRes European poll

ComRes have a new poll of European voting intentions in the People tomorrow. Topline figures for those 10/10 certain to vote are CON 22%(+1), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 30%(nc), Others 10%. Changes are from the last ComRes European poll about a month ago. The

By Anthony Wells 05 Apr 2014

Latest YouGov and Populus polls

This morning's YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13% - a six point lead for Labour (as was yesterday's poll). After a week of narrower leads immediately following the budget it looks as though things have now reverted

By Anthony Wells 04 Apr 2014

YouGov and ICM both call debate for Farage

There were two immediate post-debate polls tonight, YouGov for the Sun and ICM for the Guardian (I think Opinium may be doing one too, but not being published until tomorrow). Both called it as a convincing win for Nigel Farage. YouGov had 68% saying Farage performed better, 27% Clegg, 5%

By Anthony Wells 02 Apr 2014
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