Just catching up on another Scottish poll at the weekend - Panelbase produced a new referendum poll for Wings Over Scotland. Topline figures are YES 41%(+1), NO 46%(+1), confirming the narrower lead we saw in the last Panelbase poll in mid-March. Full tabs are here. There remains a
The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is up here. Topline voting intentions are CON 34%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12% - a five point Labour lead, typical of the sort of leads we were seeing before that brief post-budget narrowing. In addition to Westminster VI, YouGov also
ComRes have a new poll of European voting intentions in the People tomorrow. Topline figures for those 10/10 certain to vote are CON 22%(+1), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 30%(nc), Others 10%. Changes are from the last ComRes European poll about a month ago. The
This morning's YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13% - a six point lead for Labour (as was yesterday's poll). After a week of narrower leads immediately following the budget it looks as though things have now reverted
There were two immediate post-debate polls tonight, YouGov for the Sun and ICM for the Guardian (I think Opinium may be doing one too, but not being published until tomorrow). Both called it as a convincing win for Nigel Farage. YouGov had 68% saying Farage performed better, 27% Clegg, 5%
The Sun politics team have tweeted out tonight's YouGov figures. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 37%, LD 10%, UKIP 12%. The four point Labour lead follows a three point lead yesterday - together they are rather unenlightening. They would be within the normal margin of error
A couple of years ago I wrote a piece giving advice on how to report opinion polls, or rather, how not to. Look specifically at the third point on being careful of extremely small sample sizes in cross-breaks. There was a cracking example of the media failing on this front
The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll is out here. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%. These would have been perfectly normal a fortnight ago, but contrast with the average Labour leads of two points or so that we've had for the last
The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer is now out and shows the same sort of narrowing we've seen in other post-budget polls. Topline figures with changes from a fortnight ago are CON 32%(+2), LAB 33%(-2), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 15%(-1). The only other poll
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 36%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 11% (tabs here.) Over the last week YouGov's daily polls have averaged out at a two point Labour lead, compared to five or six before the budget, suggesting
There is a YouGov/Sun instant reaction poll of people who watched the debate (weighting to be a representative sample in terms of party support and attitudes to EU membership). Result was a pretty comfortable win for Farage: 57% think Farage did better, 36% think Clegg did better. UPDATE: A
I've been entrenched in preparing Nick v Nigel debate polling (more on that later) for the last couple of day, but in the meantime there have been two new Scottish referendum polls. The new YouGov poll in the Times this morning continues the recent trend of movement towards
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