For a Thursday there was rather a lot of polling today which I'm only just getting chance to catch up with. Firstly we had Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for the Standard. Topline voting intention figures are CON 31%(-1), LAB 37%(+2), LDEM 9%(-4)
Two new European election polls over the last couple of days. A Populus poll for the FT shows Labour in first place, with the Conservatives and UKIP fighting for second place. Topline figures are CON 27%, LAB 31%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 25%, GRN 3%. It was conducted between the 4th-6th
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13%. A Labour lead of four points and UKIP at 13%. UKIP are lower than yesterday, but worth noting that they've been averaging at around 13% since the
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 14%. The three point lead for Labour is lower than usual, though nothing to get too excited about as it is well within the normal margin of error for a
Just catching up on another Scottish poll at the weekend - Panelbase produced a new referendum poll for Wings Over Scotland. Topline figures are YES 41%(+1), NO 46%(+1), confirming the narrower lead we saw in the last Panelbase poll in mid-March. Full tabs are here. There remains a
The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is up here. Topline voting intentions are CON 34%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12% - a five point Labour lead, typical of the sort of leads we were seeing before that brief post-budget narrowing. In addition to Westminster VI, YouGov also
ComRes have a new poll of European voting intentions in the People tomorrow. Topline figures for those 10/10 certain to vote are CON 22%(+1), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 30%(nc), Others 10%. Changes are from the last ComRes European poll about a month ago. The
This morning's YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13% - a six point lead for Labour (as was yesterday's poll). After a week of narrower leads immediately following the budget it looks as though things have now reverted
There were two immediate post-debate polls tonight, YouGov for the Sun and ICM for the Guardian (I think Opinium may be doing one too, but not being published until tomorrow). Both called it as a convincing win for Nigel Farage. YouGov had 68% saying Farage performed better, 27% Clegg, 5%
The Sun politics team have tweeted out tonight's YouGov figures. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 37%, LD 10%, UKIP 12%. The four point Labour lead follows a three point lead yesterday - together they are rather unenlightening. They would be within the normal margin of error
A couple of years ago I wrote a piece giving advice on how to report opinion polls, or rather, how not to. Look specifically at the third point on being careful of extremely small sample sizes in cross-breaks. There was a cracking example of the media failing on this front
The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll is out here. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%. These would have been perfectly normal a fortnight ago, but contrast with the average Labour leads of two points or so that we've had for the last
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