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Latest Populus and YouGov figures

The first two post-Easter polls today share a three point lead for Labour. The twice weekly Populus poll has toplines of CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13%. (Tabs here). Meanwhile tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 37%, LD 10%

By Anthony Wells 22 Apr 2014

New Scottish Independence polls

There are two new Scottish independence polls in today's papers - ICM for Scotland on Sunday, and Survation for the Sunday Post, both conducted just after the SNP's conference last weekend (though as ever, correlation should not necessarily imply causality.) ICM in the Scotland on Sunday

By Anthony Wells 20 Apr 2014

Sunday polls

No YouGov/Sunday Times poll tomorrow because of the Friday bank holiday, but there is an ICM European election poll in the Sunday Telegraph and a couple of Scottish polls. The ICM European poll has voting intentions of CON 22%, LAB 30%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 27%. Labour first, UKIP a

By Anthony Wells 19 Apr 2014

Compare and contrast

A couple of weeks ago someone sent me a link to a "poll" in the Tab (which, one understands, is some form of newspaper for students) that claimed to show Conservatives were in the lead amongst students. Nonsense of course, it was an open access voodoo poll with

By Anthony Wells 18 Apr 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 33%, LAB 39%, LD 9%, UKIP 11%

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%. A rather more typical six point Labour lead after a three pointer yesterday.

By Anthony Wells 16 Apr 2014

ICM/Guardian - CON 32, LAB 37, LD 12, UKIP 11

Tonight we have the new monthly ICM poll for the Guardian. Topline figures are CON 32%(-3), LAB 37%(-1), LDEM 12%(nc), UKIP 11%(+2). More intriguing are the European voting intentions in the same poll - other recent European polls have been showing Labour and UKIP in a

By Anthony Wells 14 Apr 2014

Five things that will decide the next election

As you might imagine, a year out from a general election the one question I get asked more than any other is "well, who is going win then?". It's a question I try to avoid answering like the plague. The simple answer is we don'

By Anthony Wells 13 Apr 2014

New ComRes and Opinium polls

Two new polls tonight (YouGov/Sunday Times is still to come) and both showing six point Labour leads and UKIP increasing their support. The online ComRes poll in the Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror has topline figures of CON 29%(-3), LAB 35%(nc), LDEM 7%(-2), UKIP 20%(+4)

By Anthony Wells 12 Apr 2014

Thursday polling round up

For a Thursday there was rather a lot of polling today which I'm only just getting chance to catch up with. Firstly we had Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for the Standard. Topline voting intention figures are CON 31%(-1), LAB 37%(+2), LDEM 9%(-4)

By Anthony Wells 10 Apr 2014

Populus and TNS European polls

Two new European election polls over the last couple of days. A Populus poll for the FT shows Labour in first place, with the Conservatives and UKIP fighting for second place. Topline figures are CON 27%, LAB 31%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 25%, GRN 3%. It was conducted between the 4th-6th

By Anthony Wells 09 Apr 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 33, LAB 37, LD 10, UKIP 13

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13%. A Labour lead of four points and UKIP at 13%. UKIP are lower than yesterday, but worth noting that they've been averaging at around 13% since the

By Anthony Wells 09 Apr 2014

A reminder of what moves polls

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 14%. The three point lead for Labour is lower than usual, though nothing to get too excited about as it is well within the normal margin of error for a

By Anthony Wells 08 Apr 2014
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