When you sit down to do a marginals polls one consideration is where you draw the line: what is a marginal? The thing you want to avoid is under or overshooting the real battleground - the risk is that you poll lots of seats that need a swing of up
The monthly ComRes telephone poll is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 30%(nc), LAB 32%(-3), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 18%(+4). Changes are since the last ComRes telephone poll, just before the European election. Meanwhile the daily YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of
Three new polls so far today - the two regular GB polls from Ashcroft and Populus and ComRes's monthly marginals poll. Lord Ashcroft's weekly poll today has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 31%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 15%. This is the first Conservative lead in a
The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll is up here. Topline voting intention figures are a very normal CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 14%. The rest of the poll dealt with Europe, Coulson and Iraq. Dealing with Europe first, by 40% to 14% people thought Cameron was right to
This morning's daily YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 37%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 14%, very much in line with the recent average. The average figures in YouGov's daily polls so far this month are CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 8%
Just a quick post on Monday's regular polls from Lord Ashcroft and Populus. The twice-weekly online poll from Populus has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 13%, GRN 3%. Tabs here. Lord Ashcroft's weekly telephone poll has topline figures of CON 28%
The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is up on the website here, topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 38%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 14%. Tabs are here A large part of the poll covered perceptions of Ed Miliband, something that we've seen in other polls lately and
The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer is out tonight, with topline figures of CON 31%(nc), LAB 35%(nc), LDEM 7%(+1), UKIP 17%(-2), Greens 5%. Their Labour lead remains at four points. Yesterday there was also a "new" TNS voting intention poll, as far as
Having polled Lab -v- Con seats last month, Lord Ashcroft has now done a similar exercise in ultra-marginal seats between the Liberal Democrats and Conservatives. He polled 17 seats. 6 are Conservative held seats where the Lib Dems came a close second last time and need not unduly delay us,
The daily YouGov poll for the Sun tonight has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 38%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 13%. We also had the monthly Ipsos MORI political monitor earlier on today - details here. They had topline figures of CON 31%(nc), LAB 34%(nc), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP
YouGov had a new Scottish referendum poll in this morning's Sun - tabs are now up on the website here. The headline referendum voting figures are 36%(-1) for YES, 53%(+2) for NO, changes are from YouGov's last poll in April. Excluding don't
The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 31%(-2), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 10%(-3), UKIP 16%(+1). Changes are from ICM's poll a month ago which, as you'll note from the changes, showed a Tory lead.
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