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YouGov Scottish poll - YES 43, NO 57

It's now exactly one month to go until the Scottish referendum, and this morning's Times has a fresh YouGov Scottish poll. Topline figures are YES 38%(+3), NO 51%(-4). Excluding don't knows this works out at YES 43%(+4), NO 57%(-4). The

By Anthony Wells 18 Aug 2014

New Panelbase and ICM Scottish polls

There are two new Scottish polls in Sunday's papers, an ICM poll for the Scotland on Sunday and a Panelbase poll commissioned by the Yes campaign. These are only the second and third polls that we've seen conducted wholly after the debate between Alex Salmond and

By Anthony Wells 17 Aug 2014

Ashcroft poll of Uxbridge & South Ruislip

Lord Ashcroft has today published a new poll of Uxbridge & South Ruislip, a generally unspectacular and unnotable safe Conservative seat in West London. It shows voting intentions of CON 42%(-6), LAB 28%(+5), LDEM 6%(-14), UKIP 19%(+16), what would be an unsurprising Conservative hold. The

By Anthony Wells 16 Aug 2014

Round Up - Scotland, Iraq and a new projection

A round up of various polling bits and bobs from the last few days, starting with a couple of Scottish polls. TNS released their latest figures yesterday, as usual there's quite a gap between fieldwork and release - it was conduced between 23rd July and the 7th August,

By Anthony Wells 14 Aug 2014

Ipsos-MORI/Standard - CON 33, LAB 33, LD 7, UKIP 13, GRN 7

The monthly Ipsos MORI political monitor has topline voting intention figures of CON 33%(+1), LAB 33%(-2), LDEM 7%(+1), UKIP 13%(-1), GRN 7%. Labour and the Conservatives are equal on 33, the first MORI poll since last November not to show a Labour lead. All the usual

By Anthony Wells 13 Aug 2014

ICM/Guardian - CON 31, LAB 38, LD 12, UKIP 10

The August ICM poll for the Guardian is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 31%(-3), LAB 38%(+5), LDEM 12%(nc), UKIP 10%(+1). It's a much higher Labour lead than ICM have shown of late, their polls for the last few months have been

By Anthony Wells 11 Aug 2014

YouGov/Sun Scottish poll

Kevin Schofield at the Sun has just tweeted out the latest YouGov Scottish polling from tomorrow morning's Sun (£). Topline figures are YES 35%, NO 55%. Without don't knows it works out at YES 39%, NO 61%. The fieldwork for the poll straddled the debate - just

By Anthony Wells 10 Aug 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 37, LD 8, UKIP 13

The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is up here. Topline figures are CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13%. Most of the rest of the poll dealt with Boris Johnson's planned return to Parliament. Dealing with the practical implications first, 35% think Boris should stand

By Anthony Wells 10 Aug 2014

Post-debate Survation poll shows swing to NO

This morning's Scottish Daily Mail has a new Survation poll of Scotland. Referendum voting intention figures with changes from last week are YES 37%(-3), NO 50%(+4), Don't know 13%(-1). Excluding don't knows that works out at YES 43%(-4), NO 57%

By Anthony Wells 09 Aug 2014
Marginal polls

Marginal polls

Back in May when ComRes first launched their marginal seat Omnibus I wrote about some of my reticence towards marginal polling, why it isn't usually quite as useful as it should be, and why I hoped that might change. Marginal seat polls matter because they are the seats

By Anthony Wells 07 Aug 2014

Salmond v Darling debate

Tonight is the long awaited Scottish debate between Alex Salmond and Alistair Darling. STV released their latest Ipsos MORI at the start of the debate - topline figures there are YES 40%(+4), NO 54%(nc), don't knows just 6%. Excluding don't knows that works out

By Anthony Wells 05 Aug 2014

Latest Populus and Ashcroft polls

A quick update with our regular Monday polls from Populus and Lord Ashcroft: Populus's topline figures today were CON 35%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 3%. Tabs are here. Ashcroft's figures are CON 30%, LAB 33%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 18%, GRN 6%. Tabs are

By Anthony Wells 04 Aug 2014
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