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Opinium/Observer - CON 30, LAB 36, LD 7, UKIP 16

The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer is out tonight. Topline figures are CON 30%(+2), LAB 36%(+4), LDEM 7%(-3), UKIP 16%(-5). The sharp fall in UKIP support probably isn't meaningful at all, the Opinium poll a fortnight ago had them jumping five points to

By Anthony Wells 30 Aug 2014

Survation Scottish poll - YES 47, NO 53

Survation have a new Scottish referendum poll in tomorrow's Daily Mail. Topline figures are YES 42%(+5), NO 48%(-2), Don't knows 11%(-2) (excluding don't knows it is YES 47%, up 4). This is the first poll since the second Salmond-Darling debate, and

By Anthony Wells 29 Aug 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 33, LAB 37, LD 8, UKIP 13

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13%. All very normal, but worth noting a slight update in methodology. As regular readers will know, YouGov's political weighting is based on panelists recorded party identification in

By Anthony Wells 27 Aug 2014

ICM show Salmond winning second debate

The snap ICM poll following the second Salmond-v-Darling debate shows a convincing win for Alex Salmond. 26% think Darling won the debate, 65% think Salmond did, 9% didn't know. Tabs are here. In the ICM poll following the first debate last month the large majority of existing YES

By Anthony Wells 25 Aug 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 34, LAB 36, LD 8, UKIP 14

I'll be back blogging properly after the weekend, but for now here is the weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll. Topline voting intention figures are CON 34%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 14%. There is now clearly more support than opposition for the RAF taking part in air strikes

By Anthony Wells 24 Aug 2014

ComRes/Indy on Sunday - CON 32, LAB 34, LD 8, UKIP 18

The monthly ComRes poll for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out tonight. Topline figures with changes from their previous online poll are CON 32%(+1), LAB 34%(nc), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 18%(+1): no significant change from a month ago. ComRes also did a batch of

By Anthony Wells 23 Aug 2014

New Lord Ashcroft marginal poll

Lord Ashcroft has produced another round of marginal polling - full details here. His last batch of polls revisited the Con-held ultra-marginals with Labour in second place. This time they deal with some Conservative held marginals with slightly larger majorities and revisit some Labour held marginals. The latter aren'

By Anthony Wells 20 Aug 2014

YouGov Scottish poll - YES 43, NO 57

It's now exactly one month to go until the Scottish referendum, and this morning's Times has a fresh YouGov Scottish poll. Topline figures are YES 38%(+3), NO 51%(-4). Excluding don't knows this works out at YES 43%(+4), NO 57%(-4). The

By Anthony Wells 18 Aug 2014

New Panelbase and ICM Scottish polls

There are two new Scottish polls in Sunday's papers, an ICM poll for the Scotland on Sunday and a Panelbase poll commissioned by the Yes campaign. These are only the second and third polls that we've seen conducted wholly after the debate between Alex Salmond and

By Anthony Wells 17 Aug 2014

Ashcroft poll of Uxbridge & South Ruislip

Lord Ashcroft has today published a new poll of Uxbridge & South Ruislip, a generally unspectacular and unnotable safe Conservative seat in West London. It shows voting intentions of CON 42%(-6), LAB 28%(+5), LDEM 6%(-14), UKIP 19%(+16), what would be an unsurprising Conservative hold. The

By Anthony Wells 16 Aug 2014

Round Up - Scotland, Iraq and a new projection

A round up of various polling bits and bobs from the last few days, starting with a couple of Scottish polls. TNS released their latest figures yesterday, as usual there's quite a gap between fieldwork and release - it was conduced between 23rd July and the 7th August,

By Anthony Wells 14 Aug 2014

Ipsos-MORI/Standard - CON 33, LAB 33, LD 7, UKIP 13, GRN 7

The monthly Ipsos MORI political monitor has topline voting intention figures of CON 33%(+1), LAB 33%(-2), LDEM 7%(+1), UKIP 13%(-1), GRN 7%. Labour and the Conservatives are equal on 33, the first MORI poll since last November not to show a Labour lead. All the usual

By Anthony Wells 13 Aug 2014
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