It's the last Sunday before the referendum so we can expect several polls tonight (in fact, the chances are we'll get lots today, and then comparatively few until Wednesday when there will be a glut of eve-of-referendum polls). I am expecting at least three today -
This week will obviously be dominated by Scottish polling - we have Opinium's first Scottish referendum poll tonight, and possibly a Panelbase poll, and then final call polls from at least YouGov, MORI, Opinium and Survation next week. In the meantime though a quick detour to update the
I was expecting the ICM/Guardian Scottish poll this evening, but in fact it's popped out already here. Headline figures are YES 49%, NO 51% - joining all the other polls in showing NO ahead, but only by the tiniest of margins. Worth noting that this was a
YouGov's penultimate Scottish poll before the referendum is out tonight (the last one being the eve-of-poll one next week). Topline figures, with changes from the weekend, are YES 48%(-3), NO 52%(+3) - the No campaign are once again ahead, but it remains within the margin of
Survation have new Scottish poll out tonight for the Daily Record. Topline referendum figures are YES 42%, NO 48%, Don't know 10%. Without don't knows it works out at YES 47%(nc), NO 53%(nc) - exactly the same split as their previous poll at the
For the many people who keep on asking, here are the remaining Scottish referendum polls that I know about. It's not necessarily exhaustive, there may be other polls out there still to come, but it's the sum of my knowledge at the moment: There is a
TNS have a new Scottish poll out tonight which echoes the big swing towards YES than YouGov have been showing in their recent polls. Topline figures are YES 38%(+6), NO 39%(-6), Don't know 23%(nc) with don't knows, YES 49%(+7), NO 51%(-7)
After their summer break Lord Ashcroft's weekly GB poll start up again today with topline figures of CON 28%, LAB 35%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 18%, GRN 6%. Tabs are here. Meanwhile this morning's twice weekly Populus poll has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 36%, LDEM
Polling attention today will unavoidably be concentrated on the Scottish YouGov poll, but for the record the regular YouGov/Sunday Times GB poll is also out - results here. Topline figures are CON 33%, LAB 35%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%. That too had a large chunk of Scottish questions aimed
A new YouGov poll of Scotland in tomorrow's Sunday Times has YES nudging ahead in the referendum race. Courtesy of Tim Shipman at the Sunday Times, the topline figures excluding don't knows are YES 51%(+4), NO 49%(-4). The last month of Scottish polls from
Scotland is likely to be the focus of polling for the next fortnight, but a brief update on the latest GB voting intention polls. Populus this morning has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 38%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 14%, GRN 4% (full tables are here). Meanwhile today's edition
Lord Ashcroft has published his poll of Clacton. Topline voting intention figures with changes from the general election are CON 24%(-29), LAB 16%(-9), LDEM 2%(-11), UKIP 56%(+56), full results are here. The lead is actually a little smaller than Survation's (perhaps because the fieldwork
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