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ComRes poll of marginal seats

ComRes released their latest poll of marginal seats today. As regular readers will recall, ComRes's marginal polls cover the 40 most marginal Con-v-Lab seats (25 Conservative held, 15 Labour held). Unlike Lord Ashcroft's marginal polls (which are actually a series of individual constituency polls in seats

By Anthony Wells 26 Nov 2014

Latest Populus, Ashcroft and YouGov polls

We have our usual rush of Monday polls today, all showing a slightly healthier Labour lead than of late. The first of Populus's two twice weekly polls had topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 36%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 15%, GRN 5% (tabs). Populus's average so far

By Anthony Wells 24 Nov 2014

No, UKIP aren't in second place

Full tabs for the YouGov/Sun on Sunday poll are now up here. The slightly larger sample than usual was to make sure they had a good sub-sample of Sun readers, which the Sun used in yesterday's analysis of the poll to look at what their own readers

By Anthony Wells 24 Nov 2014

Sunday polls

There are three polls in this Sunday's papers - Opinium in the Observer and two separate YouGov polls, one in the Sunday Times and one in the Sun on Sunday. Opinium has topline voting intention figures of CON 30%(+1), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 7%(-2), UKIP 19%

By Anthony Wells 23 Nov 2014

Today's Rochester and Strood by-election

Today is the Rochester and Strood by-election. After every by-election I see the same questions and I write essentially the same post. Given that, I thought I might as well write it before the result: whatever happens in the Rochester and Strood by-election it won't tell us anything

By Anthony Wells 20 Nov 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 34, LAB 33, LD 7, UKIP 14, GRN 6

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%. It has a Tory lead of one point, following a Labour lead in yesterday's YouGov/Sun poll. Realistically we are in a position where the two

By Anthony Wells 19 Nov 2014

Survation Scottish poll and a Tory lead from Opinium

Survation had a new Scottish poll out for the Daily Record this morning. It showed the same sort of surge in SNP support that we've seen in other recent Scottish polls from Ipsos MORI, YouGov and Panelbase - in this case Westminster voting intentions are CON 17%, LAB

By Anthony Wells 18 Nov 2014

Monday's Populus, Ashcroft and YouGov polls

Today we have our three regular Monday polls and all three are showing Labour and the Conservatives within a point of each other: Lord Ashcroft's weekly poll has topline figures of CON 29%, LAB 30%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 16%, GRN 7% (tabs here). The twice weekly Populus poll

By Anthony Wells 17 Nov 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 31, LAB 33, LD 7, UKIP 18, GRN 5

The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is here and has topline voting intention figures of CON 31%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 18%, GRN 5% - continuing to vary around what appears to be an underlying Labour lead of a point or so. Once again the poll included

By Anthony Wells 16 Nov 2014

ComRes/Sunday Indy - CON 30, LAB 34, LD 8, UKIP 19, GRN 3

ComRes's monthly online poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 30%, LAB 34%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 19%, GRN 3%. Tabs are here. On the face of it there is very little change from a month ago, the

By Anthony Wells 15 Nov 2014

Friday's YouGov and Populus polls

Tonight we will have new polls due from ComRes in the Indy on Sunday/Sunday Mirror and YouGov in the Sunday Times. In the meantime though, a quite update on the other polls this week. Thursday's YouGov poll had topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 7%

By Anthony Wells 15 Nov 2014

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 32, LAB 29, LD 9, UKIP 14, GRN 7

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor is out in today's Evening Standard with topline figures of CON 32%(+2), LAB 29%(-4), LDEM 9%(+1), UKIP 14%(-2), GRN 7%. The three point Conservative lead is the highest that MORI have shown since 2010 and the highest

By Anthony Wells 12 Nov 2014
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