We had a new TNS poll earlier on today with topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 34%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15%, GRN 5%, reversing the Conservative lead they had last week. Tabs are here. The only other GB poll I am expecting to see tonight is the regular YouGov poll
It's Monday, so as usual we are spoilt for polls, with new figures from Populus, Ashcroft and ICM (who are now on a weekly rota until the general election), with YouGov to come later on tonight. Populus have voting intentions of CON 32%, LAB 34%, LDEM 9%, UKIP
After the first leaders debate there was a single poll showing Ed Miliband with a better approval rating that David Cameron. It produced a typical example of rubbish media handling of polls - everyone got all excited about one unusual poll and talked about it on news bulletins and so
Two polls tonight - the regular Opinium/Observer and YouGov/Sunday Times weekend polls: YouGov have topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13%, GRN 5% Opinium have topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 32%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13%, GRN 5% A three point Labour lead from
Here are this week's GB polls: Opinium/Observer (9/4) - CON 36%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 11%, GRN 6% YouGov/Sun (10/4) - CON 33%, LAB 35%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13%, GRN 5% YouGov/S Times (11/4) - CON 34%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%
Lord Ashcroft has released a new batch of Scottish constituency polling. Full details are here. As regular readers will know, national polls in Scotland suggest an SNP landslide with no sign of the SNP lead narrowing as the election approaches. In fact the most recent Scottish polls from YouGov and
Two new GB voting intention polls today, with the regular YouGov/Sun poll still to come. The two polls so far are both wholly in line with the overall average - Lab and Con pretty much neck-and-neck, with Labour just a tad ahead. Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor
ComRes have published a new poll of voting intentions in LD-Con seats in the South West for ITV. Full details are here. The topline figures are CON 44%, LAB 13%, LDEM 26%, UKIP 10%. Given these are all seats that the Liberal Democrats won in 2010 this is a huge
ComRes have an interesting post over on their site about differences between online and telephone polling so far this year (as well as making some extremely sensible points about the polls not being all over the place). As they correctly say, telephone polls this year have been showing a tiny
Lord Ashcroft has a new batch of constituency polls out, this time looking at ten Conservative held seats with majorities of around 9% to 12% - seats that would need a Con>Lab swing of around about 5% to fall to Labour. Full details are here. National opinion polls
The worst thing you can do in analysing polls of voting intention is to get excited at polls that show something exciting and different and ignore those that show the same old pattern. Occassionally the unusual poll will herald a genuine movement in public opinion - after all, whenever there
The full results of YouGov's weekly Sunday Times poll are now up here. Topline figures are CON 34%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 13%, GRN 6%. The rest of the poll dealt mainly with perceptions of Labour and the Conservatives on tax, spending and business, plus the row
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