It's a truism that there isn't one election on May 7th, there are 650. However, the brutal reality is that lots of them will behave much the same in terms of swing, and that in lots of them the outcome is a virtual certainty and they
Two days to go. The huge rush in final polls won't be until tomorrow, but there are still a fair number of polls out today. I don't think any of them are proper final calls yet - most companies will produce their eve-of-election numbers tomorrow or
ICM have released a new constituency poll of Sheffield Hallam, conducted for the Guardian. It shows Nick Clegg holding on to his seat by a margin of seven points over Labour when respondents are asked a voting intention question that includes the names of the candidates standing. Full details are
The YouGov/Sunday Times poll had some questions trying to tease out people's perceptions of who has the best claim to be PM in a hung Parliament. This is, obviously, not necessarily the same thing as who will be. Much of the discussion I've seen on
We have good four or five polls in the final Sunday papers before the election, here is what's appeared so far: Opinium in the Observer continue to show a very tight race, in this case with the Conservatives just ahead. Topline figures are CON 35%, LAB 34%, LDEM
There won't be one. Stop being silly. If you'd like a longer answer. The birth of Prince George had no discernible effect upon the polls, the Royal Wedding had no discernible effect. The Diamond Jubilee was followed by a couple of polls with a reduced Labour
So far we've had two new GB polls today, both continuing to show the race pretty much neck-and-neck: Populus's twice-weekly poll has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 33%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 15%, GRN 4% (tabs). Note that Populus appear to have made a slight methodology
In what is presumably their penultimate general election poll (their final call poll is normally in the Standard on election day itself) Ipsos MORI have topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 30%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 10%, GRN 8%. It's quite a shift from their previous poll, which had
Another busy day for polling. We have only one GB voting intention poll today, but from a brand new pollster (later on we'll have the regular daily poll from YouGov and the ComRes/Mail/ITV poll). However we also have a new Scottish poll from Ipsos MORI, three
So far today we have had a new poll from TNS and a Scottish poll from Survation, with YouGov's daily poll for the Sun still to come. TNS's latest poll has topline GB voting intentions of CON 34%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 5%
Ten days to go to the election and we've had interesting day of polls - four new GB polls, some new constituency polling and a new Scottish poll. The four GB polls today are the weekly Ashcroft and ICM telephone polls, the twice weekly Populus poll and, to
The defining feature of voting intention in this election is how little it has moved. The graph below shows the UK Polling Report polling average for each week so far of 2015. Things haven't been completely static - at the beginning of 2015 Labour did still have a
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