ComRes released their monthly telephone poll for the Daily Mail last night, topline figures were CON 39%, LAB 30%, LD 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%. While the nine point Conservative lead looks similar to most recent polls, note that ComRes have been showing larger Conservative leads of late (typically around
There are two new bits of YouGov polling today. First up is the regular Welsh political barometer. The usual caveats apply about it being just one poll, but it shows Labour support perking up in Wales since Jeremy Corbyn's election - Westminster voting intentions with changes from last
Ipsos MORI have published their September political monitor for the Evening Standard. Topline voting intention figures are CON 39%, LAB 34%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%, GRN 4%. MORI have made another methodological change in the light of the polling error at the general election. Previously they had started including how
Over on the YouGov website I've written a long piece looking at how the ground lies ahead of the European referendum campaign - what the breakdown of support and opposition currently is, how people perceive those who support and oppose Europe, how effective the arguments might be and
ComRes and YouGov both had post-Corbyn polls in the Indy on Sunday/Sunday Mirror and Sunday Times respectively. Tabs are here - Comres, YouGov. ComRes had topline voting intention figures of CON 42% (+2), LAB 30%(+1), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 13%(nc), GRN 3%(-1). Changes are since their
I really don't like "does X make you more or less likely to vote" questions. On policy questions they are particularly abhorrent as they are used to try and measure salience - or more often, to try and deliberately overstate the salience of an issue. It&
YouGov had a poll in this morning's Times asking some first impressions of Jeremy Corbyn from what people had seen so far (tables here). 31% of people said they were delighted or pleased by Corbyn's victory, 34% of people were disappointed or dismayed - 35% had
Friday is the anniversary of the Scottish independence referendum, so we've had a flux of Scottish polls over the weekend from YouGov, Panelbase and Survation. They mostly covered the same ground - should there be another referendum and how would people vote, and how people will vote in
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is out today and has topline figures of CON 38%(-2), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 8%(+1), UKIP 13%(+3), GRN 3%(-1). The full tables are on their website here. The fieldwork for the poll was Friday to Sunday, meaning just
Jeremy Corbyn has, as expected, won the Labour leadership election. I say as expected but the reality is we didn't actually have that much evidence to go on during the campaign - noise on Twitter and size of crowds at campaign meetings are bunk, the reports of what
The issue of how to respond to refugees fleeing from the war in Syria has been rumbling on for months, but became far more of an issue last week because of photographs of the body of toddler Aylan Kurdi washed up on a Turkish beach and media coverage of groups
I've been on holiday for the last week, but hopefully haven't missed too much polling in the August after a general election! One thing that did happen was the Electoral Commission recommending (and the government accepting) a change in the wording of the EU referendum, from
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