YouGov have published new polls in both Scotland and Wales in the last couple of days. Taking Wales first, topline voting intention figures for the Welsh Assembly are CON 19%(-3), LAB 35%(+1), LDEM 6%(nc), UKIP 17%(+2), Plaid 21%(nc) for the constituency vote and CON 20%
At the weekend the Sunday Times reported a new ICM poll of British Muslims, conducted for a Channel Four documentary later this week. I've written about polls of ethnic and religious minorities in Britain here before - they tend be both controversial and extremely difficult to do. On
ComRes published a new London poll yesterday. As with all the other recent London polling we've seen it puts Sadiq Khan in a relatively comfortable first place. First preference votes are KHAN 44%(+2), GOLDSMITH 37%(-2), PIDGEON 7%(+1), WHITTLE 5%(nc), BERRY 4%(-2), GALLOWAY 2%
Two new GB voting intention polls over the last couple of days. Opinium in the Observer had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 32%, LDEM 5%, UKIP 17%, GRN 4% (full tabs are here). Meanwhile BMG released some new GB voting intention figures today: their toplines are CON 36%(-2)
In January the BPC inquiry team announced their initial findings on what went wrong in the general election polls. Today they have published their full final report. The overall conclusions haven't changed, we've just got a lot more detail. For a report about polling methodology written
While the gap between online and telephone polls on the EU referendum has narrowed of late, it is still there, and Populus have put out an interesting paper looking at possible explanations and written by James Kanagasooriam of Populus and Matt Singh of Number Cruncher Politics. The full paper is
Ipsos MORI have released the EU referendum figures from their monthly political monitor. Topline figures are REMAIN 49%, LEAVE 41%, DK/WNV 10%. Full details are here There are quite a few differences in how MORI asked the question this month. Up until now they've been asking the
Following the MORI poll earlier today, there is also a fresh ComRes voting intention poll and a new Survation EU referendum poll. ComRes for the Daily Mail is in line with what we've seen already in the YouGov, ICM and MORI polls - the Conservative lead has collapsed.
Ipsos MORI's monthly poll for the Evening Standard follows the trend we've seen in other recent polls of a tightening gap between Conservative and Labour. Topline figures are CON 36%(-3), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 10%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%. They also echo YouGov's
What does business think about the EU referendum? Well, define what you mean by business. The source for official government numbers for the number of businesses in the UK is the business population estimate - 2015 figures are here. According to those figures there are 5.4 million businesses in
The Times have a new YouGov poll in tomorrow's paper, conducted after Wednesday's budget. It's not good news for George Osborne. Every budget has positive and negative parts, and it's the same here: some parts of Osborne's budget are popular,
Time for a quick update of other polls over the last few days. Firstly, YouGov put out new Scottish voting intentions at the weekend and London voting intentions yesterday. YouGov's Scottish voting intentions were SNP 49%, LAB 19%, CON 19%, LDEM 6% for the constituency vote; SNP 43%
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