While the gap between online and telephone polls on the EU referendum has narrowed of late, it is still there, and Populus have put out an interesting paper looking at possible explanations and written by James Kanagasooriam of Populus and Matt Singh of Number Cruncher Politics. The full paper is
Ipsos MORI have released the EU referendum figures from their monthly political monitor. Topline figures are REMAIN 49%, LEAVE 41%, DK/WNV 10%. Full details are here There are quite a few differences in how MORI asked the question this month. Up until now they've been asking the
Following the MORI poll earlier today, there is also a fresh ComRes voting intention poll and a new Survation EU referendum poll. ComRes for the Daily Mail is in line with what we've seen already in the YouGov, ICM and MORI polls - the Conservative lead has collapsed.
Ipsos MORI's monthly poll for the Evening Standard follows the trend we've seen in other recent polls of a tightening gap between Conservative and Labour. Topline figures are CON 36%(-3), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 10%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%. They also echo YouGov's
What does business think about the EU referendum? Well, define what you mean by business. The source for official government numbers for the number of businesses in the UK is the business population estimate - 2015 figures are here. According to those figures there are 5.4 million businesses in
The Times have a new YouGov poll in tomorrow's paper, conducted after Wednesday's budget. It's not good news for George Osborne. Every budget has positive and negative parts, and it's the same here: some parts of Osborne's budget are popular,
Time for a quick update of other polls over the last few days. Firstly, YouGov put out new Scottish voting intentions at the weekend and London voting intentions yesterday. YouGov's Scottish voting intentions were SNP 49%, LAB 19%, CON 19%, LDEM 6% for the constituency vote; SNP 43%
ICM have released their monthly poll for the Guardian, topline figures with changes from last month are CON 36%(-3), LAB 36%(+4), LDEM 8%(+1), UKIP 11%(nc), GRN 3%(-1). Full tables (and Martin Boon's very wary commentary) are here. It is the first poll since
ComRes have their monthly online poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror tomorrow. Topline voting intention figures are CON 38%(-3), LAB 29%(+2), LDEM 7%(-2), UKIP 16%(+1), GRN 4%(+1). The Conservative lead has dropped five points since last month, but that still leaves it
Last year the election polls got it wrong. Since then most pollsters have made only minor interim changes - ComRes, BMG and YouGov have conducted the biggest overhauls, many others have made only tweaks, and all the companies have said they are continuing to look at further potential changes in
It's been almost two months since we've had any polling on the London mayoral race, but Opinium have released a new poll today showing Sadiq Khan still ahead. First round preferences are Khan 31%, Goldsmith 26%, Whittle 2%, Berry 2%, Pidgeon 2%, Galloway here.
YouGov have released some fresh EU polling, a batch of five new polls conducted in the last two weeks. The most recent poll, conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, has topline figures of Remain 40%, Leave 37% and the three polls before that also showed Remain with a small lead. While
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