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YouGov/Times - REMAIN 44%, LEAVE 40%

YouGov have new EU voting intention figures in today's Times - REMAIN 44%, LEAVE 40% (tabs). This is YouGov's biggest lead for remain since March. Only one of YouGov's last eight polls has shown Leave ahead, so while the regular ICM online polls have

By Anthony Wells 18 May 2016

ICM parallel phone and online polls

ICM have again conducted two parallel polls for the Guardian, one online, one by telephone (tabs). The pattern is the same as last month, on Westminster voting intention the two ICM polls show the same two point lead, although the ICM online poll has a higher level of UKIP support:

By Anthony Wells 16 May 2016

EU Polling update

I've taken the last week off following the 5th May elections, and so have most of the polls. There have, however, been two new EU polls published over the last week, so just to keep everyone up to speed their topline figures were: YouGov/Good Morning Britain -

By Anthony Wells 14 May 2016

Election polling post-mortem

A brief election post-mortem before I get some rest - hopefully we will have an actual London result by the time I finish writing! It is almost exactly a year since the polling error at the last general election. Yesterday's elections were the first real test of the

By Anthony Wells 06 May 2016

Final polls...

TNS and ComRes have released final London polls yesterday, YouGov have released final Scottish and Welsh polls. Here's a quick run down... TNS in London have Sadiq Khan ahead of Zac Goldsmith in the first round by 45% to 33% (Caroline Pidgeon is third on 7%, followed by

By Anthony Wells 05 May 2016

Polling on Thursday's elections

Today there was a new London poll from Opinium and a new Scottish poll from Survation. However with only two days to go before Thursday's elections I thought I would take a broader look at all the polling so far for this week's contests. London Four

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2016

Sunday polls on the EU referendum

There are three EU polls in the Sunday papers. An online Opinium poll for the Observer had topline figures of REMAIN 42%, LEAVE 41%, DON'T KNOW 14%. The one point lead for remain compares to a four point leave lead a month ago (tabs). An online ORB poll

By Anthony Wells 01 May 2016

YouGov/Times - Remain 41%, Leave 42%

Following on from the ORB and ICM polls at the start of the week, there are two more EU polls today that both have small movements towards Leave. YouGov in the Times have topline figures of REMAIN 41%(+1), LEAVE 42%(+3), DK/WNV 17%(-4), while Survation for IG

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2016

MORI Scottish polling and latest doctors' strike polls

With a week to go until the Scottish Parliament elections Ipsos MORI have published their latest Scottish voting intention figures. Topline figures are Holyrood constituency vote: SNP 51%, LAB 19%, CON 18%, LDEM 6% Holyrood regional vote: SNP 45%, CON 19%, LAB 17%, GRN 10%, LDEM 7% The SNP are,

By Anthony Wells 27 Apr 2016

ORB and ICM referendum polls

Last week there were several EU referendum polls showing movement towards Remain. Individually the changes were not significant, but collectively it was starting to look as though something may be afoot. Today we've had two referendum polls from ORB and ICM with movement in the other direction, suggesting

By Anthony Wells 26 Apr 2016

YouGov/Standard London poll gives Khan a commanding lead

The Evening Standard had a new YouGov London poll today, showing a commanding lead for Sadiq Khan in the mayoral race. First round voting intentions are KHAN 48%, GOLDSMITH 32%, WHITTLE 7%, BERRY 6%, PIDGEON 5%. After reallocating the second preferences of eliminated candidates Sadiq Khan wins by twenty points

By Anthony Wells 21 Apr 2016

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 38, LAB 35, LD 6, UKIP 11, GRN 3

MORI have published their monthly political monitor - full details are here. The topline voting intention figures are CON 38%(+2), LAB 35%(+1), LDEM 6%(-4), UKIP 11%(nc), GRN 3%(nc). The Conservatives retain a narrow lead, but not significantly different from last month. Referendum voting intention stands

By Anthony Wells 20 Apr 2016
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