A brief election post-mortem before I get some rest - hopefully we will have an actual London result by the time I finish writing! It is almost exactly a year since the polling error at the last general election. Yesterday's elections were the first real test of the
TNS and ComRes have released final London polls yesterday, YouGov have released final Scottish and Welsh polls. Here's a quick run down... TNS in London have Sadiq Khan ahead of Zac Goldsmith in the first round by 45% to 33% (Caroline Pidgeon is third on 7%, followed by
Today there was a new London poll from Opinium and a new Scottish poll from Survation. However with only two days to go before Thursday's elections I thought I would take a broader look at all the polling so far for this week's contests. London Four
There are three EU polls in the Sunday papers. An online Opinium poll for the Observer had topline figures of REMAIN 42%, LEAVE 41%, DON'T KNOW 14%. The one point lead for remain compares to a four point leave lead a month ago (tabs). An online ORB poll
Following on from the ORB and ICM polls at the start of the week, there are two more EU polls today that both have small movements towards Leave. YouGov in the Times have topline figures of REMAIN 41%(+1), LEAVE 42%(+3), DK/WNV 17%(-4), while Survation for IG
With a week to go until the Scottish Parliament elections Ipsos MORI have published their latest Scottish voting intention figures. Topline figures are Holyrood constituency vote: SNP 51%, LAB 19%, CON 18%, LDEM 6% Holyrood regional vote: SNP 45%, CON 19%, LAB 17%, GRN 10%, LDEM 7% The SNP are,
Last week there were several EU referendum polls showing movement towards Remain. Individually the changes were not significant, but collectively it was starting to look as though something may be afoot. Today we've had two referendum polls from ORB and ICM with movement in the other direction, suggesting
The Evening Standard had a new YouGov London poll today, showing a commanding lead for Sadiq Khan in the mayoral race. First round voting intentions are KHAN 48%, GOLDSMITH 32%, WHITTLE 7%, BERRY 6%, PIDGEON 5%. After reallocating the second preferences of eliminated candidates Sadiq Khan wins by twenty points
MORI have published their monthly political monitor - full details are here. The topline voting intention figures are CON 38%(+2), LAB 35%(+1), LDEM 6%(-4), UKIP 11%(nc), GRN 3%(nc). The Conservatives retain a narrow lead, but not significantly different from last month. Referendum voting intention stands
This month ICM have done parallel telephone and online polls. For voting intention the figures are almost exactly the same - topline figures are ICM Phone: CON 38%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 13%, GRN 3% ICM Online: CON 36%, LAB 31%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 16%, GRN 4% ICM have
A quick update on polls in the weekend papers. The Independent on Sunday is no more, but the Sunday edition of the Indy's website seems to be continuing with their monthly ComRes online poll (shared with the Sunday Mirror). Topline voting intention figures are CON 35%(-3), LAB
This morning's Times had a new YouGov poll, full tables are here. Topline voting intention was CON 31%, LAB 34%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 17%, GRN 3%. The poll follows a torrid few weeks for the Conservative party - a badly received budget, IDS's resignation, the Tata
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