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ICM phone poll shows Leave ahead

There are three new EU referendum polls today, a telephone poll from ORB and parallel phone and online polls from ICM. The ORB poll for the Telegraph has topline figures of REMAIN 51%(-4), LEAVE 46%(+4), Don't know 3%(nc) - full tables are here. The Telegraph

By Anthony Wells 31 May 2016

ICM - Remain and Leave level pegging, and dealing with fast respondents

ICM put out their weekly EU online poll today. Topline figures were REMAIN 45%, LEAVE 45%, DON'T KNOW 10% and tabs are here. ICM have tended to produce some of the most leave figures and the neck-and-neck result actually follows on from a series of polls showing a

By Anthony Wells 24 May 2016

EU Polling Update - ComRes and turnout, YouGov and education

ComRes had a new EU telephone poll in this morning's Daily Mail. Topline figures are REMAIN 52%(-1), LEAVE 41%(+3), Don't know 7%(-2). Tabs are here. Note that this poll is now adjusted for likelihood to vote, using ComRes's turnout model based

By Anthony Wells 20 May 2016

Ipsos MORI/Standard - REMAIN 55%, LEAVE 37%

Earlier on today Ipsos MORI published their monthly poll for the Standard. Topline referendum figures were REMAIN 55%, LEAVE 37%, Don't know or won't vote 8%. This is the largest lead we've seen for Remain yet, but normal caveats apply - never get too

By Anthony Wells 18 May 2016

YouGov/Times - REMAIN 44%, LEAVE 40%

YouGov have new EU voting intention figures in today's Times - REMAIN 44%, LEAVE 40% (tabs). This is YouGov's biggest lead for remain since March. Only one of YouGov's last eight polls has shown Leave ahead, so while the regular ICM online polls have

By Anthony Wells 18 May 2016

ICM parallel phone and online polls

ICM have again conducted two parallel polls for the Guardian, one online, one by telephone (tabs). The pattern is the same as last month, on Westminster voting intention the two ICM polls show the same two point lead, although the ICM online poll has a higher level of UKIP support:

By Anthony Wells 16 May 2016

EU Polling update

I've taken the last week off following the 5th May elections, and so have most of the polls. There have, however, been two new EU polls published over the last week, so just to keep everyone up to speed their topline figures were: YouGov/Good Morning Britain -

By Anthony Wells 14 May 2016

Election polling post-mortem

A brief election post-mortem before I get some rest - hopefully we will have an actual London result by the time I finish writing! It is almost exactly a year since the polling error at the last general election. Yesterday's elections were the first real test of the

By Anthony Wells 06 May 2016

Final polls...

TNS and ComRes have released final London polls yesterday, YouGov have released final Scottish and Welsh polls. Here's a quick run down... TNS in London have Sadiq Khan ahead of Zac Goldsmith in the first round by 45% to 33% (Caroline Pidgeon is third on 7%, followed by

By Anthony Wells 05 May 2016

Polling on Thursday's elections

Today there was a new London poll from Opinium and a new Scottish poll from Survation. However with only two days to go before Thursday's elections I thought I would take a broader look at all the polling so far for this week's contests. London Four

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2016

Sunday polls on the EU referendum

There are three EU polls in the Sunday papers. An online Opinium poll for the Observer had topline figures of REMAIN 42%, LEAVE 41%, DON'T KNOW 14%. The one point lead for remain compares to a four point leave lead a month ago (tabs). An online ORB poll

By Anthony Wells 01 May 2016

YouGov/Times - Remain 41%, Leave 42%

Following on from the ORB and ICM polls at the start of the week, there are two more EU polls today that both have small movements towards Leave. YouGov in the Times have topline figures of REMAIN 41%(+1), LEAVE 42%(+3), DK/WNV 17%(-4), while Survation for IG

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2016
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