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ICM/Guardian - CON 42, LAB 26, LDEM 10, UKIP 13, GRN 5

The latest ICM poll for the Guardian has topline figures are CON 42%(nc), LAB 26%(-2), LDEM 10%(+1), UKIP 13%(+1), GRN 5%(+1). It was conducted over the weekend and changes are from a fortnight ago, before Theresa May's Brexit speech. The sixteen point Tory

By Anthony Wells 23 Jan 2017

YouGov polling on Theresa May's Brexit speech

The Times have a new YouGov poll this morning, carried out after Theresa May's Brexit speech. Overall, it looks as if the PM has passed her first Brexit test - a majority of the public support the sort of Brexit she is seeking to achieve. Whether they support

By Anthony Wells 19 Jan 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 39, LAB 28, LDEM 11, UKIP 13

Just to catch up, YouGov put out new voting intention figures yesterday (though the fieldwork was from last week). topline figures were CON 39%(nc), LAB 28%(+2), LDEM 11%(+1), UKIP 13%(-1). While the changes since the week before are not significant in themselves, eleven points is actually

By Anthony Wells 17 Jan 2017

Labour are probably still ahead of the Tories on the NHS. Jeremy Corbyn, on the other hand...

ComRes have a poll in the Independent/Sunday Mirror tonight. The finding that has got the most attention is a question asking who people think would do "a better job at managing the NHS this winter". 31% of people picked Jeremy Corbyn and Labour, 43% of people picked

By Anthony Wells 14 Jan 2017

ICM/Guardian - CON 42, LAB 28, LDEM 9, UKIP 12, GRN 4

Earlier on today ICM put out their first poll of the year, conducted for the Guardian. Topline figures with changes from before Christmas are CON 42%(+1), LAB 28%(+1), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 12%(-2), GRN 4%(+1). No significant change there, just the sort of double digit Tory

By Anthony Wells 09 Jan 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 39, LAB 26, LDEM 10, UKIP 14, GRN 4

The Times released their regular YouGov voting intention poll this morning, the first of the new year. Topline figures with changes from before Christmas are CON 39%(nc), LAB 26%(+2), LDEM 10%(-2), UKIP 14%(nc), GRN 4%(nc). There is no significant change, though the boost in Lib

By Anthony Wells 06 Jan 2017

Where public opinion on Brexit stands

In terms of support for Brexit we end the year in pretty much the same place as we were on June 23rd. Among some there is a desire to jump on the slightest bit of evidence to suggest that people have changed their mind one way or the other. Overall

By Anthony Wells 31 Dec 2016

Self-selecting newspaper polls do NOT show Britain has turned against Brexit

I'm writing a longer piece rounding up public opinion towards Brexit, but rather than let that get dominated by a big rant, I thought I'd write a separate piece about self-selecting newspaper polls apparently showing changing attitudes to Brexit. Several newspapers in the North East and

By Anthony Wells 31 Dec 2016

Opinium - CON 38, LAB 31, LDEM 6, UKIP 13

Opinium's latest voting intention poll has topline figures of CON 38%, LAB 31%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 13%, GRN 4%. The seven point Conservative lead is much tighter than we've seen in other recent polls, which have almost all had double-figure Tory leads. While the lead has

By Anthony Wells 18 Dec 2016

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 40, LAB 29, LDEM 14, UKIP 9, GRN 3

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor is out in today's Evening Standard. Topline voting intention figures with changes from last month are CON 40%(-2), LAB 29%(-4), LDEM 14%(+4), UKIP 9%(+2), GRN 3%(nc). The 14 point score for the Liberal Democrats is the

By Anthony Wells 15 Dec 2016

ICM/Guardian - CON 41, LAB 27, LDEM 9, UKIP 14

A quick update for the ICM/Guardian poll on Monday, which is presumably the final ICM poll of the year. Topline figures are CON 41%(-3), LAB 27%(nc), LDEM 9%(+2), UKIP 14%(+2), GRN 3%(-1). Nothing startling to report here - the Tories still have a commanding

By Anthony Wells 13 Dec 2016

YouGov - CON 42, LAB 25, LDEM 11, UKIP 12

YouGov's latest voting intention figures are CON 42%, LAB 25%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%. It was conducted over last weekend, so shortly after the Liberal Democrats' success in Richmond Park. The 11% for the Lib Dems equals their highest from YouGov since the election, but

By Anthony Wells 09 Dec 2016
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