Following Nicola Sturgeon's announcement that she would seek a second referendum on Scottish Independence there are three polls on the subject in today's papers. Firstly there is a YouGov poll in the Times. As with the Survation poll, the fieldwork for this was actually begun before
Nicola Sturgeon today announced she would seek a second Indyref. Some of the comments on this have suggested that there is widescale opposition to this from the Scottish public. This polling evidence is far less clear-cut. A variety of polls have asked a variety of questions about when or if
YouGov's latest voting intention figures for the Times are CON 44%, LAB 25%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 11%. The nineteen point Conservative lead is the largest YouGov have given them in government, the 44% share of support the largest since the coalition's honeymoon back in 2010. The
Ipsos MORI today released a new Scottish poll for STV, showing a 50%-50% tie between YES and NO were there to be a second independence referendum. This is the first poll not to show NO ahead for some time - there were a couple of snap polls immediately after
Ian Warren of Electiondata had published a new YouGov poll of Labour party members. Overall, it looks as if Jeremy Corbyn's suppport among the Labour membership is down a bit since last year... but that right now he'd likely be re-elected again. To some degree a
Despite the name of this site in practice it is often more GBPollingReport than UKPollingReport. The reality is that the overwhelming majority of opinion polls cover only Great Britain and exclude Northern Ireland. This is very much a historical legacy - the way things have always been - presumably because
Last night Labour held Stoke Central and lost Copeland to the Tories. As usual, by-elections don't tell us a huge amount about the bigger political picture, but are very important in setting the political narrative. By-elections are very unusual beasts. Because they don't decide who will
ICM's regular poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 44%(+2), LAB 26%(-1), LDEM 8%(-2), UKIP 13%(+1), GRN 4%(nc). The changes since the previous ICM poll aren't significant, but it's worth noting that the 18 point Conservative lead
Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for the Evening Standard came out earlier today. Topline voting intention figures are CON 40%(-3), LAB 29%(-2), LDEM 13%(+2), UKIP 9%(+3). The Tory lead remains pretty steady (note that the increase in the UKIP vote is probably largely a
"But the sheer size of the survey [...] makes it of interest..." One of the most common errors in interpreting polls and surveys is the presumption that because something has a really huge sample size it is more meaningful. Or indeed, meaningful at all. Size isn't what
ComRes have a poll in Sunday's Independent and the Sunday Mirror. Most interestingly, it found that people agreed by 45% to 39% that John Bercow was right to refuse to invite Donald Trump to address the Commons, but also that people thought by 47% to 37% that the
ICM's regular poll for the Guardian came out today, topline voting intention figures are CON 42%(nc), LAB 27%(+1), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 12%(-1), GRN 4%(-1). There is no significant change since a fortnight ago and the Conservatives retain a formidable lead. The poll also
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