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Gfk - CON 41%, LAB 28%, LD 7%, UKIP 12%, GRN 6%

Tonight we've something we something unusual: a voting intention poll from Gfk. Topline figures are CON 41%, LAB 28%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 12%, GRN 6%. Fieldwork was between the 1st March and 15th March, so this is would have been partially before the budget, but it's

By Anthony Wells 27 Mar 2017

ICM/Guardian - CON 45, LAB 26, LDEM 9, UKIP 10

ICM's regular poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 45%(+1), LAB 26%(-2), LDEM 9%(+1), UKIP 10%(-1), GRN 4%(-1). Another post-budget poll showing the Conservative poll lead holding strong - despite all the fuss and the government U-turn, it does not appear

By Anthony Wells 20 Mar 2017

Panelbase poll on Scottish Independence - YES 44, NO 56

There were a couple of Scottish independence polls in the week, but both of these that had fieldwork that actually pre-dated Nicola Sturgeon's call for a second referendum. The Sunday Times today have the first Scottish poll carried out after Sturgeon's speech, conducted by Panelbase between

By Anthony Wells 19 Mar 2017

Latest voting intentions and Brexit polling

ComRes have a poll in the Independent & Sunday Mirror. Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 42%(+1), LAB 25%(-1), LDEM 12%(+1), UKIP 10%(-1), GRN 4%(nc). Earlier in the week the monthly Ipsos MORI political monitor was also published in the Evening

By Anthony Wells 18 Mar 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 44, LAB 27, LD 10, UKIP 9

As well as the Scottish polling, YouGov's regular GB voting intention figures were also in this morning's Times. Topline figures are CON 44%, LAB 27%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 9%. Full tabs are here. Two things to note. Firstly, there is no obvious impact from the budget.

By Anthony Wells 15 Mar 2017

Latest Scottish Independence polling

Following Nicola Sturgeon's announcement that she would seek a second referendum on Scottish Independence there are three polls on the subject in today's papers. Firstly there is a YouGov poll in the Times. As with the Survation poll, the fieldwork for this was actually begun before

By Anthony Wells 15 Mar 2017

Does Scotland want a second referendum?

Nicola Sturgeon today announced she would seek a second Indyref. Some of the comments on this have suggested that there is widescale opposition to this from the Scottish public. This polling evidence is far less clear-cut. A variety of polls have asked a variety of questions about when or if

By Anthony Wells 13 Mar 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 44, LAB 25, LDEM 10, UKIP 11

YouGov's latest voting intention figures for the Times are CON 44%, LAB 25%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 11%. The nineteen point Conservative lead is the largest YouGov have given them in government, the 44% share of support the largest since the coalition's honeymoon back in 2010. The

By Anthony Wells 10 Mar 2017

Ipsos MORI show Scotland split 50-50 on independence

Ipsos MORI today released a new Scottish poll for STV, showing a 50%-50% tie between YES and NO were there to be a second independence referendum. This is the first poll not to show NO ahead for some time - there were a couple of snap polls immediately after

By Anthony Wells 09 Mar 2017

Election Data poll of Labour members

Ian Warren of Electiondata had published a new YouGov poll of Labour party members. Overall, it looks as if Jeremy Corbyn's suppport among the Labour membership is down a bit since last year... but that right now he'd likely be re-elected again. To some degree a

By Anthony Wells 06 Mar 2017

Polling for the Northern Ireland Assembly election

Despite the name of this site in practice it is often more GBPollingReport than UKPollingReport. The reality is that the overwhelming majority of opinion polls cover only Great Britain and exclude Northern Ireland. This is very much a historical legacy - the way things have always been - presumably because

By Anthony Wells 02 Mar 2017

Stoke and Copeland by-elections

Last night Labour held Stoke Central and lost Copeland to the Tories. As usual, by-elections don't tell us a huge amount about the bigger political picture, but are very important in setting the political narrative. By-elections are very unusual beasts. Because they don't decide who will

By Anthony Wells 24 Feb 2017
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