UK Polling Report (Page 34)

YouGov, ComRes and Survation voting intentions

As well as the Opinium poll I've already written about, there is also a ComRes poll for the Sunday Mirror and a YouGov poll for the Sunday Times tonight. In addition there's a Panelbase poll of Scotland for the Sunday Times. The ComRes poll has topline

The election battlegrounds

Realistically there are four main battlefields in the general election. First is that between Conservative and Labour, which is the battle that will really determine how large the Conservative majority is (and how badly Labour are damaged by an election fought when they are at a historic low). Next there

Opinium/Observer - CON 45%, LAB 26%, LD 11%, UKIP 9%

Opinium have a new poll in the Observer this evening. Topline voting intention figures with changes from a week ago are CON 45%(+7), LAB 26%(-3), LDEM 11%(+4), UKIP 9%(-5). Like the YouGov and ICM polls in the week, UKIP's vote has fallen sharply to

YouGov/Times - CON 48, LAB 24, LD 12, UKIP 7

The Times's first YouGov poll since the election was called has topline figures of CON 48%(+4), LAB 24%(+1), LDEM 12%(nc), UKIP 7%(-3). The Conservative lead of twenty-four points is the highest they've recorded from YouGov since way back in 2008. In terms

Some thoughts about the general election

I think I can assume everyone reading this is already aware there will likely be an early general election on the 8th June. There will be lots of polling ahead, but here are a few initial thoughts: The overall polling position is a strong lead for the Conservative party. There

Two new ICM polls

I'll post some thoughts about the general election later, but first a brief note on the two ICM polls today (yes, two seperate polls). Earlier today we had the usual regular ICM poll - Martin Boon had said he was disclined to publish because the fieldwork was done

YouGov/Times: CON 44, LAB 23, LDEM 12, UKIP 10

Just to follow up on the voting intention polls yesterday, there was also a new YouGov poll in this morning's Times. Topline figures were CON 44%, LAB 23%, LDEM 12%, UKIP 10%. The twenty-one point lead is the same as the weekend's ComRes poll and the

Sunday Polls

There are several polls in today's papers. ComRes in the Indy and Sunday Mirror have topline figures of CON 46%(+4), LAB 25%(nc), LDEM 11%(-1), UKIP 9%(-1), GRN 4%(nc). The twenty-one point Conservative lead is the largest anyone has shown for them so far

YouGov poll on how Theresa May is seen

I missed YouGov's latest poll earlier this week - topline figures did not show anything new, with voting intentions of CON 42%, LAB 25%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 11%. More interesting was the regular tracker on how well or badly the government are doing at negotiating Brexit: 36% said

ICM/Guardian - CON 43, LAB 25, LDEM 11, UKIP 11

ICM's regular poll for the Guardian is out today and has topline figures of CON 43%(-2), LAB 25%(-1), LDEM 11%(+2), UKIP 11%(+1), GRN 4%(nc). The 25% for Labour equals the lowest in the ICM/Guardian series of polls, previously reached during the nadir

YouGov/QMUL poll of London

This week Phil Cowley at Queen Mary University of London released some new YouGov polling of London. Topline voting intention figures for London are CON 34%(-1), LAB 37%(-7), LDEM 14%(+6), UKIP 9%(+1) - changes are since the general election in 2015. The most useful way to

YouGov/Times - CON 43, LAB 25, LD 11, UKIP 10

YouGov's regular voting intention poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 43%, LAB 25%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 10%. The Conservative lead remains strong and third place continues to bounce back and forth between the Lib Dems and UKIP (I expect they are actually about even and