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YouGov/Times - CON 48, LAB 29, LD 10, UKIP 5

The weekly YouGov poll for the Times this morning has topline figures of CON 48%, LAB 29%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 5%. The decline in the Tory lead in YouGov's polling seems to have abated, though the nineteen point lead is still smaller than the twenty-plus point leads we

By Anthony Wells 04 May 2017

Polling myths

Whenever a poll goes up that shows bad news for someone you get the same sort of comments on social media. As I write this piece in May 2017 comments like these generally come from Jeremy Corbyn supporters, but that's just the political weather at this moment in

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2017

Panelbase - CON 47, LAB 30, LD 10, UKIP 5

The weekly Panelbase GB poll has topline figures of CON 47%(-2), LAB 30%(+3), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 5%(nc), GRN 2%(-1). Changes are from a week ago. The Conservative lead is down five points from last week, but remains at a healthy seventeen points. Polls do all

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2017

ICM/Guardian - CON 47, LAB 28, LD 8 UKIP 8

ICM's weekly poll for the Guardian today has topline figures of CON 47%(nc), LAB 28%(nc), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 8%(nc). Changes are from the ICM poll for the Sun on Sunday, and clearly don't show any meaningful change at all. The sharp narrowing

By Anthony Wells 02 May 2017

ICM/Sun on Sunday - CON 47, LAB 28, LDEM 9, UKIP 8

There is also a new ICM poll for the Sun on Sunday. Topline figures there are CON 47%(-1), LAB 28%(+1), LDEM 9%(-1), UKIP 8%(+1), GRN 4%(+1), conducted "at the end of the week". Changes are from the ICM poll at the start of

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2017

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 44, LAB 31, LD 11, UKIP 6

YouGov's weekly poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 44%, LAB 31%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 6%, GRN 2%, down to a thirteen point Conservative lead compared to sixteen points in the week (and twenty-point-plus leads when the election was first called). It suggests that the

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2017

Opinium and ORB voting intention polls

Opinium's latest poll has topline figures of CON 47%(+2), LAB 30%(+4), LDEM 8%(-3), UKIP 7%(-2) (tables here). The changes are from last weekend, though should be taken with a slight caveat - Opinium have added recalled 2015 vote to their weighting scheme. That changes

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2017

YouGov/Times Scottish poll

I don't think we've had any GB polls today (not doubt there will be the usual flurry for the Sunday papers tomorrow), but we did get a YouGov Scottish poll for the Times, their first of the campaign. Topline voting intentions were SNP 41%, CON 28%

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2017

Some Bregrets?

The tables for last night's YouGov/Times poll are now up here. The result that has got the most attention is the question on if people think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the EU. 43% said right, 45% said wrong. YouGov ask that question

By Anthony Wells 27 Apr 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 45, LAB 29, LD 10, UKIP 7

The latest YouGov/Times poll has topline figures of CON 45%(-3), LAB 29%(+4), LDEM 10%(-2), UKIP 7%(+2). Fieldwork was Tuesday to Wednesday. While sixteen points is still a very solid Conservative lead it's down from the towering twenty-points-plus leads that most polls have shown

By Anthony Wells 26 Apr 2017

New Ipsos MORI and Panelbase polls

The Standard released their first Ipsos MORI poll of the campaign today. Topline figures with changes from MORI's last pre-campaign poll are CON 49%(+6), LAB 26%(-4), LDEM 13%(nc), UKIP 4%(-2). Like other companies there is a obvious shift towards the Conservatives and a drop

By Anthony Wells 26 Apr 2017

Kantar polls on Scotland and the General Election

Kantar put out a new poll today - while the name is new to British polling, the people and the company aren't - it's a rebranding of the more familiar TNS (Kantar is the parent company, part of WPP who bought TNS in 2008). Topling figures

By Anthony Wells 25 Apr 2017
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