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Latest ICM and Survation polls

There have been two new polls out today - both show a sharp reduction in the Tory lead. The weekly ICM poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 47%(-1), LAB 33%(+5), LDEM 9%(-1), UKIP 4%(-2), GRN 2%(-1). The Conservative party's support

By Anthony Wells 22 May 2017

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 44, LAB 35, LD 9, UKIP 3

YouGov's weekly poll for the Sunday Times has topline voting intention figures of CON 44%(-1), LAB 35%(+3), LDEM 9%(+1), UKIP 3%(-3). Changes are from the YouGov/Times polls in the week. The fieldwork was, as usual, conducted on Thursday afternoon and Friday, so was

By Anthony Wells 20 May 2017

Latest ORB and Opinium polls

We normally have several polls on a Saturday night in the election campaign - this week is no different. We definitely have polls from ORB for the Telegraph, Opinium, and YouGov in the Sunday Times, plus whatever else comes along in the Sunday papers. ORB for the Telegraph has topline

By Anthony Wells 20 May 2017

YouGov/Times Scottish poll - SNP 42, CON 29, LAB 19, LDEM 6

I don't think we have any new GB polls today, but we did have a new Scottish poll from YouGov in this morning's Times. Topline figures are SNP 42%(+1), CON 29%(+1), LAB 19%(+1), LDEM 6%(-1). This is the first poll since the

By Anthony Wells 19 May 2017

Latest YouGov and Ipsos MORI polls

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor came out today, with topline figures of CON 49%(nc), LAB 34%(+8), LDEM 7%(-6), UKIP 2%(-2). Changes are since their April poll, conducted just after Theresa May has called the general election. Fieldwork was Monday to Wednesday and tabs are

By Anthony Wells 18 May 2017

Latest Kantar and Panelbase voting intention

There have been two new voting intention polls today from Panelbase and Kantar. Kantar has topline figures of CON 47%(+3),LAB 29%(+1), LDEM 8%(-3), UKIP 6%(-2). (tabs) Panelbase have topline figures of CON 47%(-1), LAB 33%(+2), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 5%(nc) (tabs) Once

By Anthony Wells 16 May 2017

Latest ICM and Survation voting intentions

Two new voting intention polls today. The first by Survation for Good Morning Britain had topline figures of CON 48%(+1), LAB 30%(nc), LDEM 8%(+1), UKIP 4%(nc). Clearly there is no substantial change since their poll a week ago. Fieldwork was conducted on Friday and Saturday, after

By Anthony Wells 15 May 2017

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 49, LAB 31, LD 9, UKIP 3

The YouGov/Sunday Times poll this morning has topline voting intention figures of CON 49%, LAB 31%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 3%. As with most other recent polls, it shows a very large Conservative lead, Labour creeping up slightly and the smaller parties being squeezed. This is the first time YouGov

By Anthony Wells 14 May 2017

Saturday night polls from ORB, Opinium and ComRes

ORB's weekly poll in the Sunday Telegraph has topline figures of CON 46%(nc), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 7%(-1). The changes since last week are by themselves insignificant, though it's worth noting that the Labour share of 32% is the highest they&

By Anthony Wells 13 May 2017

ComRes poll on the leaked Labour manifesto

Yesterday I wrote about how manifesto policies don't really have much effect on voting intentions. Today's ComRes poll for the Daily Mirror neatly illustrates it. The poll asked about the individual policies in Labour's leaked manifesto and found strong support for almost all of

By Anthony Wells 12 May 2017

Some thoughts on manifestos

Last night we got a leaked version of the Labour manifesto. Over the next week it will be joined by the manifestos from all the other parties too. Lots of people will write articles about their impact. We will see polls asking about those policies and whether people approve of

By Anthony Wells 11 May 2017

YouGov/Evening Standard poll of London - CON 36, LAB 41, LDEM 14, UKIP 6

The Evening Standard has a new YouGov poll of voting intentions in London, the first London poll we've seen since the election was called. Topline voting intention figures are CON 36%(+2), LAB 41%(+4), LDEM 14%(nc), UKIP 6%(-3). Changes are from the last YouGov London

By Anthony Wells 10 May 2017
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