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New Scottish and Welsh polling

The Sunday Times at the weekend had a Panelbase poll of Scotland, their first since the general election. It doesn't look like Westminster voting intention was asked, but they have figures for Holyrood constituency vote intention, I think the first figures we've had from anyone since

By Anthony Wells 11 Sep 2017

Boundary review and polling update

The Times this morning report that the government are to drop the 600 seat boundary review and start again with a 650 seat review. A few technical points on this: The rules and timetable for the Boundary Commission are set out in statute, meaning that any changes will require primary

By Anthony Wells 06 Sep 2017

Latest YouGov and ICM voting intentions

Two new voting intention polls this week showing very similar figures. YouGov's latest poll was actually conducted last week, but was only released today and has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 4% (full tabs are here. The regular ICM poll for the Guardian,

By Anthony Wells 29 Aug 2017

Opinium/Observer - CON 40, LAB 43, LDEM 6

The quiet summer rolls on - for once we have a proper silly season with barely any domestic political news. I'm off for the next week, so won't be updating even if there are any chunky polls to write about. In the meantime Opinium released their

By Anthony Wells 20 Aug 2017

A new centrist party?

With little political news over the Summer the media have entertained themselves with talk of new political parties. I have awaited the first poll to ask how people would vote if there was such a party with some trepidation. thus far it hasn't turned up. Depending on how

By Anthony Wells 14 Aug 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 41%, LAB 44%, LDEM 7%

We're heading into Summer and the silly season now, so don't necessarily expect much polling (August tends to be quite anyway...the month after a general election even more so). This is just a quick update on the latest YouGov voting intention figures, which are CON

By Anthony Wells 04 Aug 2017

British Election Study release their campaign data

The British Election Study have released their data from the election campaign waves today - one large wave straight after the election was called, a wave of daily rolling polls from throughout the campaign itself and a third large wave conducted straight after the campaign. All three of these datasets

By Anthony Wells 01 Aug 2017

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 41, LAB 42, LD 9, UKIP 3

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for the Standard has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. This is MORI's first poll since the general election, and like other companies now shows Labour with a small lead over the Conservatives. Fieldwork was Friday to Tuesday.

By Anthony Wells 20 Jul 2017

Sunday polls

Opinium's latest voting intention figures are CON 41%(+2), LAB 43%(-2), LDEM 5%(nc), UKIP 5%(nc). Theresa May's net job approval stands at minus 21, Jeremy Corbyn's at plus 4 (though May has regained a small lead on who people think would

By Anthony Wells 16 Jul 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 38%, LAB 46%, LDEM 6%

The Times have published their first YouGov poll since the general election. Topline figures are CON 38%, LAB 46%, LDEM 6%. This is the largest Labour lead we've seen in any poll since the election, though the vast majority of polls have shown them ahead. Fieldwork was yesterday

By Anthony Wells 06 Jul 2017

ICM/Guardian - CON 41, LAB 43, LDEM 7, UKIP 3

ICM have resumed polling for the Guardian. Topline figures for their first post-election poll are CON 41%(-3), LAB 43%(+2), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 3%(+1) - changes are from the election result. In terms of methodology, ICM have dropped the turnout model that produced such large, but ultimately

By Anthony Wells 04 Jul 2017

Latest Opinium and Survation polls

A quick update on two new voting intention polls yesterday. Opinium in the Observer has topline figures of CON 39%(-5), LAB 45%(+4), LDEM 5%(-3), UKIP 5%(+3). Changes are since the general election. Jeremy Corbyn's net approval ratings are now substantially better than Theresa May&

By Anthony Wells 02 Jul 2017
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