The quiet summer rolls on - for once we have a proper silly season with barely any domestic political news. I'm off for the next week, so won't be updating even if there are any chunky polls to write about. In the meantime Opinium released their
With little political news over the Summer the media have entertained themselves with talk of new political parties. I have awaited the first poll to ask how people would vote if there was such a party with some trepidation. thus far it hasn't turned up. Depending on how
We're heading into Summer and the silly season now, so don't necessarily expect much polling (August tends to be quite anyway...the month after a general election even more so). This is just a quick update on the latest YouGov voting intention figures, which are CON
The British Election Study have released their data from the election campaign waves today - one large wave straight after the election was called, a wave of daily rolling polls from throughout the campaign itself and a third large wave conducted straight after the campaign. All three of these datasets
Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for the Standard has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. This is MORI's first poll since the general election, and like other companies now shows Labour with a small lead over the Conservatives. Fieldwork was Friday to Tuesday.
Opinium's latest voting intention figures are CON 41%(+2), LAB 43%(-2), LDEM 5%(nc), UKIP 5%(nc). Theresa May's net job approval stands at minus 21, Jeremy Corbyn's at plus 4 (though May has regained a small lead on who people think would
The Times have published their first YouGov poll since the general election. Topline figures are CON 38%, LAB 46%, LDEM 6%. This is the largest Labour lead we've seen in any poll since the election, though the vast majority of polls have shown them ahead. Fieldwork was yesterday
ICM have resumed polling for the Guardian. Topline figures for their first post-election poll are CON 41%(-3), LAB 43%(+2), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 3%(+1) - changes are from the election result. In terms of methodology, ICM have dropped the turnout model that produced such large, but ultimately
A quick update on two new voting intention polls yesterday. Opinium in the Observer has topline figures of CON 39%(-5), LAB 45%(+4), LDEM 5%(-3), UKIP 5%(+3). Changes are since the general election. Jeremy Corbyn's net approval ratings are now substantially better than Theresa May&
This is largely for the sake of completeness, since as things stand I doubt the boundary changes will take place, nevertheless I thought I should really update the notional figures for the provisional boundary review. Calculating how the votes cast at the 2017 election would have translated into seats using
There's normally a somewhat quite period in terms of voting intention after an election. There's just been an actual vote, newspapers have blown all their polling budget during the campaign and even pollsters have to have a holiday. Sample quotas and weights all have to be
A year on from the EU referendum there was some new YouGov polling for the Times this morning. The country remain quite evenly split over whether Brexit is right or wrong, 44% think leaving was the right decision, 45% the wrong decision. There is not much optimism about negotiations -
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