There were two new voting intention polls yesterday, plus ICM's fortnightly poll this morning. Topline figures are ICM/Guardian (22nd-24th): CON 40%(-2), LAB 42%(nc), LDEM 8%(+1) Survation/Mail on Sunday (22nd): CON 38%(nc), LAB 42%(-1), LDEM 8%(+1) (tabs) Opinium (19th-22nd): CON 42%
Yesterday I got a few questions about a new BMG poll in the Independent that had voting intentions in a hypothetical EU referendum tomorrow at 52% remain, 48% leave. The Indy wrote this up with a pretty hyperbolic "Majority want to stay!!!". The full results - along with
Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor has topline figures of CON 40%(-1), LAB 44%(+2), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 2%(-1). Fieldwork was over the weekend and changes are from July. Leader satisfaction ratings are May minus 17, Corbyn minus 3 and Cable minus 1. While Vince Cable
I've got an article over on the YouGov website about the difficulty on polling on the Brexit financial settlement (or "Brexit divorce bill" as the more Eurosceptic elements of the press tend to call it). Brexit is obviously a very complicated issue - the Brexit deal
The Sunday Times at the weekend had a Panelbase poll of Scotland, their first since the general election. It doesn't look like Westminster voting intention was asked, but they have figures for Holyrood constituency vote intention, I think the first figures we've had from anyone since
The Times this morning report that the government are to drop the 600 seat boundary review and start again with a 650 seat review. A few technical points on this: The rules and timetable for the Boundary Commission are set out in statute, meaning that any changes will require primary
Two new voting intention polls this week showing very similar figures. YouGov's latest poll was actually conducted last week, but was only released today and has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 4% (full tabs are here. The regular ICM poll for the Guardian,
The quiet summer rolls on - for once we have a proper silly season with barely any domestic political news. I'm off for the next week, so won't be updating even if there are any chunky polls to write about. In the meantime Opinium released their
With little political news over the Summer the media have entertained themselves with talk of new political parties. I have awaited the first poll to ask how people would vote if there was such a party with some trepidation. thus far it hasn't turned up. Depending on how
We're heading into Summer and the silly season now, so don't necessarily expect much polling (August tends to be quite anyway...the month after a general election even more so). This is just a quick update on the latest YouGov voting intention figures, which are CON
The British Election Study have released their data from the election campaign waves today - one large wave straight after the election was called, a wave of daily rolling polls from throughout the campaign itself and a third large wave conducted straight after the campaign. All three of these datasets
Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for the Standard has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. This is MORI's first poll since the general election, and like other companies now shows Labour with a small lead over the Conservatives. Fieldwork was Friday to Tuesday.
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