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Post conference polling

So far we've had three polls conducted since the end of conference speech - YouGov in Friday's Times, Opinium in today's Observer and ICM in the Sun on Sunday. The first two included voting intention figures. The YouGov/Times poll was conducted on Wednesday

By Anthony Wells 08 Oct 2017

How to oust a Tory leader

After becoming Conservative leader in 1997 William Hague oversaw a review of the party's leadership rules. As everyone interested in politics knows the main part of this was to give ordinary party members a vote - Conservative MPs would still get to whittle down the field of candidates

By Anthony Wells 06 Oct 2017

YouGov/QMUL poll of London

Yesterday's Observer had a new YouGov poll of London, commissioned by Queen Mary University London. Full tables for the poll are here. Labour performed very strongly in London at the general election this year. There was six point swing to Labour compared to a two pooint swing in

By Anthony Wells 02 Oct 2017

YouGov poll of Tory party members

This morning's Times has a new YouGov poll of Conservative party members, asking mainly about Brexit and the party leadership. Party members are a generally loyal bunch, so as you'd expect all the main players are seen as doing well, though Michael Fallon and David Davis

By Anthony Wells 29 Sep 2017

YouGov post-Florence polling on Brexit

There was a YouGov poll yesterday with some post-Florence EU questions, suggesting a pretty poor reception for Theresa May's speech. The proportion thinking that the government are doing well at negotiating Brexit has fallen from 24% to 21% since last month, its lowest since January. 61% now think

By Anthony Wells 28 Sep 2017

Latest voting intentions from ICM, Survation and Opinium

There were two new voting intention polls yesterday, plus ICM's fortnightly poll this morning. Topline figures are ICM/Guardian (22nd-24th): CON 40%(-2), LAB 42%(nc), LDEM 8%(+1) Survation/Mail on Sunday (22nd): CON 38%(nc), LAB 42%(-1), LDEM 8%(+1) (tabs) Opinium (19th-22nd): CON 42%

By Anthony Wells 25 Sep 2017
Bregrets, there are a few... but then again, too few to mention

Bregrets, there are a few... but then again, too few to mention

Yesterday I got a few questions about a new BMG poll in the Independent that had voting intentions in a hypothetical EU referendum tomorrow at 52% remain, 48% leave. The Indy wrote this up with a pretty hyperbolic "Majority want to stay!!!". The full results - along with

By Anthony Wells 23 Sep 2017

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 40, LAB 44, LDEM 9

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor has topline figures of CON 40%(-1), LAB 44%(+2), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 2%(-1). Fieldwork was over the weekend and changes are from July. Leader satisfaction ratings are May minus 17, Corbyn minus 3 and Cable minus 1. While Vince Cable

By Anthony Wells 21 Sep 2017

Brexit Bills and latest voting intention

I've got an article over on the YouGov website about the difficulty on polling on the Brexit financial settlement (or "Brexit divorce bill" as the more Eurosceptic elements of the press tend to call it). Brexit is obviously a very complicated issue - the Brexit deal

By Anthony Wells 16 Sep 2017

New Scottish and Welsh polling

The Sunday Times at the weekend had a Panelbase poll of Scotland, their first since the general election. It doesn't look like Westminster voting intention was asked, but they have figures for Holyrood constituency vote intention, I think the first figures we've had from anyone since

By Anthony Wells 11 Sep 2017

Boundary review and polling update

The Times this morning report that the government are to drop the 600 seat boundary review and start again with a 650 seat review. A few technical points on this: The rules and timetable for the Boundary Commission are set out in statute, meaning that any changes will require primary

By Anthony Wells 06 Sep 2017

Latest YouGov and ICM voting intentions

Two new voting intention polls this week showing very similar figures. YouGov's latest poll was actually conducted last week, but was only released today and has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 4% (full tabs are here. The regular ICM poll for the Guardian,

By Anthony Wells 29 Aug 2017
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