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YouGov - 7 point Tory lead, but good news for Brown

The monthly YouGov poll for the Telegraph has the Conservative lead stretching slightly to 7 points. The topline figures with changes from last month are CON 39%(+1), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 17%(+1). The changes from last month are not significant, but do suggest that the Conservatives are consolidating

By Anthony Wells 26 Jun 2006

Is Gordon Brown too Scottish to be PM?

Back in May an ICM poll for the BBC's Politics Show asked if, in light of devolution, it was right or wrong that a Scottish MP can become Prime Minister of the whole UK. Then only 45% thought it was right, with 52% saying no. Professor John Curtice

By Anthony Wells 24 Jun 2006

ICM - Tory lead up to 5%

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian yesterday had the Conservative lead up to 5 points. This is the largest Conservative lead in an ICM poll since prior to September 1992. The topline figures, with changes from last month, are CON 37% (-1), LAB 32% (-2), LDEM 21%(+1)

By Anthony Wells 21 Jun 2006
EXCLUSIVE: YouGov Political Trackers

EXCLUSIVE: YouGov Political Trackers

Data from the first two months of YouGov's daily political trackers on BrandIndex shows that the week before the local elections caused lasting damage to Tony Blair's own reputation and to the Labour party's reputation for competence. Local election success turned around public perceptions

By Anthony Wells 19 Jun 2006

MORI - Tories 7 points ahead

The full results of MORI's poll for the Observer are now available on their website. The topline figures, with changes from last month, are CON 41% (nc), LAB 34%(+3), LDEM 18% (nc). As ever, it is worth remembering that MORI's lack of political weighting and

By Anthony Wells 19 Jun 2006

Populus - Majority back compulsory water metering & renationalisation

For the last month or so Populus have been conducting weekly poll for the BBC's Daily Politics programme - normally on Fridays. Last week's poll covered attitudes towards the water shortage in the South of England. Questions on the water companies' responsibility for leaks produced

By Anthony Wells 19 Jun 2006

YouGov - 71% of Labour members want Blair to go before Autumn 2007

A YouGov poll of Labour party members, commissioned by Michael Meacher's LabOUR Commission and published in Saturday's Guardian suggests that 71% of Labour party members want Tony Blair to step down before the 2007 conference. 37% of Labour members want him to step down before this

By Anthony Wells 17 Jun 2006

MORI - Blair less trusted than his European counterparts

Ipsos-MORI have started conducting quarterly comparative polls tracking social trends in six countries - the UK, USA, France, Spain, Germany and Italy. A couple of figures cropped up in various news items over the last week, but the first actual findings are published in a MORI report today. The most

By Anthony Wells 15 Jun 2006

ICM - lecturers to reject pay deal?

An ICM poll for the Times Higher Educational Supplement (though no sign of it on the THES website) suggests that the industrial action by lecturers that appeared to have been settled last week may not be over after all. The pay offer of 13.1% over three years - the

By Anthony Wells 15 Jun 2006

MORI - Is Ming in trouble?

The full results of MORI's monthly poll are now up on their website. An interesting finding that was not reported in the Sun's coverage was that there has been a sharp drop in Menzies Campbell's approval ratings. Ming has had a rough time of

By Anthony Wells 08 Jun 2006
Swing Calculator

Swing Calculator

NB - this is an old pre-2010 swingometer. For the updated version please follow this link - http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/swing-calculator Below is a simple spreadsheet that lets you enter shares of the vote and transforms them into projected numbers of seats in the House of Commons. These are

By Anthony Wells 07 Jun 2006

UPDATED: Populus poll - Labour recovering?

The monthly Populus for the Times suggests that Labour may be starting to recover from their recent difficulties. The topline figures, with changes from Populus's poll last month conducted immediately after the local elections, are CON 37%(-1), LAB 34%(+4), LDEM 18%(-2). The poll contrasts with

By Anthony Wells 06 Jun 2006
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