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MORI Poll in Scotland - UPDATED

The Scotsman carries a new Ipsos-MORI poll on voting intentions in Scotland (the report mentions changes from an earlier Ipsos-MORI poll three months ago, though I was not previously aware of this). The topline figures for voting intention in the Scottish Parliament constituency elections, with changes from the last elections

By Anthony Wells 01 Jul 2006

The State of the Parties - JUNE

A golden rule in looking at polls should be to examine to the big picture, the trend in the polls as a whole, rather than trying to draw conclusions from individual polls. However, because I try to report every new political poll that's published, this blog sometimes misses

By Anthony Wells 30 Jun 2006

YouGov - Cameron overtakes Blair as preferred PM

A new YouGov poll shows David Cameron overtaking Blair as the party leader people think would make the best Prime Minister. 30% chose Cameron compared to 28% for Blair and 6% for Menzies Campbell. While Michael Howard did briefly match Tony Blair in the same question, this is the first

By Anthony Wells 30 Jun 2006

ICM Poll of British Muslims

ICM have conducted a new survey of British Muslims in the aftermath of the Forest Gate raid earlier this month. 54% of of British Muslims thought that Sir Ian Blair should resign over the bungled raid, with 29% saying he should stay on (the Guardian report notes that respondents in

By Anthony Wells 27 Jun 2006

YouGov - 7 point Tory lead, but good news for Brown

The monthly YouGov poll for the Telegraph has the Conservative lead stretching slightly to 7 points. The topline figures with changes from last month are CON 39%(+1), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 17%(+1). The changes from last month are not significant, but do suggest that the Conservatives are consolidating

By Anthony Wells 26 Jun 2006

Is Gordon Brown too Scottish to be PM?

Back in May an ICM poll for the BBC's Politics Show asked if, in light of devolution, it was right or wrong that a Scottish MP can become Prime Minister of the whole UK. Then only 45% thought it was right, with 52% saying no. Professor John Curtice

By Anthony Wells 24 Jun 2006

ICM - Tory lead up to 5%

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian yesterday had the Conservative lead up to 5 points. This is the largest Conservative lead in an ICM poll since prior to September 1992. The topline figures, with changes from last month, are CON 37% (-1), LAB 32% (-2), LDEM 21%(+1)

By Anthony Wells 21 Jun 2006
EXCLUSIVE: YouGov Political Trackers

EXCLUSIVE: YouGov Political Trackers

Data from the first two months of YouGov's daily political trackers on BrandIndex shows that the week before the local elections caused lasting damage to Tony Blair's own reputation and to the Labour party's reputation for competence. Local election success turned around public perceptions

By Anthony Wells 19 Jun 2006

MORI - Tories 7 points ahead

The full results of MORI's poll for the Observer are now available on their website. The topline figures, with changes from last month, are CON 41% (nc), LAB 34%(+3), LDEM 18% (nc). As ever, it is worth remembering that MORI's lack of political weighting and

By Anthony Wells 19 Jun 2006

Populus - Majority back compulsory water metering & renationalisation

For the last month or so Populus have been conducting weekly poll for the BBC's Daily Politics programme - normally on Fridays. Last week's poll covered attitudes towards the water shortage in the South of England. Questions on the water companies' responsibility for leaks produced

By Anthony Wells 19 Jun 2006

YouGov - 71% of Labour members want Blair to go before Autumn 2007

A YouGov poll of Labour party members, commissioned by Michael Meacher's LabOUR Commission and published in Saturday's Guardian suggests that 71% of Labour party members want Tony Blair to step down before the 2007 conference. 37% of Labour members want him to step down before this

By Anthony Wells 17 Jun 2006

MORI - Blair less trusted than his European counterparts

Ipsos-MORI have started conducting quarterly comparative polls tracking social trends in six countries - the UK, USA, France, Spain, Germany and Italy. A couple of figures cropped up in various news items over the last week, but the first actual findings are published in a MORI report today. The most

By Anthony Wells 15 Jun 2006
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