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ICM - Lib Dem boost, Tories hit 40%

After the long summer drought we finally have a voting intention poll. It's been almost a month since the last one, during which time we've had the ceasefire in Lebanon and, probably more significantly for British domestic politics, the arrests of several suspected terrorists in connection

By Anthony Wells 21 Aug 2006

Why are MORI polls so volatile?

With MORI's monthly figures, I often find myself adding a caveat that their polls do tend to be rather more volatile than their competitors. In the past twelve months MORI has shown two shifts of 11 points in a party's poll rating, one 9 point shift,

By Anthony Wells 21 Aug 2006
John Reid wins his spurs

John Reid wins his spurs

In the absence of Tony Blair it was John Reid, not the Deputy Prime Minister, who was the public face of the government after the police foiled a plot to smuggle liquid explosives onto planes last week. Since then various media commentators have speculated that Reid's calm handling

By Anthony Wells 19 Aug 2006

The War on Terror

A new YouGov poll for this week's Spectator suggests that British people believe that we are in a world war against Islamic terrorism and we aren't winning it. They are are deeply pessimistic about both how long it will last and how bad it will get.

By Anthony Wells 17 Aug 2006

YouGov - people think alcohol and tobacco are more damaging than cannabis

Monday's Telegraph carries some details from a new YouGov poll for the Telegraph and RSA. The poll suggests that over 90% of people think that drugs are a serious problem today, although 39% of people think that the problem is largely confined to certain neighbourhoods and kinds of

By Anthony Wells 14 Aug 2006

ICM - 29% of people breaking the hose pipe ban

An ICM poll for ebay suggests that 29% of people in the areas affected by the hose pipe ban have flouted it. Of those who had broken the ban (a very small sample this, once you've removed people who don't live in the South-East or haven&

By Anthony Wells 09 Aug 2006

NOP Poll of British Muslims

Channel 4 has commissioned a NOP poll of British Muslims for Dispatches. Some of the results are in a pdf here, other questions are included. The Channel 4 website has all the questions here, but with results that differ slightly in places - possibly because they haven't yet

By Anthony Wells 08 Aug 2006
EXCLUSIVE: Popularity boost for Jack Straw

EXCLUSIVE: Popularity boost for Jack Straw

* Opinions of Israel and USA down * Blair's job approval at new low * Popularity boost for Jack Straw after criticism of Israel Below are the latest findings from YouGov's daily political tracker polls, conducted as part of their Brandindex surveys. Opinions of Israel have continued to fall

By Anthony Wells 06 Aug 2006

ICM - 53% of people would consider emigrating

Those of you who aren't on holiday will have noting the lack of posts - alas, once Westminsiter shuts down for the Summer the media stop conducting polls about what they are up to. There is no Populus poll this month and little else worth commenting on except

By Anthony Wells 05 Aug 2006

The State of the Parties - JULY

  Date CON LAB LDEM Lead YouGov/Telegraph 26/07/06 38 (-1) 33 (nc) 18 (nc) +5 Ipsos-MORI/FT 24/07/06 36 (nc) 32 (-1) 24 (+3) +4 ICM/Guardian 23/07/06 39 (+3) 35 (nc) 17 (-1) +4 Populus/Times 09/07/06 36 (-1)

By Anthony Wells 31 Jul 2006

MORI Political Monitor

The FT have published MORI's monthly political monitor. The topline figures with changes from MORI's last monthly poll are CON 36%(nc), LAB 32%(-1), LDEM 24%(+3), suggesting that while there is little change in levels of support for the Conservatives and Labour, the Liberal

By Anthony Wells 31 Jul 2006

YouGov voting intention

The monthly voting intention figures from YouGov, with changes from last month, are CON 38%(-1), LAB 33%(nc), LDEM 18%(nc). The steadiness of the Labour and Lib Dem levels of support is the same as ICM's poll in the week, and suggests that despite the government&

By Anthony Wells 28 Jul 2006
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