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Notional Election Results

What are notional election results? The majority of seats in England and Wales (but none in Scotland) will, baring legal challenges, be fought upon new boundaries at the next general election. For each seat affected UK Polling Report has calculated a notional election result. These are the votes cast at

By Anthony Wells 23 Sep 2006

ICM - 70% think it's time for a change

A new ICM poll in Friday's Guardian shows little change from ICM's poll in the Sunday Mirror last week, with voting intentions of CON 36%(-1), LAB 32%(-1), LDEM 22%(+1). There is no substantial conference boost yet for the Liberal Democrats, but the poll

By Anthony Wells 22 Sep 2006

32% of people think we should negotiate with Al-Qaeda

I somehow missed this NOP poll earlier this month, conducted for the BBC just before September 11th. Most of the results were in line with the myriad of other polls on the war on terror which were commissioned around the 5 year anniversary of the attacks on the twin towers

By Anthony Wells 20 Sep 2006

Lib Dem Conference Poll

Every year Populus carry out a special conference poll which is published over the three weeks of the party conference and covers, amongst other things, party image. The first part of the data - for the Liberal Democrats - is published today. Previous years' data is here and here.

By Anthony Wells 18 Sep 2006

ICM - good news for Labour, bad news for Brown

A new ICM poll for the Sunday Mirror shows a drop in the Conservative level of support. The topline figures with changes from ICM's last poll for the Guardian are CON 37%(-3), LAB 33%(+2), LDEM 21%(-1) - presumably "others" are up two points,

By Anthony Wells 17 Sep 2006
EXCLUSIVE: Tracking the Labour leadership race

EXCLUSIVE: Tracking the Labour leadership race

The graph of YouGov's BrandIndex tracker data below (click on the graph for a bigger version) shows the net impression figures for senior Labour party politicians over the last five months, hopefully in the coming months I'll be updating it so we can track the manoeuvring

By Anthony Wells 15 Sep 2006

Despite what the Sun says, Brown damaged by leadership row

Voting Intentions steady despite leadership row Gordon Brown's lead as public's favoured successor to Blair continues to drop This blogs top advice in judging a poll is always judge a poll on what the actual figures say, not on what the newspaper or group commissioning them,

By Anthony Wells 15 Sep 2006

MORI's monthly monitor

The data from MORI's monthly political monitor has been published, here and here. The first set of data is the leader attributes, which were published in the Observer. The Observer only compared how people saw Brown and how people saw Blair - I said at the time that

By Anthony Wells 14 Sep 2006

Labour Leadership

Preferred Leader of the Labour Party YouGov: Which of these Labour MPs do you think would make the best Prime Minister when Mr Blair steps down? ICM: Which one of the following do you think should be the next leader of the Labour Party and hence Prime Minister?  

By Anthony Wells 12 Sep 2006

Populus on the Labour leadership

A new Populus poll in the Times today asked people who they would like to see succeed Tony Blair as Labour leader. Gordon Brown continues to lead, and to dominate amongst Labour voters. 30% of the general public named Brown as their preferred successor, with 11% backing John Reid and

By Anthony Wells 12 Sep 2006

9/11 - Five Years On

On the 5th anniversary of 9/11 there is, unsurprisingly, a new poll out on the war on terror. This time it is by YouGov for Sky News. The main findings are similar to the other recent polls on the issue. 63% of people told YouGov they thought there was

By Anthony Wells 11 Sep 2006

Sunday Polls

There are three new polls in the Sunday papers, though in only partial figures are available (or at least, only partial figures are available online). I shall write up fuller reports in the week when the tables are out. Until then, a new YouGov poll in the Sunday Times shows

By Anthony Wells 10 Sep 2006
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