A new YouGov poll in today's Telegraph is a prime example of the difference sample error can make - the topline figures are CON 38%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%. The poll was begun before the YouGov poll in the Sunday Times, but there was a substantial overlap in
The Sunday Times carries a new YouGov poll. Voting intention, with changes from YouGov's last poll, is CON 37% (-1), LAB 33% (+2), LDEM 18% (nc). The changes are well within the range of normal sample error, but like the recent ICM polls show the the Conservative lead
1. Finchley and Golders Green 31 Swing required: 0.05 % 2. Crawley 37 Swing required: 0.05 % 3. Croydon Central 317 Swing required: 0.35 % 4. Battersea 336 Swing required: 0.4 % 5. Aberconwy 243 Swing required: 0.4 % 6. Harlow 357 Swing required: 0.45 % 7. Milton Keynes South
holding
What are notional election results? The majority of seats in England and Wales (but none in Scotland) will, baring legal challenges, be fought upon new boundaries at the next general election. For each seat affected UK Polling Report has calculated a notional election result. These are the votes cast at
A new ICM poll in Friday's Guardian shows little change from ICM's poll in the Sunday Mirror last week, with voting intentions of CON 36%(-1), LAB 32%(-1), LDEM 22%(+1). There is no substantial conference boost yet for the Liberal Democrats, but the poll
I somehow missed this NOP poll earlier this month, conducted for the BBC just before September 11th. Most of the results were in line with the myriad of other polls on the war on terror which were commissioned around the 5 year anniversary of the attacks on the twin towers
Every year Populus carry out a special conference poll which is published over the three weeks of the party conference and covers, amongst other things, party image. The first part of the data - for the Liberal Democrats - is published today. Previous years' data is here and here.
A new ICM poll for the Sunday Mirror shows a drop in the Conservative level of support. The topline figures with changes from ICM's last poll for the Guardian are CON 37%(-3), LAB 33%(+2), LDEM 21%(-1) - presumably "others" are up two points,
The graph of YouGov's BrandIndex tracker data below (click on the graph for a bigger version) shows the net impression figures for senior Labour party politicians over the last five months, hopefully in the coming months I'll be updating it so we can track the manoeuvring
Voting Intentions steady despite leadership row Gordon Brown's lead as public's favoured successor to Blair continues to drop This blogs top advice in judging a poll is always judge a poll on what the actual figures say, not on what the newspaper or group commissioning them,
The data from MORI's monthly political monitor has been published, here and here. The first set of data is the leader attributes, which were published in the Observer. The Observer only compared how people saw Brown and how people saw Blair - I said at the time that
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