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Bush more dangerous than Kim Jong-il?

The Guardian carries an ICM poll this morning suggesting that 87% of people think Osama bin Laden is a great or moderate danger to peace, compared to 75% for George W Bush, 69% for Kim Jong-il, 65% for Hassan Nasrallah and 62% for Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Other than the fact that

By Anthony Wells 03 Nov 2006

51% of Scots favour independence

In the run up to next year's elections to the Scottish Parliament the Scotsman newspaper has begun commissioning regular monthly polls from ICM. These will be the first regular Scottish polls since the System Three polls for the Herald petered out in 2003. 51% of respondents told ICM

By Anthony Wells 01 Nov 2006

Tracking the US Mid Term Elections

There are bucketloads of American websites that collate opinion polls, comment on the latest figures and try to predict election results. Rather than try to do any analysis myself, here is a round up of the some of the best links for those of you interested in following the US

By Anthony Wells 31 Oct 2006

YouGov give the Conservatives a 7 point lead

There is somewhat less confusion about the actual state of the parties with YouGov's monthly poll, which tallies with the sort of lead produced by ICM and Communicate during the past week. The topline figures with changes from YouGov's last poll are CON 39% (+3), LAB

By Anthony Wells 26 Oct 2006

Squaring the latest ICM and MORI polls

In the last week we've had one poll putting Labour at their lowest level since 1987, and another poll giving Labour their largest lead since April. Earlier in the week David Cameron was being asked on the radio why his party was 2 points behind, now a poll

By Anthony Wells 26 Oct 2006

ICM - Labour drop below 30%

ICM's latest voting intention poll has the lowest level of Labour support since before the 1987 election (according to the Guardian it equals the lowest ever rating by ICM, back in May 1987), and puts them below the symbolic 30% level. It is the largest Conservative lead recorded

By Anthony Wells 25 Oct 2006

Communicate Research put the Tories 6 points ahead

A Communicate Research poll in today's Independent gives the Conservatives an 6 point lead over Labour. The full topline figures are CON 38%, LAB 32%, LDEM 14%, Others 16%. It is Communicate's first voting intention poll since back in 2005, so there no changes from the

By Anthony Wells 24 Oct 2006

YouGov on taxation

Ahead of their normal monthly poll later in the week, YouGov have separate poll in today's Telegraph asking about taxation (presumably commissioned in response to the Conservatives' policy commission on tax). Asked which party would handle taxation the best, the Conservatives lead Labour slightly, 25% to 20%

By Anthony Wells 23 Oct 2006

Is Brown more popular than Cameron - plus MORI voting intention

Do people prefer Gordon Brown to David Cameron? The answer you get depends on who you ask. There's a Populus poll mentioned in the Times today (conducted for Opinion Leader Forum - who they?) that claims amongst "swing voters" Gordon Brown would be preferred as Prime

By Anthony Wells 23 Oct 2006

Women wearing the veil

Despite the ongoing media focus on the story, there has been very little polling on attitudes towards Muslim women wearing the veil. Now up on MORI's website is the most detailed questionaire we have so far, undertaken for ITV's Tonight with Trevor MacDonald. 51% of people

By Anthony Wells 20 Oct 2006

Deaths in Iraq

Given its potential to attract hordes of nutcases to my comments section, I have been steadfastly ignoring the Lancet's report on the increased mortality rate in Iraq since the invasion. Since Peter Cairns has asked me about it in the comments section below and I have been tagged

By Anthony Wells 16 Oct 2006

Round up of latest polls

A poll in the Sunday Express asked about the comments of Sir Richard Dannatt. 74% of people said they agreed with his comments, and 71% of people said he should not be sacked. 57% of people said they agreed that Muslim extremists were exploiting a "moral and spiritual vacuum&

By Anthony Wells 16 Oct 2006
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