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Round up

Welcome back! In the next couple of days I'll be putting up some articles looking at how the polls have fared for the three main political parties over the last year and what they are indicating for the year ahead. In the meantime, here's a round

By Anthony Wells 30 Dec 2006

YouGov December Poll

YouGov's December poll has the Conservative lead down marginally at 4 points, the full topline figures with changes from last month's are CON 37%(nc), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 17%(+1). The changes from last month are insignificant in themselves, but over the longer term there

By Anthony Wells 22 Dec 2006

ICM shows 8 point Tory lead

The last of ICM's monthly Guardian polls of 2006 shows the Conservatives with an 8 point lead in voting intentions. The full topline figures with changes from ICM's last poll in the News of the World are CON 40%(+1), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 18%(-2)

By Anthony Wells 20 Dec 2006

Men and Women Divided on Trident

More from Populus' latest poll in today's Times. Populus found a small majority (52%) in favour of replacing Trident, with 20% saying they supported Trident in the past but don't think it should be replaced now and 23% saying they have never supported Britain having

By Anthony Wells 13 Dec 2006

December Populus Poll

Populus's final monthly poll of 2006 in Tuesday's Times shows a drop in the level of Conservative support. The topline voting intention figures are CON 34% (-2), LAB 33%(nc), LDEM 19%(-1). Populus tend to show the smallest Labour lead of the main pollsters, and

By Anthony Wells 12 Dec 2006

Latest Scottish Polls

There was a new TNS System Three poll in the Sunday Herald yesterday. The constituency vote, with changes from TNS's last monthly poll, breaks down as CON 11%(-1), LAB 35%(-3), LDEM 14%(nc), SNP 32%(+2), GRN 3%, SSP 4% (though the Greens do not put

By Anthony Wells 11 Dec 2006

Gordon Brown - two predictions

Since the election have been nineteen polls asking how people would vote with Gordon Brown as Labour party leader. Populus seem to have pretty much made it one of their regular tracker questions. Every month when one is published I try to add a caveat of some sort to them

By Anthony Wells 08 Dec 2006

ICM correction

The ICM poll published in the News of the World was actually their unadjusted figures. Once ICM's spiral of silence adjustment is taken into account the correct figures are CON 39%, LAB 31%, LDEM 20%. Now the full figures are up on the ICM website we can compare

By Anthony Wells 04 Dec 2006

The Surveillance Society

A YouGov poll in the Telegraph suggests continuing unease over ID cards and the national database, and the potential for outright refusal to co-operate with any scheme from a minority of the public. 50% of people said they were in favour of ID cards, with 39% of people opposed. This

By Anthony Wells 04 Dec 2006

Sunday Polls

No sooner have I dismissed October's ICM poll that showed a 10 point Conservative lead as an obvious outlier (and therefore interpreted their Guardian poll this month as a return to the norm), suddenly another poll appears with a lead of the same sort of size. An ICM

By Anthony Wells 03 Dec 2006

Conservatives weakening in latest YouGov poll

The monthly YouGov poll for the Telegraph, a week later than usual, has the topline voting intentions of CON 37%(-2), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 16%(nc), suggesting a drop in Conservative support. There has been a perception in recent weeks that the polls are showing a fall in Conservative

By Anthony Wells 01 Dec 2006

Veils and Crosses

There are two recent ICM polls on wearing religious symbols and clothing in public. The first for the News of the World last weekend found overwhelming opposition to BA in the "necklace row" - 80% of people said that British Airways had been wrong to enforce their uniform

By Anthony Wells 30 Nov 2006
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