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Changes at the Election Guide

If you ever take the time to wander over there you'll notice a major redesign at my constituency guide at www.ukpollingreport.co.uk/guide (or via the little button on my right sidebar). It's still a work in progress, so some of the menu links

By Anthony Wells 14 Jun 2007

Black Britons back Labour

There is a new poll of British black people in the Voice newspaper, carried out by Johnson Survey Research Inc (who I've never heard of, but may be the US company of the same name). According to the survey voting intention amongst British black people is 51% Labour,

By Anthony Wells 11 Jun 2007

Populus June Poll

Populus's monthly poll for the Times has headline voting intention figures (with changes from last month) of CON 36%(-1), LAB 33%(nc), LDEM 17%(nc). The boost in the Labour vote last month has been retained, but there doesn't appear to be any significant month-on-month

By Anthony Wells 05 Jun 2007

ICM show Tory lead up, YouGov show Johnson ahead in deputy race

An ICM poll in the Sunday Telegraph has the Conservatives re-asserting their lead over Labour after the narrowing of the gap between the two main parties over the last month. The ongoing row within the Conservative party over grammar schools does not appear to have damaged their standing in the

By Anthony Wells 03 Jun 2007

MORI May Political Monitor

MORI's political monitor for May is out. The topline figures with changes from last month are CON 37%(-1), LAB 35%(+4), LDEM 18%(-2). The fieldwork for the poll was actually conducted prior to the recent YouGov and Communicate Research polls, but the trend matches that of

By Anthony Wells 31 May 2007

Another swing to Labour in Communicate's May poll

Communicate's May poll for the Independent has topline figures with changes from last month of CON 35%(-1), LAB 31%(+4), LDEM 19%(-3). This largely reflects the trend seen in the other May polls, which have seen a Labour recovery, most often at the expense of the

By Anthony Wells 29 May 2007

Has Brown improved his image?

More from this month's YouGov poll in Monday's Telegraph , largely about public perceptions of Gordon Brown. The overall findings contain nothing new - Brown is seen as intelligent, effective, competent and decisive, but also divisive, gloomy and dull. More interesting is whether or not the leadership

By Anthony Wells 28 May 2007

Liberal Democrats - 15% or 21%

Despite the major differences between the methodology used by the different pollsters, by hook or by crook the voting intention figures they produce all tend to be relatively similar to one another. The exception is the Liberal Democrats, who vary significantly between ICM, who give them the highest scores, and

By Anthony Wells 27 May 2007

YouGov May Poll

In the strange interregnum between Blair's resignation announcement and Gordon Brown's accession it's still unclear what the polls signify. In the three polls carried out since Blair stepped down Labour have received a boost in the polls - either at the expense of the

By Anthony Wells 26 May 2007

Tory lead down to 2 in May ICM poll

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian shows the same sort of recovery in Labour supports as the other polls conducted since Tony Blair's announcement of his resignation - Labour are up 2 points since last month with overall headline figures of CON 34% (-3), LAB 32%

By Anthony Wells 23 May 2007

Political Weighting

MORI's most recent political monitor included a question asking about how people voted at the last election. Since they don't use it for weighting purposes, it isn't a question that MORI regularly ask (or at least, it isn't one they regularly publish)

By Anthony Wells 20 May 2007

Labour up 4 in Populus' May poll

Populus's May poll for the Times shows a similar pattern to YouGov's poll last week - Labour have received a boost from the positive publicity following Tony Blair's resignation, up four points on last month (and as with YouGov, this gives them their highest

By Anthony Wells 15 May 2007
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