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MORI May Political Monitor

MORI's political monitor for May is out. The topline figures with changes from last month are CON 37%(-1), LAB 35%(+4), LDEM 18%(-2). The fieldwork for the poll was actually conducted prior to the recent YouGov and Communicate Research polls, but the trend matches that of

By Anthony Wells 31 May 2007

Another swing to Labour in Communicate's May poll

Communicate's May poll for the Independent has topline figures with changes from last month of CON 35%(-1), LAB 31%(+4), LDEM 19%(-3). This largely reflects the trend seen in the other May polls, which have seen a Labour recovery, most often at the expense of the

By Anthony Wells 29 May 2007

Has Brown improved his image?

More from this month's YouGov poll in Monday's Telegraph , largely about public perceptions of Gordon Brown. The overall findings contain nothing new - Brown is seen as intelligent, effective, competent and decisive, but also divisive, gloomy and dull. More interesting is whether or not the leadership

By Anthony Wells 28 May 2007

Liberal Democrats - 15% or 21%

Despite the major differences between the methodology used by the different pollsters, by hook or by crook the voting intention figures they produce all tend to be relatively similar to one another. The exception is the Liberal Democrats, who vary significantly between ICM, who give them the highest scores, and

By Anthony Wells 27 May 2007

YouGov May Poll

In the strange interregnum between Blair's resignation announcement and Gordon Brown's accession it's still unclear what the polls signify. In the three polls carried out since Blair stepped down Labour have received a boost in the polls - either at the expense of the

By Anthony Wells 26 May 2007

Tory lead down to 2 in May ICM poll

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian shows the same sort of recovery in Labour supports as the other polls conducted since Tony Blair's announcement of his resignation - Labour are up 2 points since last month with overall headline figures of CON 34% (-3), LAB 32%

By Anthony Wells 23 May 2007

Political Weighting

MORI's most recent political monitor included a question asking about how people voted at the last election. Since they don't use it for weighting purposes, it isn't a question that MORI regularly ask (or at least, it isn't one they regularly publish)

By Anthony Wells 20 May 2007

Labour up 4 in Populus' May poll

Populus's May poll for the Times shows a similar pattern to YouGov's poll last week - Labour have received a boost from the positive publicity following Tony Blair's resignation, up four points on last month (and as with YouGov, this gives them their highest

By Anthony Wells 15 May 2007

Blair's resignation boosts Labour

The Sunday Times has the first poll of voting intentions since the announcement of Tony Blair's resignation. The YouGov poll has headline voting intentions, with changes from their last poll, of CON 38%(+1), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM 15%(-3). The poll was carried out between the 10th

By Anthony Wells 12 May 2007

Tony Blair's legacy

Yesterday I got a strange phone call from a journalist who'd heard there was a poll out showing Blair in a positive light - presumably she meant the ICM poll in today's Guardian. Despite the rock bottom current approval ratings of Tony Blair, when asked to

By Anthony Wells 10 May 2007

Post election polling round up

With the results from the Scottish election in, how did the pollsters do? All the pollsters underestimated the level of Conservative support in the constituency section (and all by the same amount), Populus's Labour support was too low and YouGov's SNP support too high, leaving ICM

By Anthony Wells 06 May 2007

The local elections

I remember that a year ago my referral logs in the days running up to the local elections were full of people searching for local election opinion polls. They must have come away disappointed, because there were practically none. It looks as though they'll be similarly disappointed this

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2007
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