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Latest ICM and Survation voting intentions

ICM's regular poll for the Guardian is out today and has topline voting intention figures of CON 41%(nc), LAB 40%(-1), LDEM 8%(+1). Fieldwork ws Friday to Sunday and changes are from the large ICM poll in mid-January. Tabs are here. The latest Survation poll meanwhile

By Anthony Wells 06 Feb 2018

YouGov/Times - CON 42%, LAB 42%, LD 6%

YouGov's regular voting intention figures this week are CON 42%(+1), LAB 42%(nc), LDEM 6%(-1). Fieldwork was Sunday to Monday and changes are from mid-January, showing the stable levels of support that have become the norm in recent months. One thing that is notable in the

By Anthony Wells 02 Feb 2018

Some thoughts on the BES turnout data and the absent "youthquake"

Today the British Election Study published its face-to-face data for the 2017 election. The BES has two main elements: one is a large online panel element, using the same respondents in multiple waves so that they can track change at an individual level. The other part is a smaller face-to-face

By Anthony Wells 29 Jan 2018

Latest ICM and Ipsos MORI polls

ICM and Ipsos MORI both published their latest voting intention figures last week. Topline voting intentions were Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 39%(+2), LAB 42%(+3), LDEM 9%(nc) ICM/Guardian - CON 41%, LAB 41%, LDEM 7% Fieldwork for MORI was over last weekend, changes are from November.

By Anthony Wells 27 Jan 2018

YouGov/Times - CON 41, LAB 42, LD 7

YouGov's regular voting intention poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 41%(+1), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 7%(-2). Fieldwork was Tuesday to Wednesday and changs are from early January. The regular tracking question on "Bregret" finds 45% of respondents saying Britain was right

By Anthony Wells 20 Jan 2018

YouGov's Scottish poll

There was a new YouGov Scottish poll in this morning's Times. Topline voting intention figures with changes from their last poll in October are: Westminster: CON 23%(nc), LAB 28%(-2), LD 6%(+1), SNP 36%(-4), GRN 3%(+2) Holyrood Constituency: CON 26%(+1), LAB 23%(-2)

By Anthony Wells 17 Jan 2018

Opinium/Observer - CON 40, LAB 40, LDEM 6

There is a new poll by Opinium in this morning's Observer. Topline voting intention figures are CON 40%(+1), LAB 40%(-1), LDEM 6%(-1). Changes are since December, and fieldwork was on Thursday and Friday (so after the reshuffle, though reshuffles are not the type of event

By Anthony Wells 14 Jan 2018

Polling on a second referendum

There are two polls on holding a second referendum in today's papers. YouGov in the Times found 36% of people in favour of a second referendum once Brexit negotiations are complete, 43% of people were opposed, 21% said don't know. This is slightly up on last

By Anthony Wells 12 Jan 2018

YouGov/Times - CON 40%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%

YouGov's first voting intention poll of the year looks very much like the polls at the end of last year. Topline figures are CON 40% (nc), LAB 41%(-1), LDEM 9%(+2). Fieldwork was on Sunday and Monday and changes are from mid-December. For the record, the nine

By Anthony Wells 11 Jan 2018

On measuring support for Brexit

Another week, another Brexit poll for partisan twitter to get overexcited about. In this case the fuss was caused by a YouGov poll that appeared to show people backing Brexit by 48% to 39%. This survey was actually the GB answers to question asked to several EU countries - the

By Anthony Wells 27 Dec 2017

New ICM and Opinium polls

There are two new voting intention polls in Sunday's papers - ICM for the Sun on Sunday and Opinium for the Observer. ICM in the Sun on Sunday have topline figures of CON 41%(-1), LAB 42%(+2), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 4%(-1). Fieldwork was Tuesday to

By Anthony Wells 17 Dec 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 42, LAB 41, LDEM 7

YouGov's latest poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 42%(+2), LAB 41%(nc), LDEM 7%(nc). Fieldwork was Sunday to Monday, and changes are from last week. While the movement from the last poll is well within the normal margin of error, it's

By Anthony Wells 11 Dec 2017
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