YouGov's regular voting intention poll this week has topline figures of CON 40%(-3), LAB 41%(+2), LDEM 8%(nc). Fieldwork was on Monday and Tuesday and changes are since last week. Full tabs are here. The movement towards Labour here is likely to be just a reversion
Last week I wrote about the unusual YouGov poll showing a four point Conservative lead and said I personally thought it was more likely to be statistical noise than the first sign of the Conservatives opening up a lead in voting intention. However, at the weekend we also had a
The latest YouGov poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 43%(+1), LAB 39%(-3), LDEM 8%(+2). Fieldwork was Monday to Tuesday, changes are from last week. The full tables are here. The big risk when watching opinion polls is to pay too much attention to exciting
ICM's regular poll for the Guardian is out today and has topline voting intention figures of CON 41%(nc), LAB 40%(-1), LDEM 8%(+1). Fieldwork ws Friday to Sunday and changes are from the large ICM poll in mid-January. Tabs are here. The latest Survation poll meanwhile
YouGov's regular voting intention figures this week are CON 42%(+1), LAB 42%(nc), LDEM 6%(-1). Fieldwork was Sunday to Monday and changes are from mid-January, showing the stable levels of support that have become the norm in recent months. One thing that is notable in the
Today the British Election Study published its face-to-face data for the 2017 election. The BES has two main elements: one is a large online panel element, using the same respondents in multiple waves so that they can track change at an individual level. The other part is a smaller face-to-face
ICM and Ipsos MORI both published their latest voting intention figures last week. Topline voting intentions were Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 39%(+2), LAB 42%(+3), LDEM 9%(nc) ICM/Guardian - CON 41%, LAB 41%, LDEM 7% Fieldwork for MORI was over last weekend, changes are from November.
YouGov's regular voting intention poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 41%(+1), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 7%(-2). Fieldwork was Tuesday to Wednesday and changs are from early January. The regular tracking question on "Bregret" finds 45% of respondents saying Britain was right
There was a new YouGov Scottish poll in this morning's Times. Topline voting intention figures with changes from their last poll in October are: Westminster: CON 23%(nc), LAB 28%(-2), LD 6%(+1), SNP 36%(-4), GRN 3%(+2) Holyrood Constituency: CON 26%(+1), LAB 23%(-2)
There is a new poll by Opinium in this morning's Observer. Topline voting intention figures are CON 40%(+1), LAB 40%(-1), LDEM 6%(-1). Changes are since December, and fieldwork was on Thursday and Friday (so after the reshuffle, though reshuffles are not the type of event
There are two polls on holding a second referendum in today's papers. YouGov in the Times found 36% of people in favour of a second referendum once Brexit negotiations are complete, 43% of people were opposed, 21% said don't know. This is slightly up on last
YouGov's first voting intention poll of the year looks very much like the polls at the end of last year. Topline figures are CON 40% (nc), LAB 41%(-1), LDEM 9%(+2). Fieldwork was on Sunday and Monday and changes are from mid-December. For the record, the nine
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