Quick update on recent polls - ICM in the Guardian have topline voting intention figures of CON 43%(+1), LAB 42%(-1), LDEM 7%(nc) (tabs are here). Voting intention remains as static as it has been for the last eight months or so. The rest of the poll was
Saturday's Times had the latest YouGov voting intention results, which were CON 40%(nc), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 8%(nc). It also had results from a poll asking about the media allegations about Jeremy Corbyn having met a Czech spy in the 1980s, which clearly illustrated why such
YouGov have a new poll of London for Queen Mary University of London. Westminster voting intention in London stands are CON 33%, LAB 53%, LDEM 8% - little different from at the general election. More interesting, given we are only a few months away from the London council elections in
YouGov's regular voting intention poll this week has topline figures of CON 40%(-3), LAB 41%(+2), LDEM 8%(nc). Fieldwork was on Monday and Tuesday and changes are since last week. Full tabs are here. The movement towards Labour here is likely to be just a reversion
Last week I wrote about the unusual YouGov poll showing a four point Conservative lead and said I personally thought it was more likely to be statistical noise than the first sign of the Conservatives opening up a lead in voting intention. However, at the weekend we also had a
The latest YouGov poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 43%(+1), LAB 39%(-3), LDEM 8%(+2). Fieldwork was Monday to Tuesday, changes are from last week. The full tables are here. The big risk when watching opinion polls is to pay too much attention to exciting
ICM's regular poll for the Guardian is out today and has topline voting intention figures of CON 41%(nc), LAB 40%(-1), LDEM 8%(+1). Fieldwork ws Friday to Sunday and changes are from the large ICM poll in mid-January. Tabs are here. The latest Survation poll meanwhile
YouGov's regular voting intention figures this week are CON 42%(+1), LAB 42%(nc), LDEM 6%(-1). Fieldwork was Sunday to Monday and changes are from mid-January, showing the stable levels of support that have become the norm in recent months. One thing that is notable in the
Today the British Election Study published its face-to-face data for the 2017 election. The BES has two main elements: one is a large online panel element, using the same respondents in multiple waves so that they can track change at an individual level. The other part is a smaller face-to-face
ICM and Ipsos MORI both published their latest voting intention figures last week. Topline voting intentions were Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 39%(+2), LAB 42%(+3), LDEM 9%(nc) ICM/Guardian - CON 41%, LAB 41%, LDEM 7% Fieldwork for MORI was over last weekend, changes are from November.
YouGov's regular voting intention poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 41%(+1), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 7%(-2). Fieldwork was Tuesday to Wednesday and changs are from early January. The regular tracking question on "Bregret" finds 45% of respondents saying Britain was right
There was a new YouGov Scottish poll in this morning's Times. Topline voting intention figures with changes from their last poll in October are: Westminster: CON 23%(nc), LAB 28%(-2), LD 6%(+1), SNP 36%(-4), GRN 3%(+2) Holyrood Constituency: CON 26%(+1), LAB 23%(-2)
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