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Will Gordon be enough of a change?

The Conservative's most powerful card at the next election will be "time for a change". Put aside personalities, specific policies and so on - the four big messages that win or lose an election are "Let us finish what we started", "Don'

By Anthony Wells 02 Jul 2007

The Brown Boost

Two new polls in Saturday's papers show Labour back in the lead as the "Brown boost" takes effect. A YouGov poll in the Telegraph has headline figures, with changes from the last YouGov poll, of CON 35% (-2), LAB 38% (+3), LDEM 15% (+1). An ICM

By Anthony Wells 29 Jun 2007

Expectations of Brown and Cameron

There is a new YouGov poll in today's Economist - it was carried out prior to Gordon Brown becoming Prime Minister, so we still await the first opinion poll actually conducted with Brown in office. YouGov asked about whether people thought a Brown or Cameron government would or

By Anthony Wells 29 Jun 2007

More from the YouGov/Sky News poll

As mentioned below, the voting intention figures in the YouGov poll for Sky News were actually prompted using the names of the party leaders, so aren't comparable to normal voting intention figures (though they do tell an interesting story in themselves, showing Labour doing better with Brown -

By Anthony Wells 27 Jun 2007

New constituency boundaries come into force today

The Privy council approved the new Parliamentary boundaries a fortnight ago, meaning they officially come into force today. From now on any general election would be fought on the new Parliamentary boundaries. By-elections in this Parliament - such as the forthcoming ones at Ealing Southall and, by all accounts, Sedgefield

By Anthony Wells 27 Jun 2007

YouGov poll - hold your horses!

Sky News have released a new YouGov poll showing voting intentions of CON 37%, LAB 36%, LDEM 12%(!). It appears to be the lowest Conservative lead in a YouGov poll since last September, and the lowest level of Liberal Democrat support in any poll since 2001...except, it isn'

By Anthony Wells 27 Jun 2007

Communicate give Conservatives a 5 point lead

Communicate's monthly poll for the Independent is out. The headline figures with changes from their poll last month are CON 37%(+2), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 18%(-1). The poll was conducted between the 22nd and 24th June, so fieldwork would have been conducted after Gordon Brown'

By Anthony Wells 25 Jun 2007

Wales, Lib Dems and Northern Ireland

No, not all in the same poll, but a few new polls from the last couple of days. An ICM poll for BBC Wales has found support for a "rainbow coalition" to govern Wales. 41% of respondents backed a coalition between Plaid Cymru, the Conservatives and Lib Dems,

By Anthony Wells 25 Jun 2007

MORI show Labour back in the lead

An Ipsos-MORI poll in the Observor tomorrow records the first Labour lead in any poll since December last year. The headline figures with changes from MORI's poll last month are CON 36% (-1), LAB 39% (+4), LDEM 15% (-3). On the surface there appears to have been a

By Anthony Wells 23 Jun 2007

A referendum on Europe

Two very similar new polls about the European Union in advance of the newly negotiated EU treaty - ICM for Open Europe and YouGov for Paul Sykes's Speak Out campaign. Both polls show around half the public think that the EU already has too much power (in slightly

By Anthony Wells 21 Jun 2007

Cameron still hasn't claimed the centre ground

Today's Channel 4 news has a new YouGov poll asking people about their perceptions of the party leaders and their parties on a left-right scale (full details here). Obviously it is easy to argue that a left-right scale is pretty arbitary and doesn't mean much in

By Anthony Wells 18 Jun 2007

Labour continue to rise in latest YouGov poll

A new YouGov poll in the Sunday Times has Labour on the up again - the headline voting intention figures with changes from the last YouGov poll are CON 37%(-2), LAB 35%(+2), LDEM 14%(-1). Obviously we are in a period of flux, and any explanation for the

By Anthony Wells 17 Jun 2007
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