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YouGov shows biggest Brown boost so far

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph has voting intention figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, of CON 32%(-1), LAB 41%(+1), LDEM 16%(+1). The changes from the last poll, conducted only four days previously, are insignificant, but it is the largest Labour share

By Anthony Wells 27 Jul 2007

Why Voting Intention Polls Matter

We've now pretty much got the measure of the "Brown bounce" in the polls - YouGov, MORI and ICM are all showing a Labour lead of around 6 or 7 percent. So, what does this actually tell us? Well, not a lot really. Anyone with sense

By Anthony Wells 25 Jul 2007

Brown boost continues in three new polls

I'm on holiday at the moment, with an intermittent internet connecton so blogging will be slow over the next week. Two new polls in the Sunday papers both show Labour leads pretty consistent with the last ICM poll - YouGov in the Sunday Times has CON 33%, LAB

By Anthony Wells 22 Jul 2007

First Boris v Ken poll?

The first Ken vs Boris poll is out in the Standard - Livingston 32%, Johnson 23%, Greg Dyke (presumably as an indepedent) 9%, an unspecified Lib Dem on 6%, John Bird (again presumably as an independent) 5%, unspecified Lib Dem on 5%. 25% undecided. It was conducted by Ciao!, an

By Anthony Wells 17 Jul 2007

The boost continues - Labour lead up to 7 points

An ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph has voting intentions (with changes from the last ICM poll) of CON 33% (-2), LAB 40% (+3), LDEM 19% (+2). Far from the slight drop in the most recent ICM poll representing the end of Gordon Brown's bounce, it has clearly

By Anthony Wells 14 Jul 2007

Labour lead at 2 points in new ICM poll

The Sunday Mirror apparently has a new ICM poll with headline voting intentions, with changes from the ICM/Guardian poll taken at the end of last week, of CON 35%(nc), LAB 37%(-2), LDEM 17%(-1). This means Labour's lead is down two points from last week,

By Anthony Wells 07 Jul 2007
The Brown boost - lessons from history

The Brown boost - lessons from history

All the polls since Gordon Brown became Prime Minister have shown Labour once again enjoying a lead over the Conservatives - it looks indisputable that Labour have received a boost from their change in leader. The question is whether it will last - is this a temporary effect of the

By Anthony Wells 07 Jul 2007

Brown boost continues in July Populus poll

Populus's July poll for the Times has a similar boost to Labour's support as that seen in YouGov and ICM's polls over the weekend, putting Labour back in the lead for the first time since April 2006 in a Populus poll. The headline figures,

By Anthony Wells 02 Jul 2007

Will Gordon be enough of a change?

The Conservative's most powerful card at the next election will be "time for a change". Put aside personalities, specific policies and so on - the four big messages that win or lose an election are "Let us finish what we started", "Don'

By Anthony Wells 02 Jul 2007

The Brown Boost

Two new polls in Saturday's papers show Labour back in the lead as the "Brown boost" takes effect. A YouGov poll in the Telegraph has headline figures, with changes from the last YouGov poll, of CON 35% (-2), LAB 38% (+3), LDEM 15% (+1). An ICM

By Anthony Wells 29 Jun 2007

Expectations of Brown and Cameron

There is a new YouGov poll in today's Economist - it was carried out prior to Gordon Brown becoming Prime Minister, so we still await the first opinion poll actually conducted with Brown in office. YouGov asked about whether people thought a Brown or Cameron government would or

By Anthony Wells 29 Jun 2007

More from the YouGov/Sky News poll

As mentioned below, the voting intention figures in the YouGov poll for Sky News were actually prompted using the names of the party leaders, so aren't comparable to normal voting intention figures (though they do tell an interesting story in themselves, showing Labour doing better with Brown -

By Anthony Wells 27 Jun 2007
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