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YouGov show huge conference boost for Brown

A snap YouGov poll with fieldwork conducted on Monday afternoon through to Tuesday - so directly after Gordon Brown's conference speech - has headline figures of CON 33% (nc), LAB 44% (+5!), LDEM 13% (-3). The Conservative figure is believable enough, but the Liberal Democrat and Labour figures

By Anthony Wells 25 Sep 2007

Labour hit 42% in latest MORI poll

A new Ipsos-MORI poll in the Sun on Monday has voting intentions of CON 34%(-2), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 14%(-2). There are no dates available for the fieldwork yet - sometimes MORI's polls do take slightly longer to reach the papers, especially the monthly face-to-face polls,

By Anthony Wells 23 Sep 2007

ICM in the Sunday Mirror

An ICM poll in the Sunday Mirror has voting intention figures, with changes from their poll taken at the very height of the Northern Rock crisis, of CON 33%(+1), LAB 39%(-1), LDEM 19%(-1). The change in this poll alone is not significant, but it is similar to

By Anthony Wells 22 Sep 2007

...if there was an election next month

Everything I'm hearing is that it's increasingly likely that there will be an election called during the next fortnight, possibly next week. My own best guess was that, if Brown was going to call an election this year (which I didn't think he would!

By Anthony Wells 22 Sep 2007

YouGov shows Labour unscathed by Northern Rock

A new YouGov poll in Saturday's Telegraph has voting intentions (with changes from the poll last weekend) of CON 33%(-1), LAB 39%(nc), LDEM 16%(+1). The previous YouGov poll was largely conducted before Northern Rock, this was conducted between the 19th and 21st of September making

By Anthony Wells 22 Sep 2007

Labour running ahead despite Northern Rock

This is interesting - an ICM poll in Wednesday's Guardian has voting intentions of CON 32%(-2), LAB 40% (+1), LDEM 20% (+2). It was conducted between the 13th and 16th, so a lot of it would have been after the Northern Rock difficulties started to dominate the

By Anthony Wells 18 Sep 2007

Labour back ahead with ComRes

A ComRes poll in the Independent has headline voting intention figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 34%(-2), LAB 37%(+1), LDEM 15%(nc). Like YouGov yesterday it shows a widening of the Labour lead (or in this case, a re-establishment of it). While the changes in

By Anthony Wells 17 Sep 2007

Last pre-conference poll has a 5 point Labour lead

A YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline voting intentions of CON 34%(-1), LAB 39%(+1), LDEM 15%(nc). The Labour lead is two points higher than the last YouGov poll, perhaps on the surface suggesting that the sharp cut in Labour's lead in the last

By Anthony Wells 15 Sep 2007

Economic troubles

I'm not an economist so won't pretend to understand the possible implications of the credit crunch that forced the Northern Rock to go cap in hand to the Bank of England yesterday. If the economy does hit troubled times, is it likely to help or hinder

By Anthony Wells 14 Sep 2007

How Christian is Britain?

Since the religion question was added to the census in 2001 this has become a recurring debate on blogs - I was reminded of it when I saw Cramner's blog talking about Iain Dale's little survey of his readership where Cramner wrote "The 45% who

By Anthony Wells 10 Sep 2007

Grammar Schools

A poll of parents with children in state schools found by YouGov for the Readers Digest found that 59% of parents thought that all children should have the opportunity to go to a grammar school if they passed the entrance exam. It's a slightly oddly worded question: I

By Anthony Wells 10 Sep 2007

The Brown Boost - an update

Back in June when Labour's rating in polls first began to shoot upwards on the back of Gordon Brown's approaching premiership I wrote that there were four questions we needed to ponder about the Brown boost. Two months later let's see if we'

By Anthony Wells 04 Sep 2007
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