I am away from a computer tonight, so feel free to use this thread to discuss the YouGov poll later - and possibly the debate polling (depending on if the site copes by itself with the surge of traffic when the debate finishes!) I take that back - the Sun
There is a new(ish) Angus Reid poll in the Economist here. Topline figures are CON 33%(+1), LAB 23%(nc), LDEM 30%(-3). Fieldwork was conducted over last weekend, Friday to Monday, so it's slightly out of date now. As usual with Angus Reid, it shows a
The polling YouGov did on Gordon Brown's gaffe yesterday is up in full on the website here. 44% sympathize with Mrs Duffy, 23% with Brown. 50% think its a storm in a teacup, 46% think the worse of Brown. 26% think that Brown was genuinely sorry, 56% think
There is a new(ish) TNS BMRB poll out this morning. The topline figures are CON 34%(nc), LAB 27%(-2), LDEM 30%(nc). The fieldwork was conducted between the 21st and 27th April. TNS do traditional face-to-face fieldwork in people's homes, so almost by definition it takes
ComRes's poll was supposed to be embargoed until 10pm, but given both ITV's Meridian Tonight and Conservativehome have already published it it seems somewhat pointless to wait. Their rolling poll for ITV and the Independent has figures of CON 36%(+3), LAB 29%(nc), LDEM 26%
The Guardian has a new poll of Liberal Democrat target seats here. I think this is the first such study of these seats, which have suddenly become key to the election result. ICM polled the first 42 seats on this list, seats where the Liberal Democrats need a swing of
YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%(+1), LAB 27%(-2), LDEM 31%(+3). Some movement back towards the Lib Dems there, and the first time YouGov have had them at over 30 for a week. Note that the fieldwork for YouGov is
Tonight we should have YouGov in the Sun, the regular ComRes for ITV and the Independent, and a new marginals poll (plus whatever less regular polls turn up!). Bear in mind that all the fieldwork for ComRes, and the vast majority of the fieldwork for YouGov, will have been conducted
Populus tonight has topline figures of CON 36%(+4), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 28%(-3). Changes are from their poll a week ago which showed the Conservatives with just a 1 point lead over the Lib Dems, so it supports the slight Tory recovery and slight falling back of the
We are 9 days out from the election, people look at the opinion polls wanting to know who is going to win, who is going to form the next government. The simple answer is that at present they can't tell us - we look set for a hung
The same point keeps coming up in comments - if there is some great surge of young voters backing the Liberal Democrats, would it be picked up in the polls? The short answer is that it should be. Pollsters in the UK do not weight their samples to match the
There are four new polls tonight - YouGov in the Sun, Opinium in the Express and ICM in the Guardian. ComRes is not officially out yet, but the Guardian are reporting it here. That gives us: YouGov/Sun CON 33%(-1), LAB 28%(nc), LDEM 29%(-1) Opinium/Express CON
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