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Swingometer Backup

Swingometer Backup

Swing Calculator This calculates what would happen at a general election if there was a uniform swing across the country. Enter shares of the vote into the boxes below and click submit to see what the result would be if they were repeated at a general election. mysql_connect("

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2010

YouGov/Sun - 34/28/28

YouGov's daily polling tonight has topline figures of CON 34%(nc), LAB 28%(+1), LDEM 28%(nc). Obviously there is no significant change since yesterday. YouGov's polls this week have been pretty static, Conservatives at 33-34%, Labour at 27-29%, the Lib Dems mostly around 28-29% aside

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2010

REPOST: Too frequently asked questions

I posted these a couple of weeks before the election, but I see more and more of them cropping up in the comments, so I think it's worth reposting it for newcomers. 1) The polls are ALL wrong, the real position is obviously X Er... based on what?

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2010

Post debate polls

YouGov and Angus Reid are both calling the third debate for Cameron. YouGov have figures of Cameron 41%, Brown 25%, Clegg 32%. Angus Reid's live figures so far, are showing Cameron the victor of the third debate - Cameron 36%, Brown 22%, Clegg 31%. UPDATE: ComRes also have

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2010

Tonight's YouGov poll and the debate thread

I am away from a computer tonight, so feel free to use this thread to discuss the YouGov poll later - and possibly the debate polling (depending on if the site copes by itself with the surge of traffic when the debate finishes!) I take that back - the Sun

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2010

Angus Reid/Economist - 33/23/30

There is a new(ish) Angus Reid poll in the Economist here. Topline figures are CON 33%(+1), LAB 23%(nc), LDEM 30%(-3). Fieldwork was conducted over last weekend, Friday to Monday, so it's slightly out of date now. As usual with Angus Reid, it shows a

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2010

The effect of Brown & Mrs Duffy

The polling YouGov did on Gordon Brown's gaffe yesterday is up in full on the website here. 44% sympathize with Mrs Duffy, 23% with Brown. 50% think its a storm in a teacup, 46% think the worse of Brown. 26% think that Brown was genuinely sorry, 56% think

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2010

TNS BMRB - 34/27/30

There is a new(ish) TNS BMRB poll out this morning. The topline figures are CON 34%(nc), LAB 27%(-2), LDEM 30%(nc). The fieldwork was conducted between the 21st and 27th April. TNS do traditional face-to-face fieldwork in people's homes, so almost by definition it takes

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2010

ComRes/ITV/Indy - 36/29/26

ComRes's poll was supposed to be embargoed until 10pm, but given both ITV's Meridian Tonight and Conservativehome have already published it it seems somewhat pointless to wait. Their rolling poll for ITV and the Independent has figures of CON 36%(+3), LAB 29%(nc), LDEM 26%

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2010

ICM poll of Lib Dem target seats

The Guardian has a new poll of Liberal Democrat target seats here. I think this is the first such study of these seats, which have suddenly become key to the election result. ICM polled the first 42 seats on this list, seats where the Liberal Democrats need a swing of

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2010

YouGov/Sun - 34/27/31

YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%(+1), LAB 27%(-2), LDEM 31%(+3). Some movement back towards the Lib Dems there, and the first time YouGov have had them at over 30 for a week. Note that the fieldwork for YouGov is

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2010

Polls Tonight

Tonight we should have YouGov in the Sun, the regular ComRes for ITV and the Independent, and a new marginals poll (plus whatever less regular polls turn up!). Bear in mind that all the fieldwork for ComRes, and the vast majority of the fieldwork for YouGov, will have been conducted

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2010
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