The monthly Populus poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 39%(+2), LAB 40%(+1), LDEM 9%(-2). This is the lowest level of Lib Dem support that Populus have shown so far, and the first time they've shown them dropping into single figures (YouGov have
The tables for the weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here, covering attitudes to Ed Miliband, the government's recent U-turns, Rowan Williams and the Royal Family. In the last few days the media narrative seems to have shifted significantly against Ed Miliband, with lots of stories
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. I'll update properly tomorrow on other findings from the poll.
In the last few days there has been quite a bit of attention given to a projection of what the possible impact of the constituency changes might be from Lewis Baston. Most attention has focused upon the projection showing the Lib Dems suffering particularly badly, while Labour don't
Tonight's YouGov/Sun voting intentions are CON 37%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%. Looking at the last week's polling, it does appear that the narrowing of the Labour lead down to 2-3% points in the YouGov daily polling after the local/Scottish/Welsh elections was indeed mostly
This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 42%, LD 9%. Full tables are here. The tables also include some questions on long term care for the elderly (the answers are unsurprising... people tend to think that wealthier people should pay for their
There are two new polls tonight - a new ComRes telephone poll for the Independent has topline figures of CON 37%(+3), LAB 37%(nc), LDEM 12%(-3), Others 14%(nc). Changes are from the last ComRes poll conducted by telephone a month ago, rather than their parallel online polls
This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%. It looks like the post-election narrowing of the polls may be fading, though conversely the government and David Cameron's approval ratings are still comparatively good in this poll - government
I'm off on a break for the next week, and have no idea yet whether I'll have decent internet access, so updates for the next week may be infrequent (or absent!). In the meantime, have a good bank holiday weekend one and all.
The monthly Ipsos-MORI political monitor for Reuters has topline figures (with changes from last month) of CON 35%(-5), LAB 42%(+2), LDEM 10%(+1). Reuters strangely headline it "Conservatives' support falls slightly". I'm delighted to see the media not over-egging changes that probably aren&
Here's something interesting. Normally the best prediction (or at least, the least flawed prediction) of how votes translate into seats is a uniform swing projection - that is, if a party has increased it's national share of the vote by 5 percentage points, you add five
The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are up on their website here. Questions today are, unsurprisingly, largely about the two cabinet politicians under clouds - Ken Clarke and Chris Huhne. The most interesting (and worrying for the government) finding however is about crime. Asked whether the current
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