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Looking back at 2011

Looking back at 2011

In terms of polling 2011 has been almost static. In the last Parliament we were rather spoilt in terms of volatility, seeing the Conservatives move ahead after the election of David Cameron, then the Brown boost putting Labour briefly ahead until the election-that-never-was burst the bubble, then a second Labour

By Anthony Wells 30 Dec 2011

Voodoo polling corner

The Press Association are reporting that "The majority of people from across the political spectrum believe Scotland should be responsible for raising most of the money it spends, according to research from an independent think-tank." Because it is on the Press Association feed, this is then repeated verbatim

By Anthony Wells 28 Dec 2011

ICM/Guardian - CON 37, LAB 36, LDEM 15

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has finally appeared (it was conducted on the Tuesday and Wednesday before Chistmas, but presumably held back till today's paper when there is normally no proper news to report!). Topline figures, with changes from the ICM/Sunday Telegraph poll straight

By Anthony Wells 26 Dec 2011

Christmas open thread

No polls over Christmas of course, but here's an open thread for those of you seeking to escape from Christmas preparations. Reflections on the year just gone? Predictions for next year? No need to stay on topic, but please do try and remain civil and rise above "

By Anthony Wells 24 Dec 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 40%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%

Tonight's is the last YouGov daily poll for 2011 and topline figures are CON 40%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%, meaning we end the year with the two main parties neck-and-neck, which is at least quite tidy. I'm not sure if we'll have any polls

By Anthony Wells 22 Dec 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 40, LAB 40, LD 10

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 40%, LDEM 10%. While the boost that the Conservatives received from David Cameron's veto appears to have declined somewhat from the Conservative leads we briefly saw last week, it doesn't look

By Anthony Wells 21 Dec 2011

TNS-BMRB - CON 35%, LAB 38%, LD 11%

Also published today are new voting intention figures from TNS-BMRB. Topline figures with changes from their previous poll at the end of November are CON 35%(-1), LAB 38%(-1), LDEM 11%(+2), Others 16%. No obvious sign of any veto boost for the Conservatives here. The poll was conducted

By Anthony Wells 20 Dec 2011

Populus/Times - CON 35%, LAB 39%, LD 12%

Populus' monthly poll for the Times is out this morning after all (but given two and a half inches on page 14). Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 35%(+2), LAB 39%(-2), LDEM 12%(-1), Others 15%. Populus show a move towards the Tories, but

By Anthony Wells 20 Dec 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 38, LAB 42, LDEM 9

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 38%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. We are back to a four point Labour lead, and it looks as though the Conservative veto boost has indeed begun to fade away. The full tabs for the Sun also have

By Anthony Wells 19 Dec 2011

Polls tonight

I am out tonight, so won't be updating the blog until later. Due tonight we will have the daily YouGov poll for the Sun, and I am expecting Populus's monthly poll for the Times. We have also yet to see anything from ICM for the Guardian

By Anthony Wells 19 Dec 2011

YouGov/Sunday Times - full report

The full tabs for YouGov's poll are now up here. The topline figures for the poll were positive for Labour, showing them ahead again (though it remains to be seen if that's just a blip), but the rest of the poll is less so. On leader

By Anthony Wells 18 Dec 2011

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 39, LAB 42, LD 9

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. It's the first time a poll has shown Labour back in the lead since the Conservatives moved ahead in the polls after the veto. Usual caveats apply - it

By Anthony Wells 17 Dec 2011
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