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Populus show Boris Johnson 12 points ahead

The Times has a new Populus poll of the London mayoral election, which gives Boris Johnson his biggest lead so far. The first round figures are JOHNSON 46%, LIVINGSTONE 34%, JONES 6%, PADDICK 5%, BENITA 5%, WEBB 3%, CORTIGLIA 1%. With second preferences reallocated the final figures become JOHNSON 56%

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2012

YouGov show Boris 4 points ahead

The Evening Standard has published the penultimate YouGov poll for this year's London mayoral election. Topline figures for the first round (with changes from last week) are JOHNSON 44%(+1), LIVINGSTONE 41%(nc), PADDICK 6%(-2), WEBB 3%(nc), BENITA 3%(nc), JONES 3%(+1), CORTIGLIA 1%(nc)

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2012

Local and mayoral election preview

It's a big week ahead, with various different elections coming up on Thursday. Here's what we've got to look ahead to: Scotland There are local elections across all of Scotland, delayed from last year in order to de-couple the Scottish local election timetable from

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times on the return to recession

The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. In line with the topline figures showing the Conservatives dropping below 30%, the rest of the poll was also pretty miserable for the Tories. David Cameron's approval rating is down to minus 31 (from minus

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 29, LAB 40, LD 11, UKIP 10

This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 29%, LAB 40%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 10%, Others 10%. While the eleven point lead for Labour is pretty typical of what YouGov have been showing this week, the 29% for the Conservatives is the first

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2012

ComRes/Indy - CON 34, LAB 39, LDEM 10

We don't normally get any polls on Friday nights (it's my night off, dammit, hence this will be a very short post!), but there is a new ComRes online poll in tomorrow's Independent. Topline figures are CON 34%(nc), LAB 39%(-1), LDEM 10%

By Anthony Wells 27 Apr 2012

YouGov/Sun - CON 31, LAB 43, LD 9, UKIP 9

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 9%. The twelve point lead is becoming fairly typical of the sort of figure we're seeing from YouGov, but it's worth noting that the 31% is the

By Anthony Wells 26 Apr 2012

Regional crossbreaks again

There was a time when I used to spend an inordinate amount of time telling people not to spend too much time looking at regional cross breaks in voting intention polls - they have small samples, large margins of error, and are not internally weighted. Needless to say, it goes

By Anthony Wells 26 Apr 2012

ComRes show Boris eight points ahead

With a week to go ComRes have a new London mayoral poll out this morning showing a more comfortable lead for Boris Johnson, and Brian Paddick being pushed into fourth place. First preference figures with changes from their last poll are JOHNSON 45%(-1), LIVINGSTONE 36%(-5), JONES 6%(+2)

By Anthony Wells 26 Apr 2012

New YouGov and Opinium polls

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, Others 16%, producing an eleven point Labour lead, the same as in yesterday's poll. With YouGov's Labour leads varying between 9 and 13 points, my guess is that

By Anthony Wells 25 Apr 2012

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 35, LAB 38, LDEM 12

This month's Ipsos MORI poll, conducted for the Evening Standard, is out and has topline figures of CON 35%(-1), LAB 38%(+1), LDEM 12%(+1). While the trend towards Labour is the same as all the other polls, it is a much smaller Labour lead than we&

By Anthony Wells 24 Apr 2012

YouGov/Sun - CON 32, LAB 45, LDEM 8

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 45%, LDEM 8%, Others 15% (including UKIP on 7%), a second thirteen point lead for Labour following on from last Thursday's. It's a bigger lead than in ICM's poll

By Anthony Wells 23 Apr 2012
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