I wrote last November about the dangers of cherrypicking out figures in crossbreaks to come up with sensationalist stories that don't actually reflect the truth - and I spend an inordinate amount of time nagging about not paying too much attention to regional crossbreaks. Nevertheless, they never seem
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 8%. It's a twelve point lead, following on from another twelve point lead the day before. It looks as though the post-Jubilee feel good effect has now faded entirely
Ipsos MORI have published their monthly political monitor for the Evening Standard. Topline voting intentions, with changes from last month, are CON 31%(-2), LAB 40%(-3), LDEM 10%(+1), Others 19%(+4) (including Greens on 5% and UKIP on 6%). Other questions suggest a sharp fall in the public&
The Conservatives brief post-Jubilee recovery seems to have passed. After a month of YouGov's Labour leads averaging at twelve points last week we saw three polls in a row with leads down into single figures, enough to suggest it was more than mere sample variation. However, today'
The Times today leads with a Populus poll showing that 82% of people would like a referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union. This does not surprise me. Referendums are popular per se, whatever the subject asked about, people will support having a referendum on it. I
There are two new polls in the Sunday papers. YouGov's weekly poll in the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 42%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 9%. So far all three YouGov polls since the Jubilee weekend have shown Labour's lead dropping into single figures,
Over on the British Polling Council's website there is a guide for journalists writing about opinion polls, written by YouGov's Peter Kellner. The key point on it in number 13, advising journalists on what to look for in a poll - was it conducted by a
The Sun Politics team have already tweeted tonight's YouGov poll - topline figues are CON 34%, LAB 43%, LD 8%, UKIP 6%. Tonight's figures echo the nine point Labour lead yesterday's YouGov poll showed, so perhaps the long bank holiday weekend has had some
Back after the bank holiday break, tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, Others 15% (including UKIP on 7%). Having been averaging at about a 12 point Labour lead, today's YouGov poll has the Labour lead back
Over on Labour Uncut Atual Hatwal worries that Labour's lead may only be 3 points, not 10. He rightly thinks back to those towering 20 point leads that Labour was enjoying in early 1990, before going on to lose the election in 1992 and warns Labour supporters not
It's a bank holiday weekend, so there's no YouGov/Sun daily poll tonight (or indeed tomorrow). However, there are two new polls conducted before the weekend, from AngusReid and Survation. Angus Reid was conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, and has topline figures, with changes since before
Full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here, covering u-turns, strikes and more on the jubilee. On the regular leader ratings David Cameron's net rating is at minus 26 (no change from last week), Ed Miliband's at minus 28 (from minus 23
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