Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 8% - back to rather more typical YouGov figures after a seven point Labour lead yesterday that appears to have been something of an outlier. That said the last four YouGov
I was out last night, so missed two new polls. TNS-BMRB's latest poll, conducted over the weekend, has topline figures of CON 32%(+2), LAB 40%(-3), LDEM 10%(nc), Others 18%(+1). Changes are from TNS's last poll conducted straight after the local elections when
The monthly Populus poll for the Times has been published and shows topline figures of CON 33%(nc), LAB 41%(nc), LDEM 9%(-1), Others 17%(+1 - includes UKIP at 5%). Changes are from Populus's last poll about a month ago, and clearly indicate no substantial change.
Today is the second Greek general election of the year, following the May election that produced a Parliament unable to agree on a coalition government. Needless to say, the election has great importance beyond Greece, in terms of whether a New Democracy government that will continue with the current bailout
There are two new polls out tonight. ComRes's monthly online poll for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror has topline figures of CON 32%(nc), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 9%(-2), UKIP 8%(+1). Changes are from ComRes's last online poll a month ago and
I wrote last November about the dangers of cherrypicking out figures in crossbreaks to come up with sensationalist stories that don't actually reflect the truth - and I spend an inordinate amount of time nagging about not paying too much attention to regional crossbreaks. Nevertheless, they never seem
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 8%. It's a twelve point lead, following on from another twelve point lead the day before. It looks as though the post-Jubilee feel good effect has now faded entirely
Ipsos MORI have published their monthly political monitor for the Evening Standard. Topline voting intentions, with changes from last month, are CON 31%(-2), LAB 40%(-3), LDEM 10%(+1), Others 19%(+4) (including Greens on 5% and UKIP on 6%). Other questions suggest a sharp fall in the public&
The Conservatives brief post-Jubilee recovery seems to have passed. After a month of YouGov's Labour leads averaging at twelve points last week we saw three polls in a row with leads down into single figures, enough to suggest it was more than mere sample variation. However, today'
The Times today leads with a Populus poll showing that 82% of people would like a referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union. This does not surprise me. Referendums are popular per se, whatever the subject asked about, people will support having a referendum on it. I
There are two new polls in the Sunday papers. YouGov's weekly poll in the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 42%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 9%. So far all three YouGov polls since the Jubilee weekend have shown Labour's lead dropping into single figures,
Over on the British Polling Council's website there is a guide for journalists writing about opinion polls, written by YouGov's Peter Kellner. The key point on it in number 13, advising journalists on what to look for in a poll - was it conducted by a
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